Impossible-Clock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$56

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

540

Trades

687

lifetime

Volume

$4.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 07-07 09:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 95% -$28

Tech

1% 0% -$24

Sports

0% 67% +$8

Politics

0% 0% -$11

Other

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+46	$4	8¢	$4	$0	07-06 23:39
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	+28	$5	8¢	$2	-$3	07-06 23:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+10	$2	13¢	$1	-$1	07-06 19:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:50 UTC	3	$38	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	04-10 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:40 UTC	4	$36	19	18	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 13:44
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	4	$26	609	609	+0	Yes	-$24	03-30 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:25 UTC	4	$24	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	04-10 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 20:30 UTC	4	$24	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	04-09 20:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:45 UTC	5	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:55 UTC	5	$21	22	1	+21	Up	+$2	04-10 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 00:25 UTC	3	$21	18	9	+8	Up	+$3	03-20 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 07:55 UTC	1	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	04-23 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 08:10 UTC	2	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	04-23 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 11:40 UTC	1	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	04-23 11:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:45 UTC	1	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	04-23 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 12:20 UTC	1	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	04-23 12:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 14:00 UTC	1	$21	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	04-23 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 21:00 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	04-09 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 12:15 UTC	2	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	04-10 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:25 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-22 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:25 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-23 01:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 04:50 UTC	5	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-23 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 20:00 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-22 20:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 06:20 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-23 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:05 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-23 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:35 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-23 00:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 05:45 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-23 05:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:45 UTC	2	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-23 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 05:00 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-23 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 01:40 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-23 01:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 05:40 UTC	1	$19	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	04-23 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 00:55 UTC	1	$19	20	0	+20	Up	+$1	04-23 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 14:25 UTC	1	$19	21	0	+21	Down	-$19	04-23 14:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 09:19:37	Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	No	BUY	46	14¢	$6	0xe83b71…
07-06 23:39:44	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0x964732…
07-06 23:38:47	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2de67d…
07-06 23:22:11	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x6b69f0…
07-06 23:06:59	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0xc8a87d…
07-06 23:00:02	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x7fae2e…
07-06 22:27:05	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0xdfd363…
07-06 22:23:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0xb1d1b3…
07-06 19:11:08	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x540c3b…
07-06 19:06:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xbaaa73…
05-24 21:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x246258…
05-24 16:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa6eda7…
05-24 10:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x111c6c…
05-24 09:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a76a1…
05-24 09:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe01753…
05-23 21:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3de098…
05-23 21:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x41c331…
05-23 21:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x032928…
05-23 20:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcd061b…
05-23 18:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0e7e48…
05-23 18:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbf6c75…
05-23 18:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcdc46d…
05-23 18:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf3b515…
05-23 07:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x381972…
05-23 07:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x44a41f…
05-23 04:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe41908…
05-23 02:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x8d30c8…
05-23 00:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xfa20d7…
05-23 00:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x236e7b…
05-22 23:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x66b7ce…
05-22 23:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xfef76b…
05-22 13:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa11af2…
05-22 13:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xacf8ca…
05-22 07:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x4f6887…
05-22 07:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xef0f82…
05-22 05:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x6c4872…
05-22 03:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xfd6274…
05-22 02:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3f423c…
05-21 20:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4d0fe8…
05-21 13:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbf5bf4…
05-21 10:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8b73c0…
05-21 03:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xbba9b9…
05-21 02:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x034443…
05-21 02:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3c3bb5…
05-20 13:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xf5860e…
05-20 05:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xff26b6…
05-20 05:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xbf4e51…
05-19 16:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xea0a0b…
05-19 14:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa82236…
05-19 13:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x45d13e…
05-19 10:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe9343d…
05-19 08:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x33e022…
05-13 20:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x22b50b…
05-13 17:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdcc0d6…
05-13 17:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x505805…
05-13 17:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x1ccd27…
05-13 16:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x32e762…
05-13 14:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2f0cac…
05-13 13:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x3b6ad1…
05-13 07:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8ac2ac…
05-13 06:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf82955…
05-13 05:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf6282c…
05-13 02:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa8f19e…
05-13 00:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xbb1eb6…
05-13 00:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x38a4fc…
05-12 17:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x903643…
05-12 02:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x1e182f…
05-12 02:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xbda122…
05-12 01:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x17090b…
05-11 18:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2daebb…
05-11 10:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x72d71b…
05-11 09:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x77b830…
05-11 06:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x215706…
05-11 04:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf34b75…
05-11 03:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8629ea…
05-11 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x31f982…
05-11 02:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6f38e3…
05-11 01:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb03e0c…
05-11 01:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xf0767c…
05-11 01:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x90dc4d…
05-10 23:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x06425f…
05-10 23:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3eb408…
05-10 22:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7a6b95…
05-10 22:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x21b823…
05-10 22:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3a7671…
05-10 21:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6dfc07…
05-10 21:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x6dc6ea…
05-10 20:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0cb4e7…
05-10 20:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x731b9f…
05-10 12:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3eadf4…
05-10 11:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8ccb6c…
05-10 09:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9e1bf8…
05-10 02:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x09c59f…
05-10 00:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x050b1e…
05-09 18:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x6a7492…
05-09 17:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x551aed…
05-09 14:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x108bd5…
05-07 14:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6813f0…
05-07 09:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xccd379…
05-07 08:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xfd4baa…