Lucky-Applewood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

Trades

309

lifetime

Volume

$3.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-30 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

73% 98% +$0

Sports

20% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:16:43	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe59bb3…
06-30 18:00:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b7b8d…
06-30 10:12:46	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5afd9…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa636c7…
06-30 04:16:11	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1636fd…
06-30 01:50:29	mlb pit phi 2026 06 29 spread home 2pt5	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2896e7…
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe937a5…
06-29 19:45:17	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1393c3…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94aba9…
06-29 16:24:08	val jl bar 2026 06 29 game1	Barça eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fe994…
06-29 16:05:04	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b438c…
06-29 13:52:41	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ea30d…
06-28 20:53:40	mlb phi nym 2026 06 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81d40c…
06-28 17:22:32	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba0275…
06-28 11:22:20	kbo han ssg 2026 06 28	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe39357…
06-28 09:55:26	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x274c3d…
06-28 09:35:52	criccoppat10 pra ber 2026 06 28	Pralboino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa56819…
06-28 04:01:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59cc3e…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf03fd…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69fb6a…
06-26 18:11:56	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a1d1b…
06-26 13:01:47	kbo han ssg 2026 06 26	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x577bdc…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f661b…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62956a…
06-25 02:00:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdda065…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e490a…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x569d79…
06-25 00:04:23	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x328373…
06-24 20:58:47	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6dd71…
06-24 13:07:17	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d4b29…
06-24 09:08:35	cs2 mana1 hon1 2026 06 24 game1	ex-MANA eSports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc10f93…
06-24 04:00:29	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 team total away 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ebafc…
06-24 03:09:10	mlb bos col 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc77886…
06-23 20:00:55	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe522a…
06-23 19:46:34	val fks1 mir 2026 06 23 game1	MIR	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x196798…
06-23 19:08:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f9e5d…
06-23 18:25:07	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x150863…
06-23 18:11:34	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdebb0f…
06-23 00:54:55	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e90fd…
06-22 19:04:11	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c774f…
06-21 18:13:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd5de8…
06-21 18:12:55	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9818a…
06-21 11:23:50	cs2 inf1 adn 2026 06 21 map handicap away 1pt5	INFURITY Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ad834…
06-21 01:56:29	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb33ae…
06-20 22:09:02	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x994487…
06-20 20:06:29	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0026cb…
06-20 05:14:14	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfaaa6e…
06-20 03:40:35	2026 us open top5 lucas herbert	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f88a9…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x282acd…
06-20 01:49:01	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1642d…
06-19 15:45:31	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfe5b4…
06-19 13:17:56	cs2 inf6 ruby1 2026 06 19 game1	ex-RUBY	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6737e8…
06-19 00:13:47	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49fa7a…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc881b…
06-18 04:18:10	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 goals luis diaz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06c488…
06-17 19:25:29	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98563c…
06-17 19:17:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24aae5…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x476f9d…
06-17 18:09:10	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xafa325…
06-17 16:10:19	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7211f3…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x639b37…
06-17 16:06:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc32870…
06-17 04:05:34	mlb tb lad 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9443cd…
06-17 00:03:11	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c59a0…
06-16 13:45:50	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x614357…
06-16 12:37:40	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7ddf1…
06-16 02:29:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31f77c…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13e985…
06-15 18:07:18	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x718ed0…
06-15 12:41:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbc64c1…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd694a3…
06-14 19:57:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa26c5a…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3094a4…
06-14 06:25:18	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 corners team home 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x383f19…
06-14 05:03:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 assists julian champagnie 0pt5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b3580…
06-14 03:39:43	will landry shamet score 40 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023200582	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7a830…
06-13 11:58:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4bc57…
06-13 01:55:01	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87fa8a…
06-12 22:03:37	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06899e…
06-12 21:04:03	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4b173…
06-12 21:03:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb753e7…
06-12 20:26:54	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ebb26…
06-12 20:19:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa01a23…
06-12 20:17:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x654a0b…
06-12 13:30:10	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xda26de…
06-11 22:13:43	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6dda7e…
06-11 21:15:18	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x516611…
06-11 16:53:28	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a0cf2…
06-11 16:18:42	will next claude mythos debut on the text arena leaderboard at 1480	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb50a5b…
06-11 03:52:12	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 points og anunoby 16pt5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x866a4e…
06-10 20:16:55	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76ae6e…
06-10 20:05:12	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17ebd0…
06-10 08:29:15	mlbb dewa geek 2026 06 10	Geek Fam ID	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcfaa9d…
06-09 20:30:46	mar1 kaa rca 2026 06 09 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xace959…
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x973a49…
06-09 00:21:16	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc45d86…
06-08 23:26:33	cs2 xi clutch 2026 06 08	XI Esport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x269ff8…
06-08 21:37:04	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeeed03…
06-08 12:03:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94050a…
06-07 21:09:33	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d84ca…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:46
Games Total: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 00:35
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-07 19:10
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 3.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	05-13 12:00
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-24 13:07
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Oliynykova (+1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	Noskova	+$0	05-09 11:57
Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 13:17
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 04:48
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-30 10:57
T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 08:09
val jl bar 2026 06 29 game1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-29 16:24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 21:53
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-17 15:57
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	Galatasaray SK	+$0	05-09 22:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-11 03:03
Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 13:52
val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-18 22:59
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 05:14
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-30 00:12
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Mirjana Jovanovic vs Armine Yesaian	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Guara Esports - Map 1 Winner	1	$10	10	0	+10	Isurus	+$0	05-11 15:11
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13 assists julian champagnie 0pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-14 05:03
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-16 12:37