Dense-Flipflops — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,003

lifetime

Volume

$47.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 05-25 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 59% $-18

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772626500	4	$2.6K	3,062	3,024	+38	open	—	03-04 12:28
btc updown 15m 1772631000	6	$2.3K	1,753	1,734	+19	open	—	03-04 13:42
btc updown 15m 1772630100	4	$2.1K	1,220	1,211	+9	open	—	03-04 13:30
btc updown 15m 1772627400	7	$1.8K	2,325	1,911	+414	open	—	03-04 12:41
btc updown 15m 1772625600	2	$1.5K	950	940	+10	open	—	03-04 12:07
btc updown 15m 1772623800	4	$1.4K	2,333	2,314	+19	open	—	03-04 11:36
btc updown 15m 1772622900	2	$1.4K	739	737	+2	open	—	03-04 11:26
xrp updown 15m 1772588700	4	$1.4K	804	799	+6	open	—	03-04 01:59
bitcoin up or down on march 4	2	$1.1K	699	698	+0	open	—	03-04 10:27
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$992	528	528	+0	open	—	02-28 07:35
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$934	474	474	+0	open	—	02-28 06:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$925	686	686	+0	open	—	02-28 06:32
btc updown 15m 1772624700	4	$892	660	651	+9	open	—	03-04 12:00
btc updown 15m 1772587800	2	$869	478	477	+1	open	—	03-04 01:36
btc updown 15m 1772631900	2	$862	652	643	+9	open	—	03-04 13:59
xrp up or down march 3 8pm et	2	$754	500	500	+0	open	—	03-04 01:50
btc updown 15m 1772632800	4	$725	1,277	1,260	+17	open	—	03-04 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	4	$724	630	630	+0	open	—	05-25 21:43
btc updown 15m 1772573400	2	$567	301	301	+1	open	—	03-03 21:44
btc updown 15m 1772569800	4	$531	413	408	+5	open	—	03-03 20:44
btc updown 15m 1772474400	4	$510	288	287	+1	open	—	03-02 18:14
btc updown 5m 1772627700	2	$507	405	399	+6	open	—	03-04 12:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$504	711	711	+0	open	—	05-25 21:22
bitcoin up or down on february 21	10	$495	476	476	+0	open	—	02-20 22:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	7	$459	536	536	+0	Down	$-100	05-06 09:13
btc updown 15m 1772574300	4	$445	336	331	+5	open	—	03-03 21:58
btc updown 15m 1772586000	6	$439	280	277	+3	open	—	03-04 01:13
btc updown 15m 1772568900	2	$432	226	226	+0	open	—	03-03 20:28
btc updown 5m 1772628000	2	$418	776	764	+12	open	—	03-04 12:43
btc updown 15m 1772559000	2	$397	211	210	+0	open	—	03-03 17:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 21:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	440	34¢	$148	0xa52853…
05-25 21:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	355	44¢	$157	0xcfce9a…
05-25 21:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	355	85¢	$300	0x219d03…
05-25 21:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	275	61¢	$167	0x8ba2ed…
05-25 21:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	275	36¢	$100	0xa13402…
05-25 21:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	223	94¢	$210	0x9c6bc8…
05-25 21:22:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	711	33¢	$234	0x866dc5…
05-25 20:50:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	711	38¢	$270	0x9bdfd6…
05-06 19:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x614620…
05-06 09:57:16	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x9c669d…
05-06 09:56:56	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x5e8bc3…
05-06 09:54:08	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	43¢	$23	0x4b51eb…
05-06 09:50:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	286	9¢	$25	0xbcbcf9…
05-06 09:48:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x80e588…
05-06 09:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	133	15¢	$21	0x446c6d…
05-06 09:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	133	45¢	$60	0x91027b…
05-06 09:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	664	10¢	$69	0xd2c59f…
05-06 09:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	664	14¢	$93	0x9e86dd…
05-06 09:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	111	86¢	$96	0x40eb46…
05-06 09:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x7d0764…
05-06 09:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	224	27¢	$60	0xfb043b…
05-06 09:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	224	22¢	$50	0xb24c2d…
05-06 09:11:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	178	29¢	$52	0x2cbf65…
05-06 09:10:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x907b6f…
05-06 09:10:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0xfb9f27…
05-06 09:07:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	133	50¢	$67	0x4ce935…
05-06 09:02:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x33eb81…
05-05 21:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	106	96¢	$102	0x95ed03…
05-05 21:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x62e36d…
05-05 21:47:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	35	73¢	$25	0x96746c…
05-05 21:46:06	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xcb33e5…
05-05 21:42:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	47	81¢	$38	0x4f39b4…
05-05 21:41:12	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x80f128…
05-05 21:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	82	78¢	$64	0xbdd7e8…
05-05 21:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x6216dc…
05-05 21:37:08	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	58	54¢	$31	0x6fc9b6…
05-05 21:36:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	58	68¢	$40	0x3b5383…
05-05 21:35:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	58	90¢	$52	0x3b0695…
05-05 21:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x7b4479…
05-05 21:29:40	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0xe49b2c…
05-05 21:29:28	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xde2803…
05-05 21:28:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x8551c6…
05-05 21:28:58	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0x7af77a…
05-05 21:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	67	60¢	$40	0xcd100e…
05-05 21:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x7da81a…
05-05 20:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	37	48¢	$18	0x75cf5f…
05-05 20:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xbfa9d5…
05-05 20:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa0b3b3…
05-05 20:47:28	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	132	89¢	$118	0x4d6745…
05-05 19:03:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	132	87¢	$115	0x15d800…
05-05 18:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	42	65¢	$27	0x8151d6…
05-05 18:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xd6cecb…
05-05 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	68	64¢	$44	0xa0223a…
05-05 18:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x7a1bd1…
05-05 18:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	71	65¢	$46	0x6c35c2…
05-05 18:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x031251…
05-05 18:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0xa908cf…
05-05 18:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xd1a64e…
05-05 18:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	92	51¢	$47	0x5e2072…
05-05 18:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x941e56…
05-05 18:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa36a02…
05-05 18:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	86	99¢	$85	0x8a6e72…
05-05 18:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	86	56¢	$48	0x652ba4…
05-05 18:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	125	41¢	$51	0x6e0a56…
05-05 17:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	72¢	$90	0x28c97a…
05-05 17:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	62	36¢	$22	0xffc8ed…
05-05 17:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	31¢	$19	0xcd080f…
05-05 17:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	62	43¢	$27	0x152168…
05-05 17:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x4d4c6e…
05-05 17:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x1cceca…
05-05 17:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xc9c20c…
05-05 17:00:26	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	SELL	102	39¢	$40	0x7abd15…
05-05 16:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	34	76¢	$26	0x07502b…
05-05 16:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1b79ee…
05-05 16:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	44	42¢	$19	0xa8974e…
05-05 16:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x168d29…
05-05 15:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	37	32¢	$12	0x3c4a95…
05-05 15:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xf9a106…
05-05 15:33:42	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x64fb0e…
05-05 15:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	37	41¢	$15	0xc4fa0a…
05-05 15:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x29beab…
05-05 15:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x265365…
05-05 15:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	145	74¢	$107	0x57d601…
05-05 15:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x1e71a9…
05-05 15:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x56cc22…
05-05 15:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	36	60¢	$22	0xb04c35…
05-05 15:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xca96f4…
05-05 15:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7388c3…
05-05 15:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x11aae7…
05-05 15:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xab8789…
05-05 15:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	27	73¢	$20	0x473719…
05-05 15:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0ee6b6…
05-05 15:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xd518f8…
05-05 14:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	107	92¢	$99	0xef28c8…
05-05 14:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0xf90ee8…
05-05 14:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6004d2…
05-05 14:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x736790…
05-05 14:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xe5d376…
03-19 15:51:49	btc updown 5m 1773935400	Down	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xda0540…
03-19 15:49:41	btc updown 15m 1773935100	Down	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0xceb45d…