Horrible-Overheard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$8.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 05-17 14:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

46% — —

Other

45% 33% $-24

Sports

9% 75% +$1

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$1.0K	530	530	+0	open	—	03-08 07:04
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$498	459	345	+114	open	—	03-21 16:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$493	293	293	+0	open	—	04-21 19:04
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$429	238	238	+0	open	—	03-07 20:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$400	430	0	+430	open	—	03-08 07:05
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$314	165	165	+0	open	—	03-19 08:47
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$309	286	286	+0	open	—	04-05 14:04
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$272	167	167	+0	open	—	04-07 22:03
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$234	135	135	+0	open	—	03-30 17:42
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$225	2,552	0	+2,552	open	—	03-20 19:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$213	115	115	+0	open	—	04-21 17:12
will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	1	$204	286	0	+286	open	—	03-20 19:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	03-06 21:50
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	1	$200	835	0	+835	open	—	03-27 08:56
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	3	$182	188	188	+0	open	—	04-09 20:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$180	168	55	+112	open	—	03-21 16:14
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	1	$165	184	0	+184	open	—	04-08 07:16
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$160	196	0	+196	open	—	03-06 21:55
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	1	$150	455	0	+455	open	—	03-16 13:22
qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	2	$109	63	63	+0	open	—	03-06 14:34
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	3	$103	256	208	+47	open	—	03-27 12:21
will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	1	$100	117	0	+117	open	—	04-01 11:45
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$100	299	0	+299	open	—	04-02 10:15
will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	1	$100	122	0	+122	open	—	04-01 11:46
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	1	$100	162	0	+162	open	—	04-01 11:44
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$100	162	0	+162	open	—	05-01 18:59
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	1	$100	134	0	+134	open	—	03-11 18:29
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$100	127	0	+127	open	—	03-15 16:34
will leavitt say hormuz during the next white house press briefing 368	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	03-25 15:45
will leavitt say threat during the next white house press briefing	1	$100	113	0	+113	open	—	03-25 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 14:52:03	Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navone	Mariano Navone	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xb22fd7…
05-17 14:50:26	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x6ef3e8…
05-17 14:50:04	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xafd0a1…
05-17 14:48:47	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xe62aa4…
05-11 12:10:55	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xc3e8d3…
05-10 15:15:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublik	Alexander Bublik	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xf75daa…
05-09 17:33:33	UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)	Ateba Gautier	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0x3cbab9…
05-08 19:25:04	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0x0b2cba…
05-08 19:24:26	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xd2186a…
05-07 17:06:28	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0xf20f68…
05-06 21:42:48	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x49c7ab…
05-01 18:59:08	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0xce1bb2…
04-26 15:28:44	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	415	0¢	$0	0xe35844…
04-22 16:24:12	btc updown 15m 1776875400	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa3f4e6…
04-22 16:23:32	btc updown 15m 1776874500	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcfeeeb…
04-21 19:09:42	btc updown 15m 1776798900	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x698f1d…
04-21 19:04:00	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	293	98¢	$288	0x74caae…
04-21 17:12:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	115	99¢	$113	0x62cc0a…
04-19 12:04:28	btc updown 5m 1776600000	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x391dc6…
04-10 21:28:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	293	70¢	$205	0xe782bf…
04-09 20:46:07	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	SELL	188	81¢	$152	0x46226b…
04-08 07:16:45	will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	Yes	BUY	184	90¢	$165	0x24ebc8…
04-07 22:03:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	167	99¢	$165	0x4d1804…
04-05 14:04:53	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	286	73¢	$209	0xb85e5f…
04-05 14:04:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x55fa49…
04-05 13:54:57	Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x61ba89…
04-02 21:25:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	111	67¢	$74	0xf0776a…
04-02 21:22:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0x83b68a…
04-02 19:30:09	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xb21cc2…
04-02 10:15:21	will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x2d635e…
04-02 10:15:13	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	299	33¢	$100	0x5d113e…
04-02 08:11:17	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	415	1¢	$5	0xeae592…
04-01 11:46:39	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x18920d…
04-01 11:46:15	will trump say operation epic fury during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x026fa0…
04-01 11:45:55	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0x90a9e7…
04-01 11:44:35	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0xb1d23a…
03-31 18:49:37	will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	214	23¢	$50	0xc20399…
03-30 17:42:39	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x8407ac…
03-29 13:04:58	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xe02474…
03-28 21:09:14	will trump say paid a big price or paying a big price this week march 29	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x31b6ea…
03-27 19:57:23	will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 23 29	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0x981c62…
03-27 19:57:11	will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 23 29	Yes	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0xad0b5a…
03-27 19:56:55	will 40 44 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 23 29	Yes	BUY	131	8¢	$10	0x244430…
03-27 19:56:33	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 23 29	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x2bed68…
03-27 19:56:11	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 23 29	Yes	BUY	177	28¢	$50	0x340b90…
03-27 12:21:47	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x014725…
03-27 08:56:13	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	835	24¢	$200	0x92ee5c…
03-26 17:09:55	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 90 114	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x1641da…
03-26 17:09:47	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x4b5397…
03-25 19:59:33	will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	77	71¢	$55	0x5f8cbe…
03-25 15:46:01	will leavitt say threat during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x98431f…
03-25 15:45:35	will leavitt say hormuz during the next white house press briefing 368	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xa036a5…
03-25 15:44:39	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x30f8dd…
03-25 15:44:31	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7624f1…
03-25 15:41:19	will houthi military action against saudi arabia occur by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x2cc2ae…
03-24 19:49:47	will mojtaba khamenei tweet again on march 24	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x85e4e9…
03-24 15:29:47	will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x403743…
03-24 15:29:37	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x2619dd…
03-23 15:39:37	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	208	21¢	$44	0x03f04f…
03-21 16:15:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	46	56¢	$26	0x19de34…
03-21 16:14:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xa71e47…
03-21 16:14:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0x7a5b26…
03-20 19:12:33	will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	286	71¢	$204	0xdb3cd7…
03-20 19:12:23	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	2,091	1¢	$25	0x35f9fe…
03-20 13:43:47	will trump say claude or anthropic this week march 22	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xfdaf09…
03-19 08:47:23	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	527	2¢	$10	0xc71fb9…
03-19 08:47:05	will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	SELL	165	99¢	$164	0x5fda9d…
03-18 22:39:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x20d1a1…
03-18 22:34:27	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	266	19¢	$50	0x61a036…
03-18 19:58:09	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x5b59a0…
03-16 14:01:11	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7754ff…
03-16 14:01:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xbb8d55…
03-16 14:00:49	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8c3bd5…
03-16 13:34:47	will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	No	BUY	165	91¢	$150	0xae749f…
03-16 13:33:29	will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	461	43¢	$200	0xd66a9d…
03-16 13:22:31	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	455	33¢	$150	0x8abe3d…
03-15 16:50:43	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5,209	0¢	$10	0x486850…
03-15 16:34:29	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x14aefe…
03-15 16:32:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	417	2¢	$10	0x0737b0…
03-15 12:16:47	Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Leadership Change	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0xb78e72…
03-13 21:15:41	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x5669e0…
03-11 18:29:11	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x436ffe…
03-09 21:04:27	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 13 221 752 344	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7d94c2…
03-09 21:02:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	345	70¢	$241	0x883eed…
03-08 07:05:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	430	93¢	$400	0xa0d24c…
03-08 07:05:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	168	77¢	$129	0x5791f3…
03-08 07:04:35	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	530	100¢	$529	0xb71b8c…
03-07 20:53:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	345	67¢	$231	0xc018ef…
03-07 20:47:27	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	No	SELL	238	96¢	$229	0x5cecf0…
03-06 21:55:17	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	71	84¢	$60	0x521dde…
03-06 21:52:27	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x93e31e…
03-06 21:50:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x315f40…
03-06 14:34:43	qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	No	SELL	63	93¢	$59	0x3772bc…
03-06 13:09:11	btc updown 15m 1772802000	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xeb99dc…
03-06 12:40:41	btc updown 15m 1772801100	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x23d270…
03-06 11:28:37	eth updown 15m 1772796600	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5e0b16…
03-06 10:49:49	btc updown 15m 1772793900	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x354846…
03-05 12:59:15	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x195311…
03-05 12:58:49	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	530	94¢	$500	0x259af2…
03-05 10:13:33	btc updown 15m 1772705700	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x167b35…