Loyal-Pencil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

Trades

213

lifetime

Volume

$4.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-02 08:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 67% +$9

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	12	$409	280	200	+80	open	—	05-21 23:03
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	8	$387	202	214	-12	open	—	05-22 12:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	14	$348	289	289	+0	open	—	04-29 13:33
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	3	$294	153	153	+0	open	—	05-26 11:31
spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	11	$263	163	163	+0	open	—	06-12 11:11
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	8	$261	150	150	+0	open	—	04-30 13:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	5	$260	140	140	+0	open	—	05-18 11:33
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	5	$230	129	129	+0	Up	+$8	05-08 13:31
spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	4	$214	213	10	+203	open	—	06-22 13:25
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 28?	12	$201	129	124	+5	open	—	04-28 10:16
spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	4	$173	101	101	+0	open	—	06-25 12:33
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	7	$171	108	108	+0	open	—	06-01 13:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 14?	10	$163	100	100	+0	open	—	05-14 12:14
spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	5	$120	146	26	+120	open	—	06-08 09:58
spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	7	$110	77	77	+0	open	—	06-10 08:36
spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	5	$109	63	63	+0	open	—	06-09 09:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	4	$83	60	60	+0	open	—	05-27 08:11
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	5	$73	53	50	+3	open	—	05-01 09:14
spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	7	$62	53	53	+0	open	—	06-24 09:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	3	$61	20	60	-40	open	—	05-29 13:31
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	9	$60	53	40	+13	open	—	05-28 13:12
spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	6	$51	35	35	+0	open	—	06-23 03:42
spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	3	$49	58	30	+28	open	—	06-17 13:18
spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	10	$45	31	31	+0	open	—	06-26 09:43
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?	4	$42	33	33	+1	open	—	04-27 13:24
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 19?	3	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-19 09:44
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	4	$23	29	10	+19	open	—	06-02 11:57
spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	06-05 05:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	5	$16	18	18	+0	Down	$-1	05-04 10:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 20?	3	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	05-20 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 08:45:40	spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x6de437…
07-02 02:38:19	spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1719e5…
07-01 01:40:49	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xa4866e…
07-01 01:21:25	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa1bfb3…
06-30 09:05:56	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x9a6cd2…
06-30 03:54:35	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x27295f…
06-30 00:08:43	spx opens up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcd4608…
06-29 06:28:47	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x62524c…
06-29 02:41:34	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd363ad…
06-26 09:43:52	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x173c52…
06-26 08:00:29	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xe23115…
06-26 07:43:32	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xd0deb0…
06-26 07:35:35	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xac78fd…
06-26 03:55:59	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xd8a025…
06-26 02:50:50	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0x9bba2d…
06-26 02:24:19	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xcb4f6e…
06-26 02:12:49	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x2c13a0…
06-26 01:50:25	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xab7014…
06-26 01:48:23	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7e6363…
06-25 14:08:02	xauusd up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x4cbb2e…
06-25 12:55:02	xauusd up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x747455…
06-25 12:33:32	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6074db…
06-25 09:42:13	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0378e0…
06-25 06:35:58	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	96	96¢	$93	0xe7ccbd…
06-25 00:16:01	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	96	83¢	$80	0xccf44e…
06-24 09:15:37	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x7b3050…
06-24 04:58:37	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x01047b…
06-24 04:56:23	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8af269…
06-24 02:54:44	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x75ca0d…
06-24 01:32:19	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x5b69ca…
06-24 01:04:02	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xea3d10…
06-24 00:36:52	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x0c7c21…
06-23 03:42:40	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x8a3f18…
06-23 01:39:38	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xe76c7e…
06-23 01:16:58	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x83c353…
06-23 00:46:07	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x6a09d9…
06-23 00:17:14	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5898ba…
06-22 13:25:43	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Up	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0xe6ca79…
06-22 03:09:34	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x7ccc7b…
06-22 01:05:10	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x7917d6…
06-22 00:56:14	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x2f75c4…
06-18 13:32:56	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x523d3b…
06-18 08:51:28	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x540355…
06-17 13:18:20	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x0b2d52…
06-17 08:23:38	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x0d733a…
06-17 05:39:46	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Up	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x36056e…
06-16 13:55:19	spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	Up	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x70d325…
06-16 08:14:30	spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb5c837…
06-15 00:37:25	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x33c895…
06-12 11:11:33	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	107	97¢	$104	0x2952bc…
06-12 08:48:06	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x644649…
06-12 08:44:19	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xef73f9…
06-12 08:35:12	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xa18659…
06-12 08:19:19	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	36	84¢	$31	0x97af1c…
06-12 08:04:12	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xb9aae3…
06-12 07:59:13	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xda6d3e…
06-12 07:30:40	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xdf2bbb…
06-12 03:09:46	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x3ed7ad…
06-12 03:08:52	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xcfca8e…
06-12 02:57:19	spx opens up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xdf8a5a…
06-11 03:52:37	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xd53ae6…
06-11 03:01:10	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x021a94…
06-11 01:39:04	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xed5de8…
06-10 08:36:36	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0x280076…
06-10 08:35:52	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x103955…
06-10 08:03:19	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xdccb25…
06-10 05:50:04	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x1ef926…
06-10 00:59:51	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x37639f…
06-09 23:48:40	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xd07d3e…
06-09 22:35:16	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6cc5f7…
06-09 09:24:22	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	43	92¢	$40	0x6aab7a…
06-09 09:17:48	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xf0826d…
06-09 07:56:52	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x7830b3…
06-09 07:18:58	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x7f2328…
06-09 07:13:45	spx opens up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xdd1aa8…
06-08 09:58:15	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	120	87¢	$104	0x24d7bf…
06-08 09:53:39	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Down	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0x900ebb…
06-08 07:42:00	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4ffe88…
06-08 02:29:16	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5baf50…
06-08 01:41:04	spx opens up or down on june 8 2026	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd25a5d…
06-05 14:09:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe2ba86…
06-05 05:48:57	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x175dbd…
06-05 02:31:55	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x771372…
06-03 07:23:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 3?	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4ee5a5…
06-02 11:57:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x8bbd80…
06-02 11:57:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x70f44c…
06-02 04:58:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xda7495…
06-02 02:51:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd442bd…
06-01 13:35:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	98	99¢	$97	0xa5a445…
06-01 13:27:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x556bd4…
06-01 13:20:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x661b90…
06-01 13:19:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	50	75¢	$37	0x2e9761…
06-01 08:26:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x114e96…
06-01 02:35:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x48cd54…
06-01 02:28:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe0450a…
05-29 13:31:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xeb893e…
05-29 02:23:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x81caf4…
05-29 01:36:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x54b2fa…
05-28 13:12:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x834e81…
05-28 13:11:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2be3ab…