Thorny-Anesthesiology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$289

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-18 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

42% 7% $-284

Other

42% — —

Politics

17% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-26?	3	$277	770	263	+507	open	—	04-26 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$276	239	239	+0	Up	+$194	05-08 12:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$255	36,416	0	+36,416	open	—	04-22 11:13
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	3	$233	56,148	56,148	+0	open	—	04-29 18:09
James Comey arrested by April 29?	2	$160	860	0	+860	open	—	04-29 15:21
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	2	$144	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-15 04:28
btc updown 5m 1776774600	2	$129	134	126	+8	open	—	04-21 12:33
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1	$100	11,111	0	+11,111	open	—	05-13 13:52
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 13pt5	1	$98	655	0	+655	open	—	06-17 16:45
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 corners total 13pt5	1	$98	753	0	+753	open	—	06-16 20:13
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-26?	1	$74	240	0	+240	open	—	04-26 19:02
btc updown 5m 1780848600	4	$59	2,448	0	+2,448	open	—	06-07 16:16
btc updown 5m 1780847400	1	$55	1,922	0	+1,922	open	—	06-07 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$55	1,529	0	+1,529	Down	$-55	05-08 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	3	$53	2,451	0	+2,451	Down	$-53	05-08 13:30
epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	2	$50	455	442	+12	open	—	04-21 20:40
Will CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga end in a draw?	1	$50	538	0	+538	open	—	04-26 18:49
kor any uls 2026 04 22 uls	1	$50	334	0	+334	open	—	04-22 11:13
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 26?	1	$42	1,938	0	+1,938	open	—	04-26 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$40	880	0	+880	Up	$-40	05-08 13:17
btc updown 5m 1780846500	2	$39	64	64	+0	open	—	06-07 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$36	108	25	+83	Up	$-4	05-08 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$35	1,507	0	+1,507	Up	$-35	05-09 17:08
btc updown 5m 1776786300	1	$32	221	0	+221	open	—	04-21 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$30	547	0	+547	Down	$-30	05-07 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$30	1,348	0	+1,348	Down	$-30	05-08 12:59
btc updown 5m 1776774300	3	$30	358	0	+358	open	—	04-21 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$30	444	0	+444	Up	$-30	05-10 04:52
elc lei hul 2026 04 22 hul	1	$26	259	0	+259	open	—	04-21 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 18:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 19:39:44	btc updown 5m 1781811300	Down	BUY	800	1¢	$8	0xf2dc73…
06-17 16:45:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 13pt5	Over	BUY	655	15¢	$98	0x967523…
06-16 20:13:29	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 corners total 13pt5	Over	BUY	753	13¢	$98	0x06a503…
06-15 04:28:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$44	0x69462e…
06-13 16:02:48	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0xaf2a00…
06-12 19:33:45	btc updown 5m 1781292600	Up	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x0642f4…
06-07 16:16:40	btc updown 5m 1780848600	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x82b060…
06-07 16:13:31	btc updown 5m 1780848600	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x987cbd…
06-07 16:13:31	btc updown 5m 1780848600	Down	BUY	531	4¢	$21	0x62794a…
06-07 16:13:31	btc updown 5m 1780848600	Down	BUY	892	3¢	$27	0x1088cc…
06-07 15:53:04	btc updown 5m 1780847400	Down	BUY	1,922	3¢	$55	0xf0e755…
06-07 15:47:15	btc updown 5m 1780847100	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x7773ce…
06-07 15:45:54	btc updown 5m 1780847100	Up	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0x837691…
06-07 15:39:42	btc updown 5m 1780846500	Down	SELL	64	22¢	$14	0x4da6e3…
06-07 15:38:45	btc updown 5m 1780846500	Down	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x61684e…
05-13 13:52:08	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	11,111	1¢	$100	0x7e1347…
05-10 04:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xb02d53…
05-10 04:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xff3be3…
05-09 17:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x124e8d…
05-09 17:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x142161…
05-09 17:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	173	9¢	$15	0xd9514e…
05-09 17:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x60be93…
05-09 17:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd3c6e1…
05-09 17:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x5ec2c8…
05-09 17:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	161	2¢	$3	0x5e6d45…
05-09 15:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	137	7¢	$10	0x1d174a…
05-08 13:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x09f2d3…
05-08 13:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xceb032…
05-08 13:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	351	14¢	$50	0x985cf4…
05-08 13:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	484	4¢	$20	0x85c877…
05-08 13:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	396	5¢	$20	0xc40974…
05-08 13:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xe38d0d…
05-08 13:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0xb6f3df…
05-08 13:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x77dd70…
05-08 13:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	243	6¢	$15	0xae87bc…
05-08 13:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0x0c102d…
05-08 13:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	560	4¢	$20	0xeda4ce…
05-08 12:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,348	2¢	$30	0x1d3594…
05-08 12:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	239	98¢	$235	0x87f327…
05-08 12:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0xe799ab…
05-08 12:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	214	16¢	$34	0x87b6a2…
05-08 12:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x3ec79b…
05-08 09:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xe72f60…
05-08 08:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	154	11¢	$17	0x53d500…
05-08 08:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x943585…
05-08 08:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x5df29f…
05-08 08:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0xb36cbe…
05-08 08:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x65c9d7…
05-07 09:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	547	5¢	$30	0x383cb6…
05-07 09:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x853b48…
05-07 09:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0x288a13…
05-07 09:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x1f3dda…
05-07 09:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	237	8¢	$18	0xcc6131…
05-07 08:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xee0ce6…
05-07 08:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x337a64…
05-07 08:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x58b251…
05-07 07:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xa9c6d8…
05-07 06:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x9d26b3…
05-07 06:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x58a7f7…
05-07 06:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x47e982…
05-06 10:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x72d556…
05-06 10:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa1ee30…
05-06 09:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x111ce6…
05-06 07:44:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xdb0d42…
05-04 19:59:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf98e4c…
05-04 19:58:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0x7230f6…
05-04 17:25:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x8c42e0…
04-29 21:39:14	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,111	2¢	$20	0x7d87e8…
04-29 18:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc4b208…
04-29 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5fe4b3…
04-29 18:09:26	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56,148	0¢	$56	0xc1e5e6…
04-29 15:21:08	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	333	18¢	$60	0xf41133…
04-29 15:17:42	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x5c76f5…
04-26 19:02:12	Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	240	31¢	$74	0x7ad51b…
04-26 18:49:08	Will CD Santa Clara vs. SC Braga end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	538	9¢	$50	0xdfb24e…
04-26 18:13:08	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x0928d2…
04-26 18:01:06	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	263	67¢	$176	0x8d8ad7…
04-26 17:16:08	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	270	19¢	$51	0xaf91b6…
04-26 11:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	1,938	2¢	$42	0x49c07a…
04-26 07:42:40	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23,990	0¢	$48	0x47e195…
04-25 17:47:08	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32,158	0¢	$129	0x1484fb…
04-22 11:13:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21,744	1¢	$152	0x5a976e…
04-22 11:13:24	kor any uls 2026 04 22 uls	Yes	BUY	334	15¢	$50	0x18c4b8…
04-21 20:40:56	epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	Yes	SELL	442	0¢	$0	0x02ddd8…
04-21 19:59:24	elc lei hul 2026 04 22 hul	Yes	BUY	259	10¢	$26	0x03df51…
04-21 19:39:50	elc wba wat 2026 04 21 wat	Yes	BUY	1,064	2¢	$20	0x901dcb…
04-21 19:32:22	epl bri che 2026 04 21 che	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x8b2452…
04-21 15:48:22	btc updown 5m 1776786300	Down	BUY	221	14¢	$32	0x200321…
04-21 12:34:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14,671	1¢	$103	0xcb9940…
04-21 12:33:10	btc updown 5m 1776774600	Up	SELL	126	83¢	$104	0x8cb792…
04-21 12:31:32	btc updown 5m 1776774600	Up	BUY	134	19¢	$25	0xe56932…
04-21 12:29:04	btc updown 5m 1776774300	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xd0647e…
04-21 12:27:58	btc updown 5m 1776774300	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xb0a0aa…
04-21 12:26:42	btc updown 5m 1776774300	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x766f2f…
04-21 12:19:02	btc updown 5m 1776773700	Down	BUY	215	4¢	$9	0x9dd6c2…