Adolescent-Undertaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

126

Trades

175

lifetime

Volume

$486

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-19 07:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 57% +$1

Other

28% 40% +$9

Politics

8% 100% +$0

Sports

6% 62% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	2	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 09:26
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$36	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	01-08 13:34
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$36	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	02-25 01:32
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 13:30 UTC	1	$22	22	0	+22	Up	+$0	03-04 13:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 07:50 UTC	1	$21	22	0	+22	Down	+$1	03-12 07:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 07:30 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	02-26 07:44
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 06:45 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	04-06 06:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 06:40 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-18 06:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:45 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	04-12 07:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 07:15 UTC	1	$18	19	0	+19	Down	+$1	01-22 07:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 05:15 UTC	1	$18	18	0	+18	Down	+$0	02-10 05:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 07:15 UTC	1	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	01-30 07:28
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 03:00 UTC	1	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	03-29 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$8	11	11	+0	Up	+$4	05-01 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	6	$7	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	06-01 08:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:45 UTC	4	$6	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	08-21 07:48
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$4	0	60	-60	No	+$4	01-08 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:40 UTC	4	$4	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	07-02 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-01 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$4	6	6	+0	Down	$0	06-01 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:40 UTC	3	$3	12	4	+8	Up	-$1	08-21 07:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:15 UTC	3	$3	27	7	+20	Up	-$1	09-19 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20?	2	$3	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	09-20 07:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:10 UTC	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	06-08 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:10 UTC	2	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	09-19 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$3	10	4	+7	Up	-$1	06-08 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 09:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:20 UTC	3	$3	16	5	+11	Down	-$1	09-19 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	10-19 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$2	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-01 06:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 07:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xa99387…
10-19 07:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbfccec…
10-19 07:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xfa6b12…
10-19 07:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xebf652…
10-19 07:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7ee402…
10-19 07:46:45	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x34f21f…
10-19 07:46:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x0f37c9…
09-20 07:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x41be53…
09-19 13:22:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x47d634…
09-19 13:21:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x997dc4…
09-19 13:20:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf33e5c…
09-19 13:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3e8f39…
09-19 13:16:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x5bb1da…
09-19 13:16:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8014c7…
09-19 13:13:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x929c43…
09-19 13:12:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1d4527…
09-19 13:10:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7ac5cd…
09-19 13:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x9ee676…
08-21 07:48:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x02d2d2…
08-21 07:47:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x20e726…
08-21 07:46:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x77d824…
08-21 07:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xabc577…
08-21 07:42:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbe55dd…
08-21 07:42:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x0c1388…
08-21 07:41:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe459af…
08-21 07:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x033bac…
08-21 07:35:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xc74fc9…
07-21 08:16:51	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x790554…
07-18 13:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x10b79c…
07-18 13:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xfa96cf…
07-18 13:03:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x427dd5…
07-18 13:02:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x25f946…
07-18 13:02:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x96de03…
07-18 13:02:07	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x58f9bd…
07-05 09:15:07	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf183cf…
07-02 13:57:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0xf97ff5…
07-02 13:57:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd035bd…
07-02 13:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3bb074…
07-02 13:46:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x197fbb…
07-02 13:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x73ddc7…
07-02 13:44:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:40 UTC	Down	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0xfba1b3…
07-02 13:44:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x67dde1…
07-02 13:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xe87eac…
07-02 13:41:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x75511e…
07-02 13:38:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc0e41e…
07-02 13:32:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xf61d55…
07-02 13:32:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x40ed6b…
07-02 13:25:28	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0298c8…
07-02 13:25:20	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfde4e2…
07-02 13:25:08	Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4cf915…
07-02 13:24:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0b75bf…
06-23 07:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xac3eee…
06-22 08:35:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x152528…
06-22 08:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x12021a…
06-22 08:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1da6ac…
06-22 08:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x71abf4…
06-22 08:27:40	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x7eb661…
06-22 08:24:07	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x75080b…
06-22 08:23:16	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4064b3…
06-22 08:21:50	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x5850b2…
06-22 08:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xfa0997…
06-08 13:13:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x27ce51…
06-08 13:11:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x147ee7…
06-08 13:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xcab825…
06-08 13:02:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x1d2b2e…
06-08 13:02:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3d2cc9…
06-08 12:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfd6233…
06-08 12:56:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xc25c77…
06-08 12:56:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x047448…
06-08 12:53:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4f93bd…
06-08 12:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xa11fa7…
06-08 12:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfe5952…
06-08 12:48:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb75aa0…
06-01 08:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x7bea6e…
06-01 08:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe4d9d3…
06-01 08:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x14725e…
06-01 08:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf0e155…
06-01 08:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$2	0x6f33d4…
06-01 08:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2e7462…
06-01 07:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xf6e66f…
06-01 07:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x95e058…
06-01 07:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x4c0be5…
06-01 07:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x11b001…
06-01 07:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x019ea3…
06-01 07:49:48	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x464a9d…
05-24 12:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe836f5…
05-24 12:19:23	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf5e568…
05-24 12:18:01	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x1f49fb…
05-24 12:17:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x51ae09…
05-16 08:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1028b2…
05-16 08:38:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x4d7207…
05-16 08:36:06	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf847eb…
05-10 09:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x87589e…
05-10 09:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x82b6bd…
05-10 08:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x57580b…
05-10 08:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf228b2…
05-10 08:53:28	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x3ece4b…
05-10 08:52:16	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xe99845…
05-10 08:51:57	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x13f955…
05-10 08:50:54	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3a5ac4…