Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

$199

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-25 04:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

41% 93% +$881

Sports

36% 33% -$707

Politics

18% 78% -$211

Crypto

3% 50% -$2

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		+100	$100	100¢	$100	+$0	05-02 06:16
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		+100	$96	99¢	$99	+$2	05-02 06:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba chi mia 2026 01 31	1	$660	1,000	0	+1,000	Bulls	-$660	01-31 21:55
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$321	200	200	+0	Yes	+$77	05-02 06:16
nba atl ind 2026 01 31	1	$300	600	0	+600	Pacers	+$300	01-31 21:53
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$278	1,030	0	+1,030	No	+$752	02-11 06:21
will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	02-25 21:34
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	1	$197	200	0	+200	Yes	+$3	02-25 21:37
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	1	$184	200	0	+200	Yes	-$184	02-25 21:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$166	200	0	+200	Yes	-$166	02-25 21:33
nba ind bkn 2026 02 11	1	$145	230	0	+230	Pacers	-$145	02-11 06:18
nba nyk phi 2026 02 11	1	$112	200	0	+200	Knicks	-$112	02-11 06:15
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 19:52
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-25 21:41
will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 19:54
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 19:53
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	03-28 20:03
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 19:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 19:55
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	05-02 06:16
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	05-02 06:17
nba det tor 2026 02 11	1	$96	200	0	+200	Pistons	-$96	02-11 06:16
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$94	100	0	+100	No	+$6	03-28 19:51
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$62	200	0	+200	Yes	+$138	01-25 07:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$57	57	0	+57	No	+$0	03-28 20:04
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	1	$50	100	0	+100	No	+$50	01-25 07:46
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	02-25 21:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	10-25 04:20
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in September?	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$0	09-18 05:05
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by august 31 20260730182630755	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	08-14 20:53
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	07-11 07:51
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	06-08 22:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 04:20:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0dfab8…
09-18 05:05:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in September?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x504166…
08-14 20:53:18	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by august 31 20260730182630755	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x06b8ed…
07-11 07:51:26	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1ce664…
06-08 22:50:25	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xf3e775…
05-02 06:19:04	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2583ac…
05-02 06:17:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x129361…
05-02 06:16:58	Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x87342a…
05-02 06:16:24	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0x6063a8…
04-11 07:53:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf41f7f…
03-28 20:04:08	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x89b0fb…
03-28 20:03:44	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x844e09…
03-28 20:03:12	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0xe7ba9a…
03-28 19:55:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x297ce1…
03-28 19:54:04	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x62f2dd…
03-28 19:53:44	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x510160…
03-28 19:53:06	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe47a37…
03-28 19:52:42	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0xf22920…
03-28 19:52:12	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcd0365…
03-28 19:51:46	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x7a5fa7…
02-25 21:42:32	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xfe7c5e…
02-25 21:41:38	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd9bdd4…
02-25 21:37:26	will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x901ba2…
02-25 21:35:22	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x4cc41e…
02-25 21:34:46	will the dhs shutdown last 14 days or more	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xcc9099…
02-25 21:34:10	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x930e7f…
02-25 21:33:24	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x7f645e…
02-11 06:21:39	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	1,030	27¢	$278	0xa7e6c3…
02-11 06:18:53	nba ind bkn 2026 02 11	Nets	BUY	230	63¢	$145	0x46448a…
02-11 06:16:27	nba det tor 2026 02 11	Raptors	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x2d1954…
02-11 06:15:19	nba nyk phi 2026 02 11	76ers	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x4aef05…
01-31 21:55:42	nba chi mia 2026 01 31	Heat	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x70300f…
01-31 21:53:08	nba atl ind 2026 01 31	Pacers	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x5c7328…
01-25 07:46:48	will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x17e5be…
01-25 07:45:46	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xb17770…