Nutty-Speaking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$177

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

1,816

Trades

2,144

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-20 05:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$177

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 145 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	4	$101	60	60	+0	Down	+$1	05-21 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$100	156	0	+156	Down	+$56	05-21 05:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 20:40 UTC	3	$93	156	0	+156	Up	-$93	06-05 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	4	$77	80	80	+0	Down	-$23	05-21 06:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 17:50 UTC	2	$60	82	0	+82	Up	+$22	06-05 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	13	$59	108	0	+108	Down	-$59	05-19 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	5	$51	94	0	+94	Up	-$51	05-19 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$50	45	45	+0	Up	+$40	10-02 06:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 18:00 UTC	2	$49	40	40	+0	Down	+$9	06-05 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$48	34	34	+0	Up	-$2	10-05 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:05 UTC	2	$47	37	37	+0	Up	+$27	10-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$47	30	30	+0	Up	+$7	10-05 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$46	42	42	+0	Up	+$36	10-02 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$46	51	25	+25	Down	+$11	09-10 06:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 06:15 UTC	3	$45	43	43	+0	Down	-$3	09-15 06:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 22:30 UTC	4	$44	26	26	+0	Up	+$4	10-04 22:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:35 UTC	3	$44	39	16	+23	Down	-$16	10-04 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$41	46	46	+0	Down	-$9	10-05 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	3	$40	39	39	+0	Down	+$0	05-19 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$40	73	0	+73	Up	-$40	05-21 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:40 UTC	2	$37	27	27	+0	Up	+$17	10-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$36	31	31	+0	Down	+$26	10-09 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	6	$36	38	38	+0	Up	-$4	09-11 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	4	$35	49	0	+49	Up	-$35	10-20 05:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$34	68	0	+68	Down	+$34	05-21 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$34	19	19	+0	Up	+$4	10-05 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$33	18	18	+0	Down	+$3	10-05 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$33	24	24	+0	Up	+$13	09-16 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	8	$32	19	19	+0	Up	+$4	09-24 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	09-11 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 05:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x60c762…
10-20 05:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x233bf8…
10-20 05:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x3bb23c…
10-20 05:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xbf4358…
10-20 05:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe4003c…
10-20 05:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x2f758c…
10-20 05:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x8991ae…
10-20 05:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd350d3…
10-20 05:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2c91c2…
10-20 05:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xef3747…
10-20 05:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x538212…
10-20 05:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9ee99f…
10-20 03:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xe06525…
10-20 03:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9621e1…
10-20 03:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xfa1630…
10-20 03:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9e9fb7…
10-20 02:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdd5753…
10-20 02:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe7da35…
10-20 00:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xac02b4…
10-13 06:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2d20af…
10-13 06:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe7a3d8…
10-11 01:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdbf2f7…
10-11 01:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xae6c1e…
10-11 01:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x0cedf7…
10-10 20:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x74624f…
10-10 08:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8096c1…
10-10 00:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6a30f8…
10-09 10:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf76caa…
10-09 10:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcd07bd…
10-09 06:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7f9029…
10-09 06:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1fbc81…
10-09 06:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xde0536…
10-09 06:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x27d03f…
10-09 06:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xaeeed7…
10-09 06:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x98d294…
10-09 06:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf11fc1…
10-09 05:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x759c6a…
10-09 05:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6af660…
10-09 05:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe054dc…
10-09 05:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x84e766…
10-09 05:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xfb2cb7…
10-09 05:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	25	74¢	$19	0x5504e4…
10-09 05:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x350608…
10-09 05:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x4c3884…
10-09 05:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x1e91fb…
10-09 05:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x89293a…
10-09 05:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa85e9a…
10-09 05:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x08ae4a…
10-09 04:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x22692a…
10-09 04:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x9c6d27…
10-09 04:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x2ec044…
10-09 04:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x45795e…
10-09 04:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe40ac3…
10-09 04:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x87de55…
10-09 04:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8abb85…
10-09 04:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb2beb0…
10-09 04:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe48ae2…
10-09 04:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd0b51b…
10-09 04:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x24c167…
10-09 04:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6cbfbd…
10-09 04:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x2a19e3…
10-09 04:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf2220c…
10-08 17:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x31994d…
10-08 17:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x40642c…
10-08 17:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x2c8c8a…
10-08 17:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x569862…
10-08 06:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x517838…
10-08 03:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x99d1d2…
10-08 03:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x01f02a…
10-08 03:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf5e0d3…
10-08 03:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x803c3e…
10-08 03:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x0198d0…
10-08 03:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xcf8a7f…
10-08 03:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x628d5c…
10-08 03:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xcbc280…
10-08 02:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x1410b0…
10-08 02:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x19c1d5…
10-08 02:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x849266…
10-08 02:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf9c9ea…
10-08 02:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x33f96e…
10-08 02:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6e8c60…
10-08 02:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xeb3ec8…
10-08 02:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xdeed77…
10-08 02:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa30653…
10-08 02:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x62f625…
10-08 02:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xd1ef96…
10-08 02:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xf174dc…
10-08 02:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa4c50b…
10-08 02:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3ef60e…
10-08 02:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xca7c37…
10-08 01:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x36194b…
10-08 01:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7bfa91…
10-08 01:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	97¢	$11	0x8508cb…
10-08 01:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x022231…
10-08 01:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x772620…
10-08 01:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9f5422…
10-08 01:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x0d23ef…
10-07 22:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4a04cd…
10-07 21:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8e66fd…
10-07 21:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x17d3e5…