Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

31.9%

Resolved

Trades

476

lifetime

Volume

$2.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-22 14:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% — —

Politics

38% 50% +$20

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes		+84	$37	34¢	$28	$-9	06-15 08:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes		+5	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	06-26 11:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	28	$204	236	203	+34	open	—	06-02 22:35
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	28	$193	337	337	+0	open	—	07-07 19:31
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	3	$173	88	88	+0	open	—	04-29 10:30
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	8	$111	120	120	+0	open	—	07-20 13:25
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	7	$109	300	300	+0	open	—	02-27 13:51
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	2	$107	100	100	+0	open	—	02-14 12:28
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	24	$105	281	265	+16	open	—	02-16 12:07
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	14	$96	83	44	+39	open	—	02-20 17:10
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	4	$94	47	47	+0	open	—	05-14 14:32
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	6	$94	69	69	+0	open	—	07-17 19:46
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	21	$84	126	126	+0	open	—	03-01 02:39
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	17	$73	101	96	+6	open	—	03-06 11:25
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	17	$71	59	59	+0	open	—	05-16 00:05
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	13	$66	89	0	+89	open	—	03-03 15:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	12	$61	65	60	+5	open	—	06-26 11:53
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	6	$59	34	34	+0	open	—	07-19 22:52
another us government shutdown by february 14	30	$56	109	107	+2	open	—	02-14 12:30
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	03-31 05:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	3	$50	54	0	+54	open	—	06-11 14:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	9	$44	110	110	+0	Yes	$-7	02-24 11:07
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	5	$41	36	36	+0	open	—	07-20 08:57
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	4	$39	71	21	+50	open	—	03-06 11:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$37	84	0	+84	open	—	06-15 08:11
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	7	$36	57	23	+34	open	—	06-09 16:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	6	$34	75	6	+69	open	—	06-14 21:26
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$29	50	0	+50	open	—	07-19 15:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	11	$29	25	25	+0	open	—	02-28 07:17
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	02-11 14:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$26	20	9	+12	open	—	07-01 09:46
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	4	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	02-09 23:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 14:29:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x5eb478…
07-22 14:17:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4de6ec…
07-22 14:17:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968	No	BUY	46	41¢	$19	0xbe4977…
07-20 13:25:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	47	62¢	$29	0xa1588c…
07-20 13:23:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x6d9dc8…
07-20 13:19:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	54	69¢	$37	0xcb6a73…
07-20 13:17:22	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	47	32¢	$15	0xbdf2a4…
07-20 13:16:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xadb56b…
07-20 13:08:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	30¢	$14	0xacf19f…
07-20 10:56:15	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0xec9e0e…
07-20 10:52:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x13ae1b…
07-20 08:57:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0x41fe60…
07-20 08:53:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x8d7092…
07-20 08:53:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x88158c…
07-19 22:52:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x88c462…
07-19 22:49:30	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x35373e…
07-19 22:42:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x54b5e4…
07-19 22:42:15	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0x5d4276…
07-19 22:34:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x72d58e…
07-19 22:18:25	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x35a658…
07-19 21:44:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x126244…
07-19 21:29:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x2c3dcd…
07-19 21:17:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x7b997f…
07-19 21:13:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0xd15b00…
07-19 15:12:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	50	59¢	$29	0x0c2d1f…
07-17 19:46:43	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	46	70¢	$32	0xc323c9…
07-17 17:50:15	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	70¢	$0	0x1c546b…
07-17 17:28:24	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x5c3621…
07-17 17:28:01	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xda4c6e…
07-17 17:28:00	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	12	70¢	$8	0xbe7ae4…
07-17 15:41:19	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xcbf79c…
07-17 05:36:10	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x789219…
07-13 09:03:38	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0xb71323…
07-13 09:00:02	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	69	66¢	$46	0xbf69f5…
07-07 19:31:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x1823a6…
07-07 18:56:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb21469…
07-07 18:54:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	39	24¢	$9	0xe9e37a…
07-07 15:41:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	158	16¢	$25	0xa019cb…
07-07 10:53:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	43	16¢	$7	0x059a52…
07-07 10:48:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xd7c84f…
07-07 10:37:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0x43bb4d…
07-06 22:55:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x2ab49f…
07-06 22:50:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x4980c7…
07-06 22:50:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0xe7c4de…
07-06 22:50:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xed7bfe…
07-06 22:30:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x56dc75…
07-06 22:29:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x51bb30…
07-06 21:28:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0xb4875b…
07-06 21:28:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x78042a…
07-06 21:28:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xabad13…
07-06 21:28:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x1edbb9…
07-06 21:25:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xbb3d8d…
07-06 21:20:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x796ecd…
07-06 21:20:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x2eb967…
07-06 20:30:32	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	19	36¢	$7	0x61c682…
07-06 19:40:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x29bbeb…
07-06 19:39:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x1396ab…
07-06 19:35:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	45	34¢	$15	0x59edf1…
07-06 19:15:02	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x13cd02…
07-06 19:13:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xd259d4…
07-06 18:24:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x0d2ab2…
07-06 14:53:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x2b4d11…
07-06 09:39:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	13	66¢	$9	0x26729e…
07-02 08:15:52	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	73	10¢	$7	0xcd9875…
07-02 07:35:20	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	37	9¢	$3	0xa95b72…
07-02 07:28:29	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	79	9¢	$7	0xc51532…
07-01 09:46:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd37979…
06-26 16:25:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x829e2a…
06-26 16:25:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x56f045…
06-26 11:53:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xa84e60…
06-26 10:49:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0xfbef9f…
06-26 07:35:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	4	57¢	$3	0xd671b9…
06-25 22:01:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xa565cf…
06-25 14:13:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xe42083…
06-25 14:13:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x458ebe…
06-25 14:10:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x2e145c…
06-25 14:10:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xacd1d5…
06-25 13:24:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$6	0xdd54c1…
06-25 13:20:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xfee492…
06-24 17:32:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xeb2a96…
06-24 16:41:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	34	46¢	$16	0x0d6c8a…
06-24 15:36:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xadad46…
06-24 15:26:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xdb9e1a…
06-24 15:24:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x463d94…
06-24 15:20:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x008d1c…
06-24 15:20:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xfd6c4c…
06-20 13:29:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0xf5f7a2…
06-20 13:24:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xe55671…
06-18 16:06:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xa7ebf8…
06-15 08:11:07	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	84	44¢	$37	0xac5143…
06-15 00:13:45	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0xd4662f…
06-14 23:49:06	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x69b046…
06-14 21:53:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb42573…
06-14 21:26:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	3	84¢	$2	0xe0eb09…
06-14 21:26:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x04addd…
06-14 21:26:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$0	0xea6e9c…
06-14 21:26:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x9ce778…
06-14 21:26:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x48993a…
06-11 14:06:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xc42c82…
06-11 14:05:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x9a1870…