Gloomy-Wellbeing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.98K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.2%

Resolved

500

Trades

2,052

lifetime

Volume

$62.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-10 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

71% 79% +$1,655

Politics

26% 85% +$275

Crypto

2% 63% +$36

Sports

0% 75% +$19

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	18	$1.4K	1,231	231	+1,000	Yes	+$23	03-25 12:13
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	26	$1.4K	731	731	+0	Yes	+$24	05-20 11:16
will there be at least 175 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	40	$1.4K	705	705	+0	Yes	+$5	01-20 18:09
Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	6	$1.2K	1,126	108	+1,018	No	+$26	09-23 15:20
will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	37	$1.1K	1,140	107	+1,034	No	+$99	04-15 11:29
will elon musks net worth be at least 500b on december 31	2	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	Yes	+$1	01-01 00:30
will there be at least 400 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	24	$1.0K	1,073	0	+1,073	Yes	+$34	01-23 09:25
will starmer say labour during the next prime ministers questions 567	13	$1.0K	705	330	+375	Yes	+$11	03-04 12:45
will there be at least 300 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	5	$970	499	499	+0	Yes	+$21	01-23 09:22
will starmer say iran during the next prime ministers questions event 944	2	$968	485	485	+0	Yes	+$0	03-18 12:14
Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	12	$937	989	0	+989	No	+$53	05-20 11:30
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event	17	$902	959	8	+950	Yes	+$65	03-11 14:04
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	47	$886	904	169	+736	No	+$139	05-20 11:25
will trump say minnesota this week february 1	10	$848	497	384	+114	Yes	+$5	01-27 10:23
Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	33	$806	775	55	+720	No	+$24	09-26 12:27
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?	13	$772	849	25	+824	Yes	+$97	06-19 19:43
will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	21	$770	400	384	+16	Yes	+$3	04-14 16:56
will keir starmer say nhs during the next prime ministers questions 528	1	$700	701	0	+701	No	+$1	01-07 13:41
will starmer say oil or gas during the next prime ministers questions event	28	$693	404	404	+0	Yes	-$24	04-15 11:20
Will Trump say "Trump-Class" or "Trump Fleet" in May?	4	$671	675	0	+675	No	+$4	06-01 14:03
will starmer say mr speaker 15 times during the next prime ministers questions	3	$655	333	333	-0	Yes	+$3	02-25 12:40
will starmer say urgent during the next prime ministers questions event	16	$652	677	2	+675	No	+$27	04-15 14:52
will there be at least 200 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	14	$619	313	313	+0	Yes	+$2	01-21 20:36
Will Keir Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	12	$595	617	0	+617	No	+$21	04-29 11:55
will starmer say public health during the next prime ministers questions event 155 245	19	$586	622	0	+622	No	+$36	04-21 10:01
will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	2	$586	595	0	+595	Yes	+$9	08-06 21:47
will starmer say dialogue during the next prime ministers questions event	4	$571	584	0	+584	No	+$13	03-18 13:08
will ryanair say elon or musk during earnings call	12	$563	387	264	+123	Yes	+$6	01-26 14:19
Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	26	$522	510	294	+217	No	-$181	05-20 11:28
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	11	$521	270	270	+0	No	+$18	09-15 11:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 20:03:07	Texas vs. Oklahoma	Texas	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x5b75f7…
10-02 10:27:11	Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x531d6b…
10-01 21:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0xb51b0e…
10-01 21:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x1889af…
10-01 21:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6cfbda…
10-01 21:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x267497…
10-01 21:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x76dbd2…
10-01 21:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x647dc0…
10-01 21:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x91760d…
10-01 21:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xaf053c…
10-01 21:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfc4968…
10-01 21:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1741fc…
10-01 21:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa81eae…
10-01 21:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x1d4494…
10-01 21:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x465675…
10-01 21:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0e02b8…
10-01 21:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb57887…
10-01 21:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa172db…
10-01 21:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xe4c715…
10-01 21:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc4ef06…
10-01 21:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd3dd0c…
10-01 21:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x278ad5…
10-01 21:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5391e6…
10-01 21:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3e9b01…
10-01 21:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1af0dd…
10-01 21:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x71ed8a…
10-01 21:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2311fd…
10-01 21:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xad20e2…
10-01 21:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xebf786…
10-01 21:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x44989b…
10-01 21:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfdd3ce…
10-01 21:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x2906fd…
10-01 21:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x93f81a…
10-01 21:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x925e93…
10-01 21:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x403fe1…
10-01 21:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x3673a2…
10-01 21:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3db028…
10-01 21:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2e5b47…
10-01 21:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3b0799…
10-01 21:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x74c9af…
10-01 21:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe84969…
10-01 21:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x197799…
10-01 21:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0x38de84…
10-01 21:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x642e2f…
10-01 21:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x72b71f…
10-01 21:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x68adba…
10-01 21:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xf2795d…
10-01 21:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf218a5…
10-01 21:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x63d0a0…
10-01 21:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xc5114a…
10-01 21:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb42576…
10-01 21:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb54c3e…
10-01 21:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7a5ab7…
10-01 21:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xff034a…
10-01 21:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8cb00f…
10-01 21:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x27b8f7…
10-01 21:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0a080d…
10-01 21:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x49e5f3…
10-01 21:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4262ba…
10-01 21:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xef9a3c…
10-01 21:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xfeb856…
10-01 21:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x857490…
10-01 21:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x849d1e…
10-01 21:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xb37667…
10-01 21:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x3dc892…
10-01 21:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa1f43d…
10-01 21:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7e7a36…
10-01 21:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x95544b…
10-01 21:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd059de…
10-01 21:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x551ff9…
10-01 21:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7752d2…
10-01 21:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x18a831…
10-01 21:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x43776f…
10-01 21:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6763f2…
10-01 21:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xaddff8…
10-01 21:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa2d1af…
10-01 21:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x11a167…
10-01 21:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x694028…
10-01 21:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2e84b2…
10-01 21:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3c535c…
10-01 21:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1631cc…
10-01 21:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbbe1e3…
10-01 21:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xa6a0b3…
10-01 21:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfff51d…
10-01 21:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb1a0ca…
10-01 21:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x1a3751…
10-01 21:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x65cba5…
10-01 21:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x885a4c…
10-01 21:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x93add9…
10-01 21:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe4018a…
10-01 21:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf97999…
10-01 21:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x89567b…
10-01 21:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf88024…
10-01 21:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x32f538…
09-27 22:33:50	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x32a2e0…
09-27 19:59:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3df270…
09-27 19:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x71edf9…
09-27 19:58:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8b58e5…
09-27 19:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb47f69…
09-27 19:57:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb224f1…