Knobby-Elicit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$229

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

Trades

3,918

lifetime

Volume

$42.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-06 12:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% $-229

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 202 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	9	$266	207	207	+0	open	—	05-01 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	10	$252	225	225	+0	open	—	04-30 14:55
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	6	$226	200	194	+5	open	—	04-27 09:09
btc updown 5m 1776954300	6	$223	159	155	+4	open	—	04-23 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	8	$177	134	134	+0	open	—	05-01 20:34
eth updown 5m 1776985500	6	$176	147	142	+5	open	—	04-23 23:09
btc updown 5m 1776984000	4	$170	140	136	+5	open	—	04-23 22:45
eth updown 5m 1776889800	5	$168	152	128	+24	open	—	04-22 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$166	135	131	+4	open	—	04-25 16:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$166	102	102	+0	open	—	05-03 12:17
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	4	$165	138	134	+4	open	—	04-24 21:54
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$160	107	105	+2	open	—	04-25 20:09
eth updown 5m 1776985200	2	$157	103	101	+3	open	—	04-23 23:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$155	111	111	+0	open	—	05-01 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$153	98	98	+0	open	—	05-01 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$151	227	227	+0	open	—	05-01 22:33
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	6	$143	133	129	+4	open	—	04-24 21:44
btc updown 5m 1777060200	2	$143	76	76	+1	open	—	04-24 19:54
eth updown 5m 1777059000	5	$143	127	123	+4	open	—	04-24 19:32
btc updown 5m 1776718200	2	$141	98	95	+3	open	—	04-20 20:54
eth updown 5m 1776954000	4	$136	80	79	+1	open	—	04-23 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	6	$131	128	128	+0	open	—	05-04 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$130	107	104	+3	open	—	04-25 13:33
eth updown 5m 1776984600	4	$128	118	115	+4	open	—	04-23 22:54
btc updown 5m 1776985200	2	$125	106	102	+4	open	—	04-23 23:03
btc updown 5m 1776153000	6	$125	103	99	+3	open	—	04-14 07:54
eth updown 5m 1776882900	4	$124	87	85	+2	open	—	04-22 18:39
eth updown 5m 1776940200	5	$123	132	127	+5	open	—	04-23 10:33
btc updown 5m 1776722100	6	$122	96	92	+4	open	—	04-20 21:59
btc updown 5m 1776983700	2	$122	74	72	+2	open	—	04-23 22:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 12:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xca7575…
05-06 12:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x9a333e…
05-06 12:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x011ad5…
05-06 12:48:38	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0x1251d7…
05-06 12:45:48	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x9b76ea…
05-06 12:45:16	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7a978a…
05-06 12:40:30	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0xf386b6…
05-06 12:39:52	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xb2f0a7…
05-06 12:37:36	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xc019ce…
05-06 12:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xadf3e0…
05-06 12:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x6d915a…
05-06 12:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x6867ae…
05-06 12:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xdad8da…
05-06 12:32:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	36	29¢	$11	0xd9fa94…
05-06 12:31:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	36	59¢	$21	0x8b86bf…
05-06 12:31:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x6fda4b…
05-06 12:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf8ac95…
05-06 12:29:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x3455b9…
05-06 12:26:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xdd0676…
05-06 12:16:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	21	78¢	$17	0xac344c…
05-06 12:15:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x14cf0c…
05-06 12:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x989b9f…
05-06 12:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	27	18¢	$5	0x34e73c…
05-06 12:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0xc4f252…
05-06 12:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xba0a2c…
05-06 12:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0x7cb2bf…
05-06 12:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x262b26…
05-06 12:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xe2c471…
05-06 12:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x812f7a…
05-06 11:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	89¢	$10	0x9533ad…
05-06 11:57:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0xa5e365…
05-06 11:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0xb74036…
05-06 11:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x64e70a…
05-06 11:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x6abb3e…
05-06 11:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xaf7cc7…
05-06 11:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0xb7d643…
05-06 11:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xff2e95…
05-06 10:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2619e6…
05-06 10:46:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	17	33¢	$6	0x0a8819…
05-06 10:45:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4141a7…
05-06 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x3d0dd4…
05-06 09:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x9f0d3b…
05-06 09:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd82504…
05-06 09:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	39	49¢	$19	0x566c45…
05-06 09:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe487c2…
05-06 09:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x781ae5…
05-06 09:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x6ab2ff…
05-06 09:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x4751b8…
05-06 09:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3e8627…
05-06 09:37:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	19	38¢	$7	0xce9055…
05-06 09:36:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0260e6…
05-06 09:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0x21092f…
05-06 09:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xfa48a1…
05-06 09:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0xab16b9…
05-06 09:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0xcb9eec…
05-06 09:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x710f0b…
05-06 09:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	18	70¢	$12	0xdb9a80…
05-06 09:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x850ceb…
05-06 09:11:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2f8c02…
05-06 09:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x64cdfb…
05-06 08:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	37	70¢	$26	0xceec70…
05-06 08:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xed2aa8…
05-06 08:41:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0x6be563…
05-06 08:40:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0ae94d…
05-06 08:39:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0xb711c1…
05-06 08:38:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf4c4b9…
05-06 08:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x6b51a5…
05-05 21:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x45fa27…
05-05 21:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x4986d0…
05-05 21:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0x52de98…
05-05 21:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x7483b0…
05-05 21:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0xd9097d…
05-05 21:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x33510b…
05-05 21:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	69	27¢	$19	0xaa4490…
05-05 21:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	69	56¢	$39	0x6d911e…
05-05 20:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x24fe4e…
05-05 20:33:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x5f7d7e…
05-05 20:31:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xd1e80f…
05-05 20:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	98	15¢	$15	0x37f127…
05-05 20:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7bb059…
05-05 20:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x563a81…
05-05 20:21:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x9b8173…
05-05 20:19:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	25	97¢	$25	0xa75829…
05-05 20:17:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x984c65…
05-05 16:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	44	95¢	$41	0x5373b5…
05-05 16:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0x1ca564…
05-05 15:50:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd53192…
05-05 15:49:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$9	0xcd8690…
05-05 15:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x4cbb11…
05-05 15:47:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2f6dc2…
05-05 15:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x9fccba…
05-05 15:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xbddf54…
05-05 15:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xfcef39…
05-05 15:42:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x46a2d6…
05-05 15:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xec747d…
05-05 15:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x704f19…
05-05 15:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x24d77e…
05-05 15:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	16	79¢	$13	0xd8e100…
05-05 15:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9a873f…
05-05 15:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x06e9db…