Realized P&L
-$64.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.16K
Hit rate
77.0%
Resolved
81
Trades
1,847
lifetime
Volume
$1.29M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$699
Open exposure
$23.2K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 11-01 19:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Politics
77% 66% -$75,984
Other
23% 75% +$11,606
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +11,659 $7,870 74¢ $8.6K +$699 10-29 19:03
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +9,557 $6,146 70¢ $6.7K +$592 10-29 14:14
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7,317 $4,755 72¢ $5.2K +$477 10-30 12:16
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,567 $879 52¢ $1.3K +$468 10-30 20:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +659 $490 70¢ $465 -$25 10-27 14:58
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +526 $200 38¢ $200 +$0 10-27 03:20
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +15,249 $91 1¢ $130 +$38 10-30 16:32
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,823 $65 4¢ $65 $0 10-30 07:42
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $64 16¢ $65 +$0 10-29 08:58
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,200 $61 5¢ $61 +$1 10-29 13:56
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,610 $56 4¢ $61 +$5 10-30 18:51
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2,000 $52 3¢ $51 -$1 10-29 08:54
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +175 -$201 26¢ $45 +$246 10-31 15:30
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,000 $43 1¢ $40 -$2 11-01 19:25
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $40 1¢ $38 -$2 11-01 07:58
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +22,000 $44 0¢ $33 -$11 11-01 11:32
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $28 6¢ $28 +$1 10-30 17:43
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $17 18¢ $18 +$1 11-01 04:09
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $18 2¢ $16 -$2 10-30 16:04
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -207 -$29 6¢ $-11 +$18 05-03 04:14
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +8 $30 58¢ $5 -$25 10-29 14:18
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +14 $17 30¢ $4 -$13 10-20 13:23
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $16 26¢ $0 -$15 10-25 02:22
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $291 7¢ $0 -$291 10-29 11:14