Oval-Writer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$320

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.5%

Resolved

588

Trades

865

lifetime

Volume

$27.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 09-19 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 62% -$318

Other

1% 17% -$5

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 19:30 UTC	2	$1.0K	1,032	0	+1,032	Up	+$16	01-08 19:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 20:30 UTC	1	$1000	1,031	0	+1,031	Up	+$31	01-07 20:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:10 UTC	2	$505	772	0	+772	Down	+$75	06-20 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	06-17 18:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 14:05 UTC	1	$476	1,586	0	+1,586	Down	-$476	06-20 14:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 16:00 UTC	1	$361	380	0	+380	Down	-$361	01-24 16:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 15:30 UTC	1	$338	362	0	+362	Down	+$24	01-24 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 14:45 UTC	1	$320	323	0	+323	Down	+$3	01-24 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	3	$306	286	154	+132	Up	+$38	09-17 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$305	324	0	+324	Down	+$4	06-17 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:50 UTC	4	$304	638	349	+289	Up	-$80	06-17 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 20:50 UTC	1	$300	563	0	+563	Down	+$263	06-17 20:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 12:00 UTC	1	$300	323	0	+323	Down	+$23	01-24 12:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 22:45 UTC	1	$297	300	0	+300	Up	+$3	01-23 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 14:30 UTC	1	$287	300	0	+300	Up	+$13	01-24 14:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 22:15 UTC	2	$281	290	0	+290	Up	+$8	01-23 22:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 19:15 UTC	1	$280	286	0	+286	Down	+$6	01-23 19:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 19:00 UTC	1	$277	283	0	+283	Down	+$6	01-23 19:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 18:45 UTC	1	$272	275	0	+275	Down	+$3	01-23 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 18:30 UTC	1	$265	270	0	+270	Down	+$5	01-23 18:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 18:15 UTC	1	$260	268	0	+268	Up	+$8	01-23 18:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 18:00 UTC	1	$255	260	0	+260	Up	+$5	01-23 18:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 16:30 UTC	1	$251	252	0	+252	Up	+$1	01-23 16:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 17:45 UTC	1	$250	255	0	+255	Down	+$5	01-23 17:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 16:15 UTC	1	$248	251	0	+251	Down	+$3	01-23 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 15:45 UTC	1	$246	248	0	+248	Up	+$2	01-23 15:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 15:30 UTC	1	$241	246	0	+246	Up	+$5	01-23 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 00:30 UTC	1	$234	239	0	+239	Down	+$5	01-23 00:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:40 UTC	1	$231	233	0	+233	Up	+$2	06-17 01:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 15:15 UTC	1	$230	235	0	+235	Up	+$5	01-23 15:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 00:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x961d7c…
09-19 00:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x2a42a7…
09-19 00:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xca91b7…
09-19 00:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x335c12…
09-19 00:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x25da96…
09-19 00:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xebfa05…
09-19 00:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x1b9ed7…
09-19 00:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0xf55896…
09-19 00:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xa314a4…
09-19 00:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc2c7a4…
09-19 00:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x859ec2…
09-19 00:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x912c9c…
09-18 23:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4eaa19…
09-18 23:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x051be5…
09-18 22:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x19b5a5…
09-18 21:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4242a0…
09-18 20:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xdc20c4…
09-18 20:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0x5dbdf1…
09-18 20:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x4c9487…
09-18 20:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x99cde9…
09-18 20:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x5ea081…
09-18 20:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	77	90¢	$70	0xd7b17c…
09-18 20:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xf583e2…
09-18 20:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xa9d447…
09-18 19:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfccdf4…
09-18 19:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbb659f…
09-18 19:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x0a0939…
09-18 19:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x2a7d58…
09-18 19:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	79	89¢	$70	0x6edefb…
09-18 19:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x9fe283…
09-18 19:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xff9130…
09-18 19:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x2830e6…
09-18 18:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0x144db6…
09-18 18:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	230	4¢	$10	0xae4f64…
09-18 18:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa39f81…
09-18 16:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x875d54…
09-18 16:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0xd4a662…
09-18 16:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x291ab1…
09-18 16:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x35d20c…
09-18 15:52:33	Valencia: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Despina Papamichail	Yasmine Kabbaj	SELL	67	92¢	$61	0x0e1dc2…
09-18 15:33:19	Valencia: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Despina Papamichail	Yasmine Kabbaj	SELL	22	79¢	$17	0x4ce5b4…
09-18 15:10:28	Valencia: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Despina Papamichail	Yasmine Kabbaj	BUY	89	93¢	$83	0x7cb9de…
09-17 23:58:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x58bdcc…
09-17 23:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x76271e…
09-17 23:47:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd864d9…
09-17 23:40:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	82	53¢	$43	0x041479…
09-17 23:37:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x5a3612…
09-17 23:31:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x102495…
09-17 23:29:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x26521e…
09-17 23:16:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7df6f5…
09-17 23:14:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x8a9da1…
09-17 23:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb79c7f…
09-17 23:11:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbedcd2…
09-17 23:09:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xab5b54…
09-17 23:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x633bf1…
09-17 22:45:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x20523b…
09-17 22:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc45046…
09-17 22:25:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc52092…
09-17 22:12:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	96	77¢	$74	0x75c060…
09-17 22:06:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xce4834…
09-17 19:55:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x06fd10…
09-17 19:52:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0x50a2bc…
09-17 19:51:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x292d17…
09-17 19:50:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x362ce6…
09-17 19:46:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9b769a…
09-17 19:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xd190b7…
09-17 19:28:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xc07930…
09-17 18:20:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2d903e…
09-17 18:19:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9a5452…
09-17 18:09:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc8a3eb…
09-17 18:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x409cf6…
09-17 18:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3935af…
09-17 17:57:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe50691…
09-17 17:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf23c81…
09-17 17:28:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdd6bf2…
09-17 17:21:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc58e9d…
09-17 17:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6fe8d5…
09-17 17:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfd7c1e…
09-17 16:32:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x96fd68…
09-17 16:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5a3d08…
09-17 16:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:25 UTC	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x243d73…
09-17 16:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x92ec18…
09-17 16:23:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8af710…
09-17 16:18:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x2d339e…
09-17 16:16:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2ce19d…
09-17 16:14:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x995a19…
09-17 16:14:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4e499c…
09-17 16:11:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdef0e8…
09-17 16:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x861978…
09-17 16:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x49b6cd…
09-17 16:02:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x2673f5…
09-17 16:01:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	154	69¢	$106	0x83b4ed…
09-17 16:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x02a012…
09-17 15:56:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd8a4dd…
09-17 15:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3f0a3a…
09-17 15:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x357329…
09-17 14:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x996b62…
09-17 14:17:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x25fb72…
09-17 14:12:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xf265d1…
09-17 14:07:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xabfcde…