Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$116

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

54.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,138

lifetime

Volume

$2.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 05-15 01:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

53% 50% -$33

Sports

35% 53% +$125

Other

12% 56% +$25

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	-13	-$10	94¢	$-12	-$2	05-15 01:46
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	-8	-$5	85¢	$-7	-$1	05-04 06:41
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	96¢	$-1	$0	05-04 06:42
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-51	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	05-15 01:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	156	$297	6,291	6,291	+0	No	-$11	04-13 10:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	223	$228	345	345	+0	No	-$4	04-17 11:47
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	87	$159	307	307	+0	No	+$11	04-19 01:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	105	$142	100	100	+0	Yes	+$8	04-23 13:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	166	$128	164	164	+0	No	+$12	04-26 09:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	113	$126	312	312	+0	No	-$10	04-18 12:25
nba gsw sac 2026 04 10	21	$123	105	103	+3	Kings	+$85	04-11 05:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	88	$107	150	150	+0	No	+$1	04-26 09:21
nba min hou 2026 04 10	18	$93	86	84	+2	Timberwolves	+$61	04-11 04:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	63	$90	155	155	+0	No	+$0	04-18 15:52
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	77	$79	198	198	+0	No	-$11	04-18 01:01
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	38	$72	607	607	+0	No	+$0	04-12 11:47
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	29	$60	66	66	+0	Yes	+$12	04-29 14:03
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	52	$57	78	78	+0	No	-$1	04-26 09:21
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	28	$50	46	34	+12	Yes	-$4	04-14 12:49
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	34	$48	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	04-22 02:32
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	33	$48	30	30	+0	No	+$2	04-24 01:02
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	43	$43	117	117	+0	No	-$5	04-26 09:22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	41	$41	56	56	+0	No	-$5	04-24 01:01
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	21	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$1	04-26 09:21
nba phi ind 2026 04 10 spread away 14pt5	21	$40	42	41	+1	Pacers	+$1	04-10 23:41
nba phi ind 2026 04 10 spread away 15pt5	21	$40	38	38	+1	Pacers	+$0	04-10 23:41
nba gsw sac 2026 04 10 spread away 11pt5	21	$39	36	36	+0	Kings	$0	04-10 23:42
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	47	$34	83	83	+0	No	-$6	04-22 02:31
mlb wsh mil 2026 04 10	10	$34	26	25	+1	Washington Nationals	+$17	04-11 04:00
nhl min dal 2026 04 09	10	$33	26	24	+1	Stars	+$15	04-10 05:46
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	30	$31	39	39	+0	No	-$1	04-17 13:59
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	17	$31	202	202	+0	No	-$1	04-10 23:42
nhl las sea 2026 04 09	16	$31	27	16	+12	Kraken	+$1	04-10 05:46
nhl nsh utah 2026 04 09	15	$29	28	15	+13	Utah	+$1	04-10 05:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 01:46:28	Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	51	1¢	$0	0x69e26f…
05-15 01:46:23	Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe02160…
05-15 01:46:14	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	SELL	13	78¢	$10	0xd53daf…
05-04 06:42:12	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x79280b…
05-04 06:42:04	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x7d5fc4…
05-04 06:41:58	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xa78156…
05-04 06:41:52	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x2521dc…
04-29 14:03:02	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xdb2690…
04-29 14:02:54	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x85795b…
04-29 14:02:40	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xd259c8…
04-26 09:23:04	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by April 26, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1cfd51…
04-26 09:22:54	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x5bf1ae…
04-26 09:22:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x39eaa2…
04-26 09:22:42	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xa0cd94…
04-26 09:22:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6ceb22…
04-26 09:22:14	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x31787d…
04-26 09:22:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x61854f…
04-26 09:21:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x72a16c…
04-26 09:21:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x5b488d…
04-26 09:21:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	17	86¢	$15	0x616702…
04-26 09:21:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x44297b…
04-26 09:21:14	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x52688e…
04-25 09:30:20	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x2d4208…
04-25 05:11:44	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5621a0…
04-25 05:08:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc4af41…
04-25 05:03:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe1f443…
04-25 05:03:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa7026c…
04-25 05:02:56	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x43f9a0…
04-25 05:00:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf9bcb6…
04-25 04:33:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe36a73…
04-25 04:33:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc93e30…
04-25 04:33:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa5e098…
04-25 04:33:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xae88bd…
04-25 04:33:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x89fc03…
04-25 04:28:56	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x926897…
04-25 04:28:54	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdf8559…
04-25 00:59:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xbde103…
04-25 00:25:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc2c4a9…
04-24 23:19:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcf3b14…
04-24 23:08:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7e7229…
04-24 22:59:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x06aaf0…
04-24 21:47:46	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf069b6…
04-24 21:28:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x9e8c75…
04-24 21:08:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xaa8c32…
04-24 21:04:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x964e00…
04-24 20:43:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8662cd…
04-24 20:40:10	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x18863d…
04-24 20:27:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x17f034…
04-24 20:17:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x6ff7cc…
04-24 20:14:28	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6a58ff…
04-24 20:09:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8b9d4a…
04-24 20:09:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa5aec6…
04-24 19:53:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x52b1ed…
04-24 19:53:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcbcedc…
04-24 17:42:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1cd205…
04-24 16:02:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x71b65c…
04-24 16:00:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeaa979…
04-24 16:00:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x173376…
04-24 16:00:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x65c1ec…
04-24 10:05:30	Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd24d9f…
04-24 04:17:38	Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x430635…
04-24 01:02:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0xbf8d51…
04-24 01:02:18	U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x43cf73…
04-24 01:01:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x62141f…
04-23 20:10:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x410bcf…
04-23 18:15:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7ed784…
04-23 17:22:26	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdd110f…
04-23 15:01:40	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xae7ac1…
04-23 14:58:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8a9107…
04-23 14:53:08	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x27c40a…
04-23 13:58:02	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x74873d…
04-23 13:53:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x59b000…
04-23 13:52:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe40786…
04-23 13:45:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfa20c1…
04-23 13:45:12	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xaed07f…
04-23 13:44:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x85bbe3…
04-23 13:44:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3c1874…
04-23 13:44:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x25e8ad…
04-23 13:44:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0ee16b…
04-23 13:07:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x390449…
04-23 13:07:10	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6a7ce7…
04-23 13:07:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xef812a…
04-23 13:07:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7cf08e…
04-23 13:07:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xac58a4…
04-23 13:07:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x139d35…
04-23 13:07:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd40ccf…
04-23 13:07:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8323ba…
04-23 13:07:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x836ab2…
04-23 13:07:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x38c76b…
04-23 13:07:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1a8b04…
04-23 13:06:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8610e2…
04-23 13:06:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2b15b2…
04-23 13:06:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe76a52…
04-23 13:06:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9d08dd…
04-23 13:06:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x82f511…
04-23 13:06:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb70637…
04-23 13:06:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x50bc78…
04-23 09:53:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x663260…
04-23 09:16:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xde54ea…
04-23 09:11:00	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0xffb52e…