Open-Cacao — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$264

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

1,745

Trades

3,282

lifetime

Volume

$21.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-12 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 172 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 52% -$351

Other

10% 50% +$87

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	6	$1.0K	968	968	+0	No	-$165	09-09 14:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1000	1,252	0	+1,252	Yes	+$252	07-27 08:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:30 UTC	12	$120	72	72	-0	Up	+$0	01-06 06:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 11:45 UTC	10	$102	61	61	+0	Up	+$1	01-05 11:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 03:30 UTC	10	$102	62	62	-0	Up	+$2	01-06 03:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 00:00 UTC	15	$101	59	59	+0	Up	+$1	01-03 00:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 20:30 UTC	10	$101	58	58	+0	Down	+$0	01-05 20:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 02:15 UTC	11	$101	74	48	+26	Up	+$6	01-04 02:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 06:15 UTC	10	$100	59	59	+0	Up	$0	01-06 06:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 23:00 UTC	10	$100	59	59	+0	Down	-$1	01-05 23:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:00 UTC	10	$95	65	65	+0	Up	-$5	01-06 05:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 08:15 UTC	12	$90	107	0	+107	Up	+$17	01-01 08:23
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 12:15 UTC	8	$83	48	48	+0	Down	+$2	01-05 12:22
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 18:45 UTC	8	$82	46	46	+0	Up	+$1	01-05 18:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 08:00 UTC	8	$81	46	46	+0	Up	+$1	01-06 08:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 20:00 UTC	8	$81	44	44	+0	Up	+$0	01-05 20:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 22:15 UTC	8	$81	49	49	+0	Up	$0	01-05 22:20
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 12:00 UTC	10	$81	49	49	+0	Up	+$0	01-05 12:09
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 22:45 UTC	8	$80	50	50	+0	Down	+$0	01-05 22:52
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 17:30 UTC	8	$80	48	48	+0	Up	$0	01-05 17:35
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 17:45 UTC	8	$80	57	34	+23	Down	+$3	01-03 17:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 17:45 UTC	8	$79	48	48	+0	Up	-$2	01-05 17:52
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 05:30 UTC	8	$77	50	50	+0	Down	-$4	01-06 05:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 12:45 UTC	10	$71	51	38	+12	Up	+$3	01-05 12:51
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 09:30 UTC	7	$70	48	36	+12	Up	+$2	01-04 09:38
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 12:00 UTC	10	$70	47	34	+13	Down	+$3	01-03 12:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 17:30 UTC	9	$67	42	39	+3	Up	+$0	01-03 17:39
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 03:15 UTC	11	$61	35	35	+0	Down	+$1	01-02 03:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 18:00 UTC	6	$61	37	37	+0	Down	$0	01-05 18:08
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 05:45 UTC	6	$61	37	37	+0	Up	+$1	01-03 05:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 09:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xee19ee…
11-12 09:14:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x2efc4c…
11-12 09:10:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-12 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x9811e9…
11-11 23:15:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa5d7e3…
11-11 22:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x08b183…
11-11 15:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x9f7268…
11-11 09:39:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1e193c…
11-11 06:49:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6c4ef4…
11-11 04:35:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x5b7c49…
11-09 19:40:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa52d87…
11-09 19:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xe23abc…
11-09 11:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x6472f5…
11-09 06:20:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x553dad…
11-09 06:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5b5b48…
11-09 05:34:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0acbfd…
11-08 16:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0x9f0569…
11-08 16:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x868fd6…
11-08 10:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe2fecb…
11-08 06:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x956f1d…
11-08 06:45:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0x8a9607…
11-08 03:05:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xaea676…
11-07 19:09:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0006d9…
11-07 15:11:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$3	0x61d490…
11-07 15:11:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x26e1c2…
11-07 12:44:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x36da51…
11-07 10:30:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xfff41c…
11-07 10:30:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x959ae8…
11-06 21:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x43aa07…
11-06 07:45:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x76b48e…
11-05 21:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x0face7…
11-05 21:04:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc754a3…
11-05 15:55:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe7c037…
11-05 14:44:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf487c8…
11-05 12:30:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x733ed2…
11-05 12:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xbf9664…
11-04 22:20:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd0d478…
11-04 19:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x475102…
11-04 16:40:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbfa0b4…
11-04 16:04:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xfc1455…
11-04 15:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xfcebb9…
11-04 14:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x89893f…
11-04 14:45:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa355ca…
11-04 12:04:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4d2ce5…
11-04 10:25:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$1	0x9c33b5…
11-04 10:25:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x93077a…
11-04 10:25:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x90012a…
11-04 10:25:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0913ba…
11-04 08:19:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x828138…
11-04 04:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x77fdd7…
11-04 03:04:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x32b9ad…
11-03 23:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd5e665…
11-03 23:49:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xebd03e…
11-03 13:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb84f4f…
11-03 13:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0xcee00a…
11-03 13:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5edcfb…
11-03 13:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x37d0c0…
11-03 13:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x269dc2…
11-03 12:24:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb228b3…
11-03 07:55:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x2a4c8d…
11-03 02:09:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb985da…
11-02 19:45:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb48cd5…
11-02 16:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x229b26…
11-02 13:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x77d300…
11-02 03:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x867344…
11-01 23:05:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x6e7aa6…
11-01 08:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xdc2ce6…
10-31 22:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4cd14e…
10-31 14:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x95c9f9…
10-31 12:40:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbb5904…
10-31 08:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xa8eea4…
10-31 08:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x3606ff…
10-31 08:35:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x33e35c…
10-31 06:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb00f33…
10-31 06:04:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x98395b…
10-30 15:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x84aae3…
10-30 11:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x1a40bd…
10-29 20:10:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$4	0x9a53ae…
10-29 15:09:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x55fd85…
10-29 14:34:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9b39af…
10-28 11:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x035c9b…
10-28 08:29:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xae609c…
10-28 07:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xf955ea…
10-28 06:05:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x646b33…
10-27 21:34:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x726683…
10-27 13:39:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd24f80…
10-27 12:29:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3b9eae…
10-27 11:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6be803…
10-27 10:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x7f151b…
10-27 07:50:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x721cba…
10-27 07:14:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1fe312…
10-27 06:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe1f7c6…
10-27 04:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7ebb3d…
10-27 03:05:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x55599d…
10-26 23:04:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7858bb…
10-26 18:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xaa4155…
10-26 13:29:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x83b1f2…
10-26 08:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x299dac…
10-26 01:45:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc1db3f…
10-26 01:45:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x9e85ed…
10-26 01:40:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x264a56…