Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

76.0%

Resolved

844

Trades

1,449

lifetime

Volume

$8.82K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 10-29 19:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

70% 50% -$41

Politics

19% 66% -$18

Sports

5% 78% +$0

Tech

4% 47% -$2

Crypto

2% 20% -$6

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 233 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	+20	$18	5¢	$1	-$17	10-29 17:51
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	+20	$0	1¢	$0	+$0	10-28 10:22
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+0	-$1	99¢	$0	+$1	10-29 08:29
Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	10-29 19:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	8	$152	79	79	+0	open	—	10-29 08:29
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	4	$76	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	10-28 22:02
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in November?	6	$75	40	40	+0	open	—	10-27 15:11
Will Rasmus Dahlin win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy?	4	$72	38	38	+0	open	—	10-24 14:33
Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$63	35	35	+0	open	—	10-28 03:16
Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation at the end of October?	6	$51	28	28	+0	open	—	10-23 09:12
gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	2	$47	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 01:23
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 29?	3	$39	40	20	+20	open	—	10-29 07:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	3	$39	40	20	+20	No	+$1	10-27 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	10-27 12:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 21?	3	$39	40	20	+20	No	+$0	10-21 11:29
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 22?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-22 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 23?	3	$39	40	20	+20	No	$0	10-22 22:03
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 20, 2026?	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	10-29 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 23?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-23 03:32
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 29?	4	$38	40	20	+20	open	—	10-29 17:51
Will Matthew Stafford be the first QB to 2,000 passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	3	$38	40	20	+20	open	—	10-27 04:09
Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?	3	$38	40	20	+20	Yes	$0	10-26 22:39
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4-4.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	4	$38	40	20	+20	open	—	10-28 14:16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 25?	3	$38	40	20	+20	No	$0	10-25 06:00
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 23?	4	$38	40	20	+20	No	$0	10-23 15:33
Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5% to 9.5%?	3	$38	40	20	+20	No	$0	10-27 21:14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	3	$38	40	20	+20	No	$0	10-28 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on October 21?	3	$38	40	20	+20	No	$0	10-23 00:19
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 23?	5	$38	40	20	+20	No	$0	10-23 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 26?	3	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	10-26 16:44
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on October 23?	4	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-23 19:04
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	3	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	10-28 06:59
Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 3°C or below on October 24?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-24 14:36
Will Marián Porvažník win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-24 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:22:01	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -2.4% and -1.6%?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x6fad9e…
10-29 20:22:01	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -2.4% and -1.6%?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x327575…
10-29 20:19:48	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -2.4% and -1.6%?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xe86531…
10-29 20:18:40	Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between -2.4% and -1.6%?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xcce31a…
10-29 20:04:16	Will Zach LaVine play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7d99d5…
10-29 19:37:04	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x965499…
10-29 19:36:28	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x0f3731…
10-29 19:26:10	Will Justin Douglas win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x78b8ac…
10-29 19:22:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 11 and January 17, 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xa8758d…
10-29 19:21:46	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 11 and January 17, 2027?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xf5aa68…
10-29 19:15:01	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xfa2c63…
10-29 19:14:52	Will Pachuca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xa82f89…
10-29 19:14:31	Will Pachuca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x7ff31f…
10-29 19:13:52	Will Santos Laguna win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x190d2b…
10-29 19:13:52	Will Santos Laguna win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x07bc68…
10-29 19:13:12	Will Santos Laguna win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x5b86c1…
10-29 19:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8ddad7…
10-29 19:10:51	Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x333b06…
10-29 19:10:30	Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xeb4fe9…
10-29 19:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xaf952e…
10-29 19:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x34bd1b…
10-29 19:07:49	Will Genoa finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 Serie A season?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa138e8…
10-29 19:07:12	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x40abf2…
10-29 19:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x99f2a0…
10-29 19:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbc6c76…
10-29 19:02:55	Will Zach LaVine play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf1a8f4…
10-29 17:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x21649c…
10-29 17:54:35	Will Nazem Kadri record 100+ points?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0a1394…
10-29 17:51:43	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 66-70%?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xbade16…
10-29 17:51:16	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x9437ee…
10-29 17:47:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0x1f997c…
10-29 17:46:55	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0xa7a1df…
10-29 17:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe8050b…
10-29 17:20:05	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x3af309…
10-29 17:19:28	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7a1151…
10-29 17:10:38	Democratic Senate odds <60% on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x21220a…
10-29 17:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x959bd1…
10-29 17:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x4d182a…
10-29 17:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x5afcb1…
10-29 17:07:43	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x0fcbf7…
10-29 17:03:02	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9e05b2…
10-29 17:02:53	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x4e9f8a…
10-29 16:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x913d69…
10-29 16:32:50	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xe556c6…
10-29 16:10:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 40% or more?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xaa8ab1…
10-29 16:07:17	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C or below on October 30?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x49d29a…
10-29 16:05:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C or below on October 30?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x38595c…
10-29 15:36:17	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x09d4ce…
10-29 15:05:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd76e90…
10-29 14:22:19	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 40% or more?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x466e5d…
10-29 13:32:01	Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5% to 11.5%?	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x86e156…
10-29 12:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5ddd1c…
10-29 12:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x86af28…
10-29 12:25:52	Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf74a00…
10-29 12:25:52	Will Amcha Yisrael win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x9b7085…
10-29 12:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb1fbc9…
10-29 12:05:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 40% or more?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xcc5c69…
10-29 12:03:17	Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 8.5% to 9.5%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa96cff…
10-29 11:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xa2a006…
10-29 11:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x9b611b…
10-29 11:54:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x6726b4…
10-29 11:54:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xf673e6…
10-29 11:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2d55c0…
10-29 11:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 29?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xb40da9…
10-29 11:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0xafcda7…
10-29 11:03:19	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 20, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x943e4e…
10-29 11:02:59	Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x21977e…
10-29 10:53:17	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$12	0x9dbc7f…
10-29 10:52:13	Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	12	93¢	$12	0x4a2c02…
10-29 10:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdc4d28…
10-29 10:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xaabfe7…
10-29 10:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x75ed6e…
10-29 10:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe19f37…
10-29 10:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x1f6e80…
10-29 09:55:49	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x168610…
10-29 09:55:40	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x1920f5…
10-29 09:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x01a774…
10-29 09:16:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xda3aa3…
10-29 09:15:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming Senate election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x99b094…
10-29 09:03:11	highest temperature in moscow on october 31 2026 1corbelow	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x082993…
10-29 09:03:07	highest temperature in moscow on october 31 2026 2c	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x84836c…
10-29 09:02:40	highest temperature in tel aviv on october 31 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xc0211e…
10-29 09:02:34	highest temperature in tel aviv on october 31 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdbaaa8…
10-29 09:02:31	highest temperature in tel aviv on october 31 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb224b8…
10-29 08:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x97f6d0…
10-29 08:29:34	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x818387…
10-29 08:29:28	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x877806…
10-29 08:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 29?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xfd4296…
10-29 08:19:26	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x15bf5d…
10-29 08:17:23	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0928d1…
10-29 08:14:29	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 4.75-5.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x600afe…
10-29 07:38:20	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 29?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe07a5e…
10-29 07:37:20	Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 7°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x364777…
10-29 07:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe36936…
10-29 07:14:17	Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xebf514…
10-29 07:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	18	96¢	$18	0xe63b20…
10-29 07:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	18	96¢	$18	0xb1e941…
10-29 07:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1e70eb…
10-29 06:47:23	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 1-2 seats?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x01be46…
10-29 06:43:37	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x23b240…