Secret-Arena — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

807

Trades

2,601

lifetime

Volume

$88.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-29 17:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 56% -$1,198

Other

7% 40% -$64

Sports

2% 36% +$4

Politics

1% 50% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	5	$3.5K	5,691	5,691	+0	No	+$179	02-08 16:46
bitcoin up or down february 7 8pm et	10	$1.9K	3,701	1,509	+2,191	Up	-$122	02-08 02:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 00:15 UTC	4	$1.8K	3,870	3,831	+39	Up	-$406	02-06 00:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:30 UTC	2	$1.4K	1,307	1,287	+20	Down	+$257	02-05 23:32
bitcoin up or down march 13 10am et	12	$1.2K	1,438	1,418	+20	Down	+$16	03-13 14:40
bitcoin up or down february 8 1pm et	2	$1.1K	1,389	1,389	+0	Up	+$52	02-08 18:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:15 UTC	2	$947	629	620	+10	Down	+$265	02-05 23:28
ethereum up or down on february 16	4	$904	2,954	2,954	+0	Down	-$213	02-16 14:54
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 3pm et	14	$899	1,448	1,432	+16	Up	-$25	03-27 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 22:45 UTC	33	$896	1,012	1,008	+4	Down	+$38	02-05 22:59
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 6pm et	10	$731	1,198	1,184	+13	Up	-$12	03-22 22:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:45 UTC	3	$660	474	467	+7	Down	+$216	02-05 23:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 23:30 UTC	2	$628	536	528	+8	Up	+$77	02-06 23:30
bitcoin up or down february 5 2pm et	5	$571	886	886	+0	Down	-$117	02-05 19:28
val tl1 ulf 2026 02 05	3	$558	673	673	+0	Team Liquid	+$238	02-05 21:48
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2pm et	16	$556	749	739	+10	Up	-$67	03-27 18:31
cs2 furia vit 2026 02 08	4	$555	953	953	+0	Vitality	-$183	02-08 18:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 13:20 UTC	3	$531	431	424	+7	Down	+$130	02-16 13:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 19:45 UTC	4	$525	320	318	+2	Down	+$13	02-05 19:53
bitcoin up or down march 6 8pm et	14	$522	418	412	+6	Down	+$143	03-07 01:35
Knicks vs. Celtics	3	$517	329	329	+0	Celtics	+$140	10-24 01:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 01:45 UTC	2	$507	707	697	+11	Up	-$286	02-06 01:48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	3	$494	358	358	+0	Yes	+$222	10-20 22:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 22:30 UTC	4	$489	447	442	+5	Down	-$20	02-07 22:38
bitcoin up or down march 13 11am et	8	$475	458	451	+7	Down	+$8	03-13 15:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:45 UTC	4	$471	615	606	+9	Up	-$29	03-13 13:50
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 8pm et	6	$450	467	461	+6	Up	-$21	03-22 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:15 UTC	4	$430	491	490	+1	Down	-$10	02-05 20:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$412	400	400	+0	No	-$4	05-10 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	9	$408	940	940	+0	Up	-$188	04-29 21:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:32:22	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	103	53¢	$55	0x5aa39e…
10-29 17:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	42	71¢	$30	0xf4215d…
10-29 17:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x5eb765…
10-29 17:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	23	69¢	$16	0x2ca000…
10-29 17:30:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x1892ed…
10-29 17:30:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	64	67¢	$43	0x9f6643…
10-29 17:21:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	258	51¢	$132	0x8fd078…
10-29 17:03:13	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov	Taylor Fritz	SELL	190	73¢	$138	0xf69136…
10-29 16:34:07	Swiss Indoors Basel: Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov	Taylor Fritz	BUY	190	64¢	$121	0x222e12…
10-29 16:24:16	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0xb6abaf…
10-29 15:36:17	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Arthur Fils	Arthur Fils	BUY	79	62¢	$49	0xfdcbe4…
10-29 15:32:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	19¢	$11	0xbcf1a3…
10-29 15:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xd85f7c…
10-29 15:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x90b4ef…
10-29 15:31:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x21a9cd…
10-29 15:30:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x6ce24c…
10-29 15:30:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x7b7a56…
10-29 15:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xe7f192…
10-29 15:03:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	40	54¢	$21	0x957675…
10-29 14:58:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x98d66d…
10-29 01:24:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xa2b9ba…
10-29 01:24:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x73523c…
10-29 01:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0x458a70…
10-29 01:06:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x6a3d53…
10-29 01:04:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x5b61cc…
10-29 00:58:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x598c66…
10-27 23:21:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	77	60¢	$46	0xcbf769…
10-27 23:21:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0xb4a875…
10-27 23:21:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	45	61¢	$27	0xf71472…
10-27 23:20:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x805cb2…
10-27 23:20:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xea6cdb…
10-27 23:20:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x50d907…
10-27 23:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x187bee…
10-27 23:19:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xdd609a…
10-27 23:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	45	59¢	$27	0xa52478…
10-27 23:08:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x83792d…
10-27 23:06:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0xae72c7…
10-27 23:06:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x4887b0…
10-27 23:04:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xe18ff2…
10-27 23:04:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x6462dc…
10-27 23:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xecf928…
10-27 23:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbc9b8e…
10-27 23:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2c5615…
10-27 23:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x03bfbc…
10-27 23:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf7df79…
10-27 23:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe35c67…
10-27 23:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa8a564…
10-27 23:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9e0aa4…
10-27 23:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7c58a0…
10-27 23:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x752589…
10-27 23:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x018312…
10-27 23:01:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x433513…
10-27 23:00:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x61837e…
10-27 22:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xee4fea…
10-27 22:53:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	132	87¢	$115	0xcd49e4…
10-27 22:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x92f72a…
10-27 22:04:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x64c030…
10-27 22:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xbd6e00…
10-27 22:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	115	50¢	$58	0x47bb00…
10-27 22:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x669562…
10-27 22:02:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x186313…
10-27 22:02:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x10b34c…
10-27 21:56:48	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	200	47¢	$93	0x3a8298…
10-27 20:52:44	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x51f642…
10-27 20:52:17	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	192	64¢	$123	0xc27480…
10-27 20:52:17	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3a5da1…
10-27 20:50:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	245	52¢	$129	0xc7cd0b…
10-27 17:14:29	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	245	64¢	$157	0x65c61b…
10-27 14:25:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	120	56¢	$67	0x04d4d9…
10-27 14:08:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x981159…
10-27 14:06:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xb407e3…
10-27 14:06:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	115	50¢	$58	0x971221…
10-27 14:02:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	92	65¢	$60	0x0db2f5…
10-27 11:33:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	92	59¢	$55	0x1800ea…
10-24 18:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Up	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xff365d…
10-24 18:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xab0433…
10-24 17:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	128	42¢	$54	0xc5fb91…
10-24 14:11:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x5e987e…
10-24 14:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x6d4b93…
10-24 12:48:24	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	156	24¢	$37	0x7f1cac…
10-24 12:39:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x483609…
10-24 12:28:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	85	15¢	$13	0x58c156…
10-24 12:25:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	85	33¢	$28	0x481200…
10-24 12:09:57	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	156	36¢	$56	0xb20e8c…
10-24 11:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x4699cf…
10-24 11:52:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x18fd3c…
10-24 04:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	98	31¢	$30	0x175b1f…
10-24 04:01:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xa7af6b…
10-24 04:01:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xecbcd5…
10-24 03:50:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x843728…
10-24 03:48:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xa2726a…
10-24 03:44:45	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	281	32¢	$90	0x14fea7…
10-24 03:06:26	Spread: Warriors (-5.5)	Grizzlies	SELL	54	80¢	$43	0x203227…
10-24 02:11:44	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x63fa33…
10-24 02:05:59	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0xc7b5e2…
10-24 01:52:11	Spread: Warriors (-5.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x8bfd90…
10-24 01:51:17	Rockets vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xf88467…
10-24 01:48:59	Knicks vs. Celtics	Celtics	SELL	329	100¢	$329	0x56d33f…
10-24 00:25:21	Knicks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	249	57¢	$142	0x2b3819…
10-24 00:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x886790…