Quiet-Planning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$900

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$100

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-11 21:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		+108	$100	92¢	$100	$-0	06-11 21:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No		+0	$4	16¢	$0	$-4	06-05 05:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	13	$193	218	136	+82	open	—	03-29 17:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	11	$103	124	104	+21	open	—	03-26 09:34
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	6	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	06-11 21:28
bitcoin above 70k on march 26	7	$59	59	46	+12	open	—	03-26 13:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 10	2	$37	51	51	+0	open	—	03-10 08:05
will bitcoin reach 68500 on march 8	2	$34	50	0	+50	open	—	03-08 20:56
will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 26	4	$33	58	45	+12	open	—	03-26 14:05
will bitcoin reach 69k on march 9	2	$29	39	39	+1	open	—	03-09 12:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 8	1	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	03-08 01:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	4	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	03-26 14:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-23 00:54
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	6	$14	26	26	+0	open	—	06-05 05:57
bitcoin above 70k on march 19	12	$13	16	15	+0	open	—	03-19 07:23
bitcoin above 68k on march 11	4	$13	19	19	+0	open	—	03-10 02:34
bitcoin above 66k on march 31	2	$11	18	18	+0	open	—	03-30 05:00
bitcoin above 70k on march 30	3	$8	13	4	+9	open	—	03-27 08:36
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	3	$7	13	12	+1	open	—	03-13 00:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 9	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	03-09 12:19
will bitcoin dip to 65500 on march 8	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-08 23:01
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	03-10 08:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 8	2	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	03-08 01:39
bitcoin above 72k on march 20	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	03-19 00:58
bitcoin above 72k on march 11	2	$6	14	14	+0	open	—	03-10 13:38
bitcoin above 68k on march 9	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	03-09 13:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 9	1	$6	13	0	+13	open	—	03-09 12:16
will bitcoin dip to 66500 on march 8	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	03-08 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-02 06:50
bitcoin above 66k on april 4	2	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	04-01 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 21:14
bitcoin above 68k on april 1	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	03-31 01:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 21:28:58	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x361e6c…
06-11 20:49:49	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x360b78…
06-11 16:51:43	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x666646…
06-11 16:15:37	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x5ab184…
06-05 05:57:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0x0c4ee1…
06-05 03:25:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xd68690…
06-05 03:25:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0xbc36cf…
06-03 16:34:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0xb404e7…
06-03 16:25:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x9efbdf…
06-03 08:53:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x807dcb…
06-03 08:46:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6c2c40…
06-02 14:07:16	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$8	0x5d9972…
05-23 00:54:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	83¢	$15	0x0dcf73…
05-11 21:54:39	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0xc3ffd3…
05-11 21:54:29	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8295da…
05-11 21:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x36337f…
05-11 21:49:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x01076f…
05-11 21:44:51	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xa495f6…
05-11 21:44:30	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xe2df69…
05-11 21:39:52	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd8ea05…
05-11 21:39:33	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xc7cfa0…
05-11 21:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x1b28e3…
05-11 21:34:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x9fae5b…
05-11 21:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x118034…
05-11 21:29:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd7bf1c…
05-11 21:24:33	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x2b036c…
05-11 21:24:30	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x278e65…
05-11 21:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf7f635…
05-11 21:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xf11eee…
05-10 23:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xcf7146…
05-10 23:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7fdfd8…
05-10 23:04:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x908193…
05-10 22:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x7a60db…
05-10 22:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xb66065…
05-02 07:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x5be9c3…
05-02 07:15:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8c1927…
05-02 07:14:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x23c240…
05-02 07:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xb9e87a…
05-02 07:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x3737e9…
05-02 07:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xec3398…
05-02 07:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x351bd2…
05-02 07:04:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa44768…
05-02 07:04:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x731411…
05-02 06:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x44fb79…
05-02 06:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x6a9503…
05-02 06:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xe1fc15…
05-02 06:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xa355c3…
04-01 06:24:51	bitcoin above 66k on april 4	No	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xa95528…
03-31 01:33:23	bitcoin above 68k on april 1	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x3c7085…
03-31 01:33:21	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x07107a…
03-30 05:10:34	bitcoin above 66k on april 4	No	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xa96206…
03-30 05:00:34	bitcoin above 66k on march 31	No	SELL	18	21¢	$4	0xa65567…
03-30 03:29:04	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xa00c83…
03-30 02:46:18	bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x368691…
03-30 00:19:52	bitcoin above 66k on march 30	No	SELL	2	32¢	$0	0x7222f9…
03-29 22:46:16	bitcoin above 66k on march 30	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x088291…
03-29 22:45:30	will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 29	No	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0xf5c6e3…
03-29 20:23:40	will bitcoin reach 67k on march 29	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc96d32…
03-29 17:25:42	will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 29	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xfecfa9…
03-29 17:22:22	bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x031759…
03-29 17:22:14	will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 29	No	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xcda6f3…
03-29 17:17:58	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc1c21a…
03-29 17:15:00	will bitcoin reach 67k on march 29	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc5c440…
03-29 17:13:38	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xaac56e…
03-29 16:51:30	will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 29	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1581e9…
03-29 16:51:06	will bitcoin dip to 66k on march 29	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb6f666…
03-29 16:41:14	bitcoin above 66k on march 31	No	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x9c4f5c…
03-29 16:35:12	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xf0c1a8…
03-29 16:26:40	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x8279ba…
03-27 16:14:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5f51b7…
03-27 08:38:15	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x1d6462…
03-27 08:36:45	bitcoin above 70k on march 30	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x6132c4…
03-26 14:20:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	No	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x433b59…
03-26 14:05:03	will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 26	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x318d93…
03-26 13:55:17	bitcoin above 70k on march 26	No	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xc93e76…
03-26 13:53:51	will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 26	Yes	SELL	45	18¢	$8	0x3521d3…
03-26 09:37:11	will bitcoin reach 71k on march 26	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x27c352…
03-26 09:35:59	will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 26	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x73f194…
03-26 09:34:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0xff6fb4…
03-26 09:34:37	will bitcoin dip to 68k on march 26	Yes	BUY	46	38¢	$17	0xeb1d3f…
03-26 09:34:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xac7f1b…
03-26 09:34:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x85399c…
03-26 09:34:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	27	29¢	$8	0x56c045…
03-26 09:34:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x0337fb…
03-26 09:34:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xb2fcd4…
03-26 09:34:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	Yes	SELL	33	29¢	$10	0x9371d9…
03-26 09:32:01	bitcoin above 70k on march 26	Yes	SELL	39	36¢	$14	0x34f36e…
03-26 09:31:33	will bitcoin dip to 66k march 23 29	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xaa01f3…
03-26 09:31:27	bitcoin above 70k on march 26	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0x8b7954…
03-26 09:31:27	bitcoin above 70k on march 26	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x6a3705…
03-26 08:55:41	bitcoin above 70k on march 30	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1123a2…
03-26 08:55:37	bitcoin above 70k on march 30	No	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xc79732…
03-26 08:48:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 26	No	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0xe41faf…
03-26 04:46:05	bitcoin above 70k on march 26	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xc2705f…
03-26 04:45:51	bitcoin above 70k on march 26	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0xd7deaf…
03-26 04:36:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa7298e…
03-26 04:15:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$3	0x47a567…
03-26 04:11:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x61d878…
03-26 04:10:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x0b42dd…
03-26 04:10:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	Yes	BUY	27	57¢	$16	0x584ffb…