Remarkable-Prospect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$1.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 05-27 15:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

69% 0% $-1

Politics

17% — —

Tech

10% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	4	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	04-25 18:11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$106	53	53	+0	open	—	04-22 15:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$106	53	53	+0	open	—	04-22 16:08
trump out as president by march 31	8	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	03-25 13:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 16:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 17:14
Netanyahu out by April 30?	4	$78	39	39	+0	open	—	04-25 15:13
AWS service disrupted by April 30?	4	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	05-03 17:11
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	04-25 18:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	05-03 17:36
Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 2?	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	04-25 17:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$55	42	42	+0	open	—	05-27 15:37
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	4	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	02-09 15:38
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$-0	05-03 18:28
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	2	$52	27	26	+0	open	—	05-03 19:53
Trump out as President by May 31?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	05-04 05:13
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	$-0	05-03 21:23
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 05:37
will john g roberts attend the 2026 state of the union address	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	02-24 18:04
ethereum above 1600 on february 24	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	02-24 13:03
howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-29 15:07
will partido popular pp win the 2026 aragon regional election 724	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	02-05 15:59
as quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt28	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-23 15:14
will jessie buckley win best actress in a motion picture at the 2026 sag awards	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-24 18:03
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	02-08 16:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-18 09:32
FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?	1	$12	0	12	-12	Yes	$-1	05-04 09:10
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	03-16 18:55
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	02-27 05:54
dpz quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 23 2026 5pt39	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-23 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 15:37:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x458b4f…
05-10 06:43:09	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x65c11e…
05-04 09:10:56	FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x2cfd2b…
05-04 05:37:16	Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$25	0x96aa93…
05-04 05:26:22	Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x4b33a4…
05-04 05:13:08	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x655048…
05-04 04:59:12	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x1577e2…
05-03 21:23:02	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xfc4ef5…
05-03 20:38:28	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x77fcce…
05-03 19:53:20	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0x13a8f3…
05-03 19:28:42	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x058a28…
05-03 18:28:12	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	Yes	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x5dfdf6…
05-03 18:16:38	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x0f4b3b…
05-03 18:16:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xa576a6…
05-03 17:55:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x78cbf5…
05-03 17:36:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x684112…
05-03 17:25:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x42be9d…
05-03 17:11:36	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x285784…
05-03 16:55:44	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6f1254…
05-03 15:31:24	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x895429…
05-02 04:42:40	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x363e75…
04-25 18:56:44	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x818d6d…
04-25 18:47:40	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x116e2b…
04-25 18:11:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xfdf08f…
04-25 17:53:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xca2d95…
04-25 17:09:20	Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 2?	Yes	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x914626…
04-25 16:38:32	Will "Dandelion - Ella Langley" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 2?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfddf67…
04-25 15:13:14	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe3c611…
04-25 14:42:20	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xba2ec0…
04-25 14:41:48	Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x0b3b55…
04-22 17:37:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x7f0770…
04-22 17:22:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb62f45…
04-22 17:14:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xd2e2da…
04-22 17:02:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd96b09…
04-22 16:56:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x61df49…
04-22 16:38:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe8632d…
04-22 16:37:48	Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdc413c…
04-22 16:34:48	Will Trump say "Air Force" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x59ce3c…
04-22 16:10:04	Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x30bce1…
04-22 16:08:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x3145ee…
04-22 15:49:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0xf9a9be…
04-22 15:48:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x0fa386…
04-22 15:33:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xfa3a10…
04-22 14:55:40	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xf4440e…
04-22 05:47:14	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9b152e…
04-21 15:01:20	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaa7a75…
04-21 15:00:10	mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt26	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0448b1…
04-21 14:59:54	hal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 0pt51	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcd064c…
04-18 09:32:48	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc71ea1…
04-17 11:59:16	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x94b276…
04-17 11:57:50	tfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 17 2026 1	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b8f91…
04-16 14:42:14	aal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 23 2026 neg0pt46	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdf79e6…
04-14 14:24:51	stt quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 17 2026 2pt57	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x941721…
04-14 14:23:59	mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt26	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x67d50c…
04-14 14:23:47	hal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 21 2026 0pt51	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc9b25f…
04-14 14:22:43	unp quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 2pt84	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2993da…
04-14 13:39:57	axp quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 23 2026 3pt99	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc53307…
04-11 10:23:59	imax quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd51b7a…
04-11 10:00:13	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x939321…
04-10 07:28:39	unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	Yes	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x5c4413…
04-09 09:20:07	t quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt55	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6acb14…
04-09 09:19:35	tfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 17 2026 1	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x071126…
04-07 12:58:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9d9aa8…
04-07 12:57:07	will trump be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience of the week april 6	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x1687cb…
04-06 14:02:23	will trump say equipment during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x478f5d…
04-06 14:02:13	will trump say peace or war 3 times during monday news conference	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbb3106…
04-06 13:49:07	will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xb418ba…
04-02 13:26:11	will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xefd436…
04-01 17:24:11	unty quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 10 2026 1pt37	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb87202…
04-01 17:23:31	wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 09 2026 1pt43	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2bc496…
04-01 06:19:17	Will Trump say "Our great First Lady" in April?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6c7eb8…
03-29 15:11:50	Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" in April?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xed0077…
03-29 15:10:20	Will Trump say "United States Armed Forces" in April?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xbf0e18…
03-29 15:09:46	Will Trump say "Trump Was Right About Everything" in April?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xc1a826…
03-29 15:09:30	Will Trump say "Jesus" in April?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4fc76f…
03-29 15:07:46	howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x76ffb4…
03-28 12:32:17	howard lutnick out as secretary of commerce by march 31	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5c775c…
03-28 12:31:27	dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 08 2026 0pt63	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x23ed27…
03-27 05:18:11	nmax quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 26 2026 neg0pt09	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x2d1759…
03-27 05:17:43	will trump say bitcoin in march	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0xf5fd38…
03-25 13:08:19	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x49599c…
03-25 12:15:39	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x57ba9c…
03-24 13:09:55	cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xba0883…
03-23 11:40:33	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x39fe0b…
03-21 20:22:15	will trump say bitcoin in march	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf292d3…
03-21 20:20:35	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3af962…
03-19 19:45:37	nmax quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 26 2026 neg0pt09	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x39ca5b…
03-19 19:45:15	chwy quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 25 2026 0pt28	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x059702…
03-17 20:40:09	lulu quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 17 2026 4pt78	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa60de8…
03-16 18:55:31	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x682a55…
03-14 09:25:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4c6666…
03-13 17:24:53	will mi socialisti mi win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x149c7f…
03-13 17:24:39	will new slovenia christian democrats nsi win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x436375…
03-10 12:12:15	orcl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 09 2026 1pt71	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xebb68f…
03-10 12:11:39	five quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 4	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe5f6f0…
03-10 11:44:33	lulu quarterly earnings gaap eps 03 17 2026 4pt78	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5ff37f…
03-04 19:38:21	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x390239…
03-02 20:05:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3d698c…
03-02 20:02:57	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xc6b762…
03-02 19:59:33	tgt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 2pt16	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe64394…