French-Arm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,807

lifetime

Volume

$8.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-17 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 436 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776929400	22	$277	276	276	+0	open	—	04-23 07:33
btc updown 5m 1776965100	10	$161	178	170	+8	open	—	04-23 17:28
btc updown 5m 1776928800	25	$145	275	0	+275	open	—	04-23 07:23
btc updown 5m 1776966000	6	$143	445	419	+27	open	—	04-23 17:42
btc updown 5m 1776946800	7	$131	134	78	+56	open	—	04-23 12:24
btc updown 5m 1776968700	8	$126	225	0	+225	open	—	04-23 18:29
btc updown 5m 1776968100	10	$119	506	0	+506	open	—	04-23 18:19
btc updown 5m 1776966600	7	$115	104	60	+44	open	—	04-23 17:54
btc updown 5m 1776970800	2	$106	59	58	+1	open	—	04-23 19:04
btc updown 5m 1776972900	7	$104	110	107	+4	open	—	04-23 19:39
btc updown 5m 1776971700	2	$103	56	55	+0	open	—	04-23 19:18
btc updown 5m 1776963300	8	$92	93	89	+3	open	—	04-23 17:00
btc updown 5m 1776969900	3	$89	84	55	+30	open	—	04-23 18:48
btc updown 5m 1776973200	5	$89	123	41	+81	open	—	04-23 19:44
btc updown 5m 1776965700	7	$88	135	38	+97	open	—	04-23 17:39
btc updown 5m 1776972600	4	$87	97	93	+4	open	—	04-23 19:30
btc updown 5m 1776969600	8	$80	146	0	+146	open	—	04-23 18:43
btc updown 5m 1776927900	18	$80	150	0	+150	open	—	04-23 07:09
btc updown 5m 1776963900	7	$70	79	76	+3	open	—	04-23 17:09
btc updown 5m 1776964500	7	$68	70	68	+2	open	—	04-23 17:18
btc updown 5m 1776964200	6	$66	93	88	+5	open	—	04-23 17:14
btc updown 5m 1776966300	12	$65	79	21	+58	open	—	04-23 17:49
btc updown 5m 1776973500	6	$64	58	56	+2	open	—	04-23 19:49
btc updown 5m 1776969300	8	$62	119	62	+57	open	—	04-23 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	6	$61	55	55	+0	open	—	05-15 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	18	$61	61	50	+11	Up	$-19	05-12 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	12	$60	74	32	+42	Down	+$7	05-11 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	10	$59	63	47	+16	Up	$-12	05-11 22:19
btc updown 5m 1776924900	11	$57	105	0	+105	open	—	04-23 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	7	$55	56	56	+0	open	—	05-15 23:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 18:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x411be6…
05-17 18:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xca81c4…
05-17 18:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x350040…
05-17 18:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc5529f…
05-17 18:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x80b930…
05-17 18:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x56dcf8…
05-17 14:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9cefa5…
05-17 14:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xe497be…
05-17 14:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa7cf38…
05-17 14:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x617324…
05-17 14:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbdf339…
05-17 14:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc14828…
05-17 14:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x5ccba1…
05-17 14:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3b11ba…
05-17 14:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x14784d…
05-17 14:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x27cc51…
05-17 14:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x64b57b…
05-17 14:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9a571c…
05-17 14:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc4d80c…
05-17 14:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x058f65…
05-17 14:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xe6767a…
05-17 14:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc19650…
05-17 13:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x25967e…
05-17 13:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xdce677…
05-17 13:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x23bdbb…
05-17 13:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0x31de05…
05-17 13:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6b6dba…
05-17 13:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x39aff8…
05-17 13:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xadd40e…
05-17 13:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4fb694…
05-17 13:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1ddf1c…
05-17 13:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xeae3c3…
05-17 13:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x6d8f66…
05-17 13:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x35677d…
05-17 13:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x02e01b…
05-17 13:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x24b4f3…
05-16 08:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x92abd6…
05-16 06:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x423c49…
05-16 06:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xb9852f…
05-16 06:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x962222…
05-16 06:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x11c5dc…
05-16 06:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x874cf9…
05-16 06:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xae26ca…
05-16 06:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x8d53de…
05-16 06:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x59bfbe…
05-16 06:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xad1e48…
05-16 06:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x7547e0…
05-16 06:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x0920c5…
05-16 06:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xddb360…
05-16 06:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xe327a4…
05-16 06:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x2b60e4…
05-16 06:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x25a50b…
05-16 06:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x8dec47…
05-16 06:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xa6c803…
05-16 06:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x1e7fcd…
05-16 06:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xe33486…
05-16 05:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xb6f2c4…
05-16 05:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$1	0xac69a3…
05-16 05:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x9c9783…
05-16 05:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x19035e…
05-16 05:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x26bf9a…
05-16 05:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9ae2a2…
05-16 05:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x1b37f7…
05-16 05:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x43034e…
05-16 05:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x820b61…
05-16 05:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x4a9dbb…
05-16 05:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x9b9ff6…
05-16 05:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8f9dfe…
05-16 05:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x3136ea…
05-16 05:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x4acad9…
05-16 05:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x4523c7…
05-16 05:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x713538…
05-16 05:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x86c009…
05-16 05:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x2290b9…
05-16 05:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x4913d5…
05-16 05:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xeda977…
05-16 05:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x86d1fc…
05-16 05:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x0b1213…
05-16 05:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x6311a4…
05-16 05:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x35128f…
05-16 05:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0xe73435…
05-16 05:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x5d8aae…
05-16 05:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x50aa2a…
05-16 05:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xaf4907…
05-16 05:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xbcf002…
05-16 05:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x378355…
05-16 05:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xb08cff…
05-16 05:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xaa97a8…
05-16 05:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x497d29…
05-16 05:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x533469…
05-16 05:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xbc7c79…
05-16 05:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x8b87cf…
05-16 05:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xaa53fd…
05-16 05:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x0ac34f…
05-16 05:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0d940f…
05-16 05:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x310d28…
05-16 04:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9b6a69…
05-16 04:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x88e4b9…
05-16 04:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x6507fb…
05-16 04:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x318cb8…