Classic-Rethinking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$166

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,323

lifetime

Volume

$23.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-07 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

59% 47% $-180

Politics

33% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

2% 100% +$14

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	41	$3.4K	9,188	9,788	-600	open	—	02-28 06:02
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	35	$1.0K	1,109	981	+128	open	—	02-27 04:04
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	11	$1.0K	755	1,355	-600	open	—	03-01 02:25
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	15	$770	600	600	+0	open	—	03-02 02:44
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	16	$540	542	542	+0	open	—	02-17 13:58
will the state of the union be 110 minutes or longer	23	$528	382	582	-200	open	—	02-25 03:28
spx up or down on march 4 2026	6	$426	600	200	+400	open	—	03-04 06:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	11	$406	579	579	+0	open	—	03-01 10:13
will mrbeasts latest video get 2022 million views on day 1 835 752	41	$400	395	446	-50	open	—	02-22 10:06
nba mem dal 2026 02 27	6	$400	400	400	+0	open	—	02-28 02:56
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	5	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	03-12 13:41
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	14	$358	320	360	-40	open	—	03-01 09:32
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	4	$298	400	400	+0	open	—	03-12 04:26
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	13	$279	385	385	+0	No	$-45	03-20 10:06
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	7	$279	300	300	+0	open	—	03-24 03:15
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	4	$266	300	100	+200	open	—	03-22 02:34
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	9	$260	484	484	+0	open	—	03-02 02:45
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$260	200	200	+0	open	—	03-03 02:59
will the state of the union be 130 minutes or longer 839	4	$239	100	300	-200	open	—	02-25 03:15
will iran strike cyprus in march	10	$238	600	400	+200	open	—	03-02 02:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$237	290	290	-0	open	—	03-12 03:05
btc updown 15m 1773134100	3	$220	242	40	+202	open	—	03-10 09:24
spx opens up or down on march 13 2026	8	$217	237	88	+148	open	—	03-13 09:02
btc updown 15m 1773132300	3	$212	251	40	+211	open	—	03-10 08:55
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 4 2026	4	$208	250	100	+150	open	—	03-04 08:05
spx opens up or down on march 11 2026	6	$205	200	200	+0	open	—	03-11 06:05
btc updown 15m 1773152100	2	$200	217	0	+217	open	—	03-10 14:23
nvda close above 180 on march 9 2026	2	$190	200	200	+0	open	—	03-07 02:28
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$184	200	200	+0	open	—	02-27 03:05
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$184	200	200	+0	open	—	03-12 03:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 13:30:40	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc6c9ca…
05-07 08:45:02	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x928abc…
05-07 08:45:02	KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kia Tigers	Kia Tigers	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x7e2f88…
05-07 05:57:44	LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xff6cf5…
05-07 05:18:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7ff993…
05-07 05:17:55	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe1b71a…
05-07 05:15:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x65b40e…
05-07 05:14:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xcd35de…
05-06 13:18:02	LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x87239d…
05-06 13:04:12	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In	Ursa	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xf17271…
05-06 12:58:56	Francavilla: Max Schoenhaus vs Zdenek Kolar	Max Schoenhaus	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x555805…
05-06 12:58:56	Francavilla: Max Schoenhaus vs Zdenek Kolar	Max Schoenhaus	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x12d651…
05-06 12:52:00	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Walczaki	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xb709ec…
05-06 12:52:00	Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	Walczaki	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x4db564…
05-06 12:47:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmann	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x77f63d…
05-06 12:46:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Lisa Pigato	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x508c23…
05-06 12:46:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Sara Bejlek	Laura Siegemund	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x6c283c…
05-06 12:46:08	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Laura Siegemund vs Sara Bejlek	Laura Siegemund	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x615d18…
05-06 12:45:10	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenko	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xdb36e7…
05-06 12:44:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x678012…
05-06 12:44:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x4bf62f…
05-06 12:44:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	16	60¢	$9	0x26129d…
05-06 12:07:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandre Muller vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x956318…
05-06 11:42:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmann	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf2793d…
05-06 11:42:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmann	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xdf6c79…
05-06 11:42:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hubert Hurkacz vs Yannick Hanfmann	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf5fd1d…
05-06 11:42:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marco Trungelliti vs Zachary Svajda	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xb49fcd…
05-06 11:41:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Beatriz Haddad Maia	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x82c623…
05-06 11:40:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandre Muller vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x072da8…
05-06 11:39:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Lisa Pigato	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x9fb2db…
05-06 00:08:14	Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs	FlyQuest	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x181018…
05-05 23:10:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x396586…
05-05 23:00:10	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xf63203…
05-05 23:00:10	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xab48bd…
05-05 19:19:54	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x9de096…
05-05 18:40:08	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x775158…
05-05 16:57:40	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x03d6aa…
05-05 16:38:52	Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" in Des Moines?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x314655…
05-05 15:04:24	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatsch	Mayar Sherif	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x29a270…
05-05 14:58:48	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x2bb8b6…
05-05 14:39:26	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x4d1f58…
05-05 14:36:44	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x45a4e1…
05-05 14:29:50	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x0819ba…
05-05 14:29:02	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x703e06…
05-05 14:28:22	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x77ecac…
05-05 14:25:16	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x013e9d…
05-05 14:23:00	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xa1343f…
05-05 14:20:58	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0xb0b030…
05-05 14:00:10	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xd2b3e6…
05-05 13:43:50	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x7ff20f…
05-05 13:32:00	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x797153…
05-05 12:11:52	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xc8d6c7…
05-05 08:08:38	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x441b3e…
05-05 08:06:10	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x64f0f2…
05-05 08:01:24	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x084ca5…
05-05 08:01:14	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x51d169…
05-05 08:00:34	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$12	0x99def1…
05-05 08:00:24	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xde1647…
05-05 08:00:24	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x69aa06…
05-05 08:00:14	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x98fa89…
05-05 08:00:14	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x4c0798…
05-05 08:00:06	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x2a5363…
05-05 08:00:04	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xf4e49d…
05-05 08:00:04	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x408105…
05-05 07:45:40	Will JD Vance say "Tariff" in Des Moines?	No	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0x1353f9…
05-05 06:45:34	Will JD Vance say "Tariff" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x032b6f…
05-05 06:43:58	Will JD Vance say "Tariff" in Des Moines?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6e5494…
05-05 06:30:44	Jiujiang: Viktoria Morvayova vs Yexin Ma	Yexin Ma	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf9d428…
05-05 06:16:54	Wuxi: Tung-Lin Wu vs James McCabe	James McCabe	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x070f55…
05-05 06:16:42	Jiujiang: Aoi Ito vs Lizette Cabrera	Lizette Cabrera	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xc4c364…
05-05 06:16:42	Jiujiang: Aoi Ito vs Lizette Cabrera	Lizette Cabrera	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbb5c60…
05-05 06:15:44	Wuxi: Alex Bolt vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xd1c439…
05-05 06:15:42	Wuxi: Alex Bolt vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xd1514d…
05-05 06:15:16	Jiujiang: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Heather Watson	Heather Watson	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x8977dd…
05-04 15:21:56	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x27e848…
05-04 13:44:44	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A	PlayTime	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x0dd371…
05-04 13:30:20	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x0d9e45…
05-04 13:30:16	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0xd9dc2e…
05-04 13:27:50	Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x4a7223…
05-04 13:24:30	Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Group A	PlayTime	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4dbb49…
05-04 13:17:50	Meta (META) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa54c29…
05-04 13:00:26	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x3175ba…
05-04 12:46:36	LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Vitality	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x588441…
05-04 12:23:08	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x70fda2…
05-04 12:20:08	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	48	60¢	$28	0x151649…
05-04 12:16:28	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xd5eeae…
05-04 11:56:32	Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0xb29dcd…
05-04 11:13:40	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	38	56¢	$21	0xb24180…
05-04 11:13:10	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x9a2522…
05-04 11:12:54	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x17d940…
05-04 11:12:14	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x380120…
05-04 11:07:08	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x599d47…
05-04 11:07:02	NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x08c099…
05-04 11:05:30	LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	BNK FEARX	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0x154369…
05-04 11:05:26	LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	BNK FEARX	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0x0c75e4…
05-04 11:05:24	LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	BNK FEARX	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x2a1dc6…
05-04 11:05:20	Valorant: MIR vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs	MIR	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xf09cba…
05-04 11:02:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Alina Korneeva vs Ella Seidel	Alina Korneeva	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbfcc95…
05-04 11:02:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Alina Korneeva vs Ella Seidel	Alina Korneeva	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb84f09…
05-04 11:02:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Alina Korneeva vs Ella Seidel	Alina Korneeva	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x891e76…