Impressionable-Federation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

139

Trades

311

lifetime

Volume

$8.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-16 18:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Sports

39% 50% $0

Politics

33% 67% +$58

Other

26% 64% -$12

Tech

2% 100% +$14

Crypto

0% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	46	$1.8K	5,346	4,000	+1,346	No	+$264	04-07 00:50
nhl tb ott 2026 04 07	7	$502	575	226	+349	Senators	+$47	04-08 01:27
will leavitt say tariff during the next white house press briefing 932	3	$293	149	149	+0	No	+$3	03-10 20:53
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$248	125	125	+0	Yes	+$0	03-02 04:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$240	124	124	+0	Yes	+$8	03-02 01:57
will jd vance say prescription drug in wisconsin on thursday	2	$235	119	119	+0	Yes	+$2	02-26 19:40
will iran strike cyprus in march	8	$207	249	249	+0	No	+$4	03-09 20:52
chess ywei jsinda 2026 04 04 r6 black	2	$191	192	0	+192	Yes	+$0	04-04 16:02
will trump say affair this week march 22	1	$173	174	0	+174	No	+$1	03-23 06:56
Will Leavitt say "Peace Deal" during the next White House press briefing?	2	$161	163	0	+163	No	+$2	04-08 17:55
will israel be said on the next episode of the joe rogan experience	2	$143	73	73	+0	No	+$2	03-14 05:25
will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 866	2	$140	71	71	+0	Yes	+$1	03-14 00:14
will trump say most favored nation during ohio visit	2	$138	74	74	+0	No	-$1	03-11 20:47
will hillarys remarks not air	4	$131	70	70	+0	Yes	+$2	02-27 21:37
nhl edm ana 2026 02 25	4	$129	229	229	+0	Ducks	-$81	02-26 05:05
Will Leavitt say "FBI" during the next White House press briefing?	2	$104	106	0	+106	No	+$2	04-08 17:53
cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22 spread home 5pt5	2	$104	201	0	+201	Iowa State Cyclones	-$104	03-21 01:06
nhl tb ott 2026 04 07 spread home 1pt5	1	$100	109	0	+109	Senators	+$9	04-08 01:33
will dana white attend the 2026 state of the union address	3	$100	122	0	+122	No	+$22	02-24 22:32
nhl mon ott 2026 03 11	2	$98	138	0	+138	Canadiens	-$98	03-12 00:48
will trump say discombobulator or discombobulated or discombobulating during kentucky visit 554	1	$97	98	0	+98	No	+$1	03-11 21:58
will trump say tariff 6 times during meetings with chancellor merz	3	$91	146	46	+100	Yes	+$1	03-03 17:10
will uk strike iran by march 31	4	$91	61	61	+0	No	+$1	03-09 21:12
will holy shit be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 15	1	$86	89	0	+89	No	+$3	03-11 03:33
will nik airball win at hustler casino on friday	4	$84	107	0	+107	Yes	+$23	03-14 05:56
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$83	134	0	+134	Sabres	-$83	05-16 18:06
will jd vance say state of the union in wisconsin on thursday	2	$78	50	50	+0	Yes	+$1	02-26 17:41
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$64	146	146	+0	No	-$3	03-02 13:42
will trump say hottest during events with japanese pm	2	$64	36	36	+0	No	+$9	03-20 05:26
will iran strike saudi arabia in march	3	$63	45	23	+22	Yes	+$2	03-03 00:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 18:06:10	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	134	62¢	$83	0xec7397…
05-14 00:22:16	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	84	54¢	$46	0x5970ee…
05-12 12:54:09	Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1e2984…
05-12 12:54:04	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x7c06e7…
05-12 12:53:47	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xfd9eee…
05-11 10:44:10	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x4a6c99…
05-10 17:03:05	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x0252a0…
05-10 02:20:58	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x52fc59…
05-10 02:00:40	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x61bc51…
05-09 16:28:59	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x0ca569…
05-09 16:28:11	Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x4ea09d…
05-09 16:27:56	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xd1b684…
05-08 14:09:35	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xe9d2e8…
05-08 14:09:14	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x207c73…
05-07 16:39:20	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x8d5e9e…
05-07 00:55:11	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x1baf75…
05-06 23:59:32	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x8976e6…
05-06 23:57:09	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x1cdc4a…
04-08 17:55:13	Will Leavitt say "Peace Deal" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x7c512b…
04-08 17:54:43	Will Leavitt say "Egregious" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x0d405c…
04-08 17:54:25	Will Leavitt say "Peace Deal" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xa7bc44…
04-08 17:53:59	Will Leavitt say "FBI" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xebe89a…
04-08 17:53:09	Will Leavitt say "TSA" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	25	86¢	$22	0x72fe52…
04-08 17:49:13	Will Leavitt say "TSA" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xdf8903…
04-08 17:49:05	Will Leavitt say "TSA" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xd5595f…
04-08 17:47:45	Will Leavitt say "Fraud" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x3f04b0…
04-08 17:37:25	Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x886371…
04-08 17:32:53	Will Leavitt say "FBI" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x0ae990…
04-08 04:26:43	nhl buf nyr 2026 04 08	Sabres	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x17fed5…
04-08 04:25:49	nhl las van 2026 04 07	Golden Knights	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x65f352…
04-08 04:25:11	nhl las van 2026 04 07	Golden Knights	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x323a72…
04-08 03:51:45	nhl edm utah 2026 04 07	Oilers	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xa08049…
04-08 03:50:17	nhl edm utah 2026 04 07	Oilers	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x08ffa2…
04-08 03:49:09	nhl edm utah 2026 04 07	Oilers	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x88f873…
04-08 03:48:49	nba hou phx 2026 04 07	Rockets	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x134cf8…
04-08 01:33:45	nhl tb ott 2026 04 07 spread home 1pt5	Senators	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x45f4ac…
04-08 01:27:23	nhl tb ott 2026 04 07	Senators	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0xbe5cc3…
04-08 00:51:31	nhl tb ott 2026 04 07	Lightning	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x56dbc0…
04-08 00:51:15	nhl tb ott 2026 04 07	Lightning	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8dc9fa…
04-08 00:43:55	nhl tb ott 2026 04 07	Senators	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x522d4b…
04-08 00:35:03	nhl tb ott 2026 04 07	Lightning	SELL	222	44¢	$98	0x2b552d…
04-08 00:34:39	nhl tb ott 2026 04 07	Senators	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x33ef9d…
04-08 00:11:07	nhl tb ott 2026 04 07	Lightning	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x3470f5…
04-07 00:50:37	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	4,000	26¢	$1,024	0x56d2c1…
04-05 03:12:45	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,519	29¢	$435	0xcd5e41…
04-04 16:23:43	chess jzhu amuzyc 2026 04 04 r6 black	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa91047…
04-04 16:02:41	chess ywei jsinda 2026 04 04 r6 black	Yes	BUY	186	100¢	$186	0xaf477a…
04-04 15:58:03	chess ywei jsinda 2026 04 04 r6 black	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x6e1ee2…
04-03 23:28:59	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	1,958	14¢	$275	0x739e77…
03-25 12:36:39	will starmer say police during the next prime ministers questions event	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x38c8ea…
03-25 12:30:15	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 642	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb33a3d…
03-25 12:19:53	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 642	No	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xc3f896…
03-25 12:16:49	will starmer say trump during the next prime ministers questions event 642	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x329f29…
03-23 06:56:01	will trump say affair this week march 22	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0xc8133a…
03-21 12:45:13	will kentucky win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$8	0x486081…
03-21 01:06:31	cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22 spread home 5pt5	Kentucky Wildcats	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x1c2065…
03-21 01:03:17	cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22 spread home 5pt5	Kentucky Wildcats	BUY	105	51¢	$54	0xcdf688…
03-20 12:17:11	will war be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 376	No	BUY	87	4¢	$3	0x589ff5…
03-20 12:10:49	will war be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 376	No	SELL	135	3¢	$3	0x38e508…
03-20 08:22:05	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	141	18¢	$26	0x8f3e78…
03-20 08:21:49	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x57c71d…
03-20 05:42:09	will kansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	656	1¢	$5	0xe543b1…
03-20 05:26:03	will trump say hottest during events with japanese pm	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xd9a6a8…
03-19 23:31:21	will trump say hiroshima or nagasaki during events with japanese pm	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xd9f8fe…
03-19 23:28:03	will trump say hottest during events with japanese pm	No	BUY	36	76¢	$28	0x1a49b3…
03-19 13:15:19	will ai or artificial intelligence be said 10 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 932	Yes	BUY	55	74¢	$41	0xa851f8…
03-19 13:15:13	will war be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 376	No	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0x27ae1d…
03-19 13:01:19	will iran be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 345	No	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xdac256…
03-19 13:00:47	will oil be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 442	No	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x4b0d8a…
03-19 13:00:43	will war be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 376	No	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0xad44e0…
03-19 13:00:33	will iran be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 345	No	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0x489cd0…
03-19 12:59:51	will agent be said during the next episode of the all in podcast	Yes	BUY	59	67¢	$40	0x5c1902…
03-19 12:59:25	will google be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 773	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x08420c…
03-19 12:58:51	will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 427	Yes	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0x47de3e…
03-19 11:26:03	will trump say election during events with japanese pm	Yes	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0xfe7056…
03-19 11:24:45	will trump say hiroshima or nagasaki during events with japanese pm	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xeba42f…
03-18 07:48:41	will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week march 22	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x678851…
03-18 07:47:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	34	72¢	$25	0xece5bf…
03-18 06:49:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xef4a1f…
03-18 06:47:53	will trump say epic fury during taoiseach events	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x215f60…
03-17 22:12:57	will trump say epic fury during taoiseach events	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x9967dd…
03-17 21:44:43	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x6df149…
03-17 13:45:41	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0xfd8dfc…
03-17 13:43:37	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0xbd5389…
03-17 11:55:19	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x77c32d…
03-17 11:35:41	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb941c9…
03-17 11:33:39	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$0	0x3b3436…
03-17 11:33:29	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xae3753…
03-17 11:32:21	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0x9ba8c3…
03-17 11:03:15	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	174	3¢	$5	0x3be4c6…
03-17 10:29:53	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	176	3¢	$5	0xb574fd…
03-17 10:28:39	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xa17582…
03-17 10:25:51	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	JD Gaming	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe3131e…
03-17 10:20:19	lol ly lll 2026 03 17	LOUD	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x968622…
03-17 10:16:27	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17 game1	JD Gaming	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x53d090…
03-17 10:13:55	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	JD Gaming	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x423bd5…
03-17 10:12:45	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17 total games 4pt5	Over	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x79b271…
03-17 09:59:41	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x609154…
03-17 09:58:35	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x91b20f…
03-17 09:57:47	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x1dec89…