Bleak-Goggles — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$307

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

48.2%

Resolved

216

Trades

409

lifetime

Volume

$2.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-27 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Other

96% 39% +$360

Politics

2% 44% -$6

Sports

1% 0% -$33

Crypto

1% 20% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes		+38	$3	4¢	$2	-$1	05-01 17:49
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes		+40	$4	3¢	$1	-$3	05-01 17:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$184	323	323	+0	No	-$16	10-18 17:34
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$145	325	325	+0	No	+$5	10-17 16:36
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$100	569	0	+569	No	-$100	10-22 08:00
Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$100	172	0	+172	Yes	+$72	10-18 17:40
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$80	217	0	+217	No	-$80	10-07 10:55
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$74	226	0	+226	Yes	+$152	09-28 17:16
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$73	161	161	+0	Yes	+$3	09-06 07:33
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$72	113	0	+113	Yes	+$41	09-24 16:58
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$72	430	208	+222	Yes	+$182	09-20 10:15
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	2	$68	48	48	+0	No	+$28	03-14 04:45
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	9	$67	107	0	+107	Yes	+$40	09-10 21:14
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$60	500	0	+500	open	—	10-27 17:21
Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	8	$51	139	139	+0	No	-$19	08-31 03:27
Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$50	140	0	+140	No	-$50	10-04 00:00
Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$50	171	0	+171	Yes	+$121	10-10 20:36
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	2	$50	211	0	+211	No	-$50	09-15 19:11
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - April 26?	2	$41	32	32	+0	No	-$8	04-23 18:41
Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	4	$40	97	97	+0	No	+$0	09-05 18:04
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	3	$36	66	66	+0	No	-$4	09-06 19:35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$33	102	0	+102	No	-$33	07-13 18:13
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	3	$32	53	19	+34	No	-$24	08-08 04:11
Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	1	$30	210	0	+210	No	-$30	10-24 15:33
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?	1	$30	39	0	+39	Yes	+$9	06-08 08:23
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	5	$28	79	79	+0	No	-$12	08-13 17:31
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	4	$27	102	54	+48	Yes	+$37	07-24 05:59
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	3	$25	44	44	+0	No	-$17	07-25 04:09
Will gas hit (Low) $4.10 by May 31?	2	$24	25	25	+0	No	+$14	05-06 11:36
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$23	38	38	+0	No	-$7	03-20 17:59
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?	4	$23	35	20	+15	No	+$5	06-08 15:15
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$23	22	22	+0	No	+$4	03-23 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 17:21:29	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0x7df4bf…
10-24 15:33:21	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	210	14¢	$30	0x004430…
10-22 08:00:11	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	246	16¢	$40	0xcbd852…
10-22 07:46:03	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	323	19¢	$60	0x2ff4b5…
10-18 17:40:27	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x9ee91c…
10-18 17:34:33	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	323	26¢	$84	0x4bdf83…
10-17 16:38:27	Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x3e229d…
10-17 16:36:00	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	325	23¢	$75	0x8cc18e…
10-17 06:15:58	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x00ecaf…
10-15 14:33:04	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	251	20¢	$50	0x61ee69…
10-10 20:36:57	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	171	29¢	$50	0x873585…
10-07 10:55:21	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x788cce…
10-06 20:15:09	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x269c2d…
10-04 00:00:17	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0x27b896…
09-28 17:16:23	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	65	37¢	$24	0xc1d142…
09-28 03:19:30	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0xedd0e4…
09-25 18:00:39	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0xe9b687…
09-24 16:58:50	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x1a6c4e…
09-24 16:56:14	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x7ae217…
09-23 18:16:23	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe00295…
09-22 19:40:55	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x216eaf…
09-22 12:40:04	Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x24fab7…
09-22 12:39:25	Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe9d11d…
09-20 10:15:57	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	222	14¢	$31	0x6d2bc9…
09-20 05:56:37	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	208	8¢	$16	0xd6980d…
09-15 19:11:03	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xbfc274…
09-15 15:30:16	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xc43dfc…
09-15 14:04:58	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	174	23¢	$40	0x055b2e…
09-10 21:14:16	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x08f79e…
09-10 11:47:33	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	85	9¢	$7	0x6ce33f…
09-10 08:11:39	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xe0dd0f…
09-09 20:22:39	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x74582a…
09-09 20:20:52	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0ea95a…
09-09 20:19:10	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd18960…
09-09 20:18:43	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1ccb7f…
09-09 20:18:42	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2f5e16…
09-09 20:18:21	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x998ee8…
09-09 20:18:09	Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xb4e3c3…
09-08 22:01:21	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xcf61d7…
09-08 22:00:25	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0xb874fa…
09-06 19:35:16	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	66	24¢	$16	0xb61c22…
09-06 14:06:36	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9b50c9…
09-06 07:40:52	Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x4391a3…
09-06 07:33:06	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	89	31¢	$27	0xb383d4…
09-05 18:51:49	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x4867f6…
09-05 18:04:03	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	97	21¢	$20	0xb0425b…
09-05 16:28:19	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x4af919…
09-05 16:22:00	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x916aa0…
09-04 13:12:09	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	71	15¢	$11	0x7f308c…
09-03 16:44:51	Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	68	18¢	$12	0xdb0278…
09-03 16:43:40	Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x109167…
09-02 16:35:54	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	67	8¢	$5	0x17cff5…
09-02 11:14:54	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x8c098b…
08-31 03:27:25	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0xae5ddf…
08-30 11:52:22	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x12561a…
08-30 11:51:43	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x0f92e1…
08-30 06:01:07	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	61	17¢	$10	0x7cb078…
08-29 10:51:36	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x23bddb…
08-29 10:49:22	Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	63	24¢	$15	0x0f2421…
08-29 10:48:28	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	60	19¢	$11	0x07bf8b…
08-29 03:19:03	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xdc4244…
08-28 03:17:43	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x1e0578…
08-28 03:16:58	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	SELL	28	16¢	$5	0x2c7067…
08-27 16:27:16	Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x99b3ae…
08-27 16:24:22	Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x806a05…
08-21 19:37:06	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x29172c…
08-21 19:36:40	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7cba21…
08-20 21:18:00	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8004d4…
08-20 15:28:06	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x786469…
08-15 17:51:24	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x1f13ad…
08-15 17:50:49	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x920a59…
08-15 08:17:42	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x85dba0…
08-13 17:31:49	Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xb2980d…
08-13 17:31:09	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	SELL	79	10¢	$8	0x121b43…
08-12 18:18:39	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0xc52565…
08-12 18:15:28	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xcbd160…
08-12 18:14:52	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc448d6…
08-12 11:12:27	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x43dc80…
08-11 17:52:45	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x6e44b7…
08-11 17:49:04	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xb5b054…
08-08 04:11:51	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	34	53¢	$18	0xc05bae…
08-05 11:12:53	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0x459e52…
08-04 19:25:36	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x0111a4…
08-04 19:24:38	Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x88b6a2…
08-04 19:21:17	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x58b62f…
07-30 11:37:09	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xcf5fe3…
07-30 11:29:06	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0xcb3fd1…
07-29 23:26:44	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	SELL	47	9¢	$4	0x46e5d4…
07-28 20:54:11	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x80d8ff…
07-28 20:53:05	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x8aafaf…
07-28 20:51:19	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe4bef8…
07-28 10:40:31	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x1ba9f9…
07-28 10:39:37	Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb6bc61…
07-27 21:19:39	Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x0700d3…
07-25 22:49:54	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0xac942d…
07-25 04:11:09	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x419484…
07-25 04:09:09	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	Yes	SELL	44	9¢	$4	0x14134a…
07-24 12:53:00	Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	Yes	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x64c1ff…
07-24 12:24:24	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xa81246…
07-24 05:59:22	Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x31e66a…