Fancy-Aftershock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.03K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.1%

Resolved

267

Trades

2,431

lifetime

Volume

$37.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 11-07 15:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

83% 25% -$2,073

Crypto

10% 33% +$117

Politics

7% 33% -$73

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 40 64	69	$3.0K	3,092	3,092	+0	No	+$4	03-03 14:43
andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 100 129	15	$2.6K	1,407	1,407	+0	Yes	+$178	03-06 17:07
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$2.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$55	03-04 11:56
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	11	$2.1K	1,674	674	+1,000	No	+$183	05-08 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$2	05-01 02:25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$10	05-01 08:43
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 65 89	63	$1.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$318	03-16 02:43
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	81	$1.1K	4,269	2,704	+1,565	No	-$40	04-18 02:33
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	2	$867	500	496	+4	No	+$10	04-16 07:59
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	23	$852	2,903	2,815	+88	No	+$74	04-18 02:49
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 65 89	16	$740	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$101	03-13 12:42
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 40 64	68	$734	1,439	1,439	+0	No	+$360	03-17 03:29
andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 130 159	23	$697	2,599	305	+2,293	No	-$566	03-05 19:30
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	7	$640	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$160	03-11 04:56
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	52	$638	1,222	1,222	+0	No	-$27	03-17 07:54
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	6	$625	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$75	03-09 15:45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	26	$565	2,456	2,382	+74	No	-$74	04-27 02:22
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	12	$560	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$100	03-13 12:49
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	10	$537	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$423	03-10 14:53
cz binance of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 40 59	10	$423	297	202	+96	Yes	+$48	04-09 20:57
cz binance of tweets april 3 april 10 2026 20 39	3	$399	287	286	+1	No	-$104	04-08 14:13
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 320 339	13	$394	2,179	2,081	+98	No	+$21	04-18 02:06
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	19	$368	1,346	1,024	+322	No	-$20	04-26 15:48
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	10	$349	1,117	1,069	+48	No	+$36	04-07 12:22
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 115 139	18	$334	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$26	03-13 12:57
cz binance of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 20 39	3	$331	503	503	+0	Yes	+$61	03-18 05:47
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	28	$307	1,000	999	+0	Yes	+$63	03-12 04:22
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	2	$236	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$44	03-10 13:58
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	7	$231	1,100	1,100	+0	No	-$121	03-12 03:32
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	7	$230	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$50	03-10 16:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 15:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	62	14¢	$9	0xb6f4d7…
11-07 15:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xa66a8b…
11-07 12:40:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xe78945…
11-07 12:40:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xa22a32…
11-06 08:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xa1769d…
11-06 08:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x136ed8…
11-06 08:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x767e63…
11-06 08:00:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x5eb30f…
11-05 23:14:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x109fcb…
11-05 23:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x61b62a…
11-05 21:29:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x440b54…
11-05 21:25:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x5d0b22…
11-05 21:25:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xda9cda…
11-05 21:25:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xd32193…
11-05 21:25:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xcc55ad…
11-05 21:25:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x6896b5…
11-05 21:05:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xe65091…
11-05 21:05:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xe1e08b…
11-05 21:05:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x72918b…
11-05 21:05:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3a748f…
11-05 21:05:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x3dc52c…
11-05 14:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xeb8f3b…
11-05 14:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xcb3a1b…
11-05 14:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6c0e22…
11-05 14:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xc9a988…
11-05 14:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x8162ac…
11-05 14:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x728976…
11-05 14:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x5b4ab8…
11-05 14:20:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	32¢	$9	0x97a3da…
11-05 07:30:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x2326f2…
11-05 07:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xf3fe2c…
11-05 07:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xebb930…
11-05 07:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x758fc8…
11-05 07:30:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x3a83d3…
11-05 07:30:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x40313e…
11-05 07:30:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x1c875d…
11-05 07:30:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x167600…
11-05 04:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd0fbdc…
11-05 04:07:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xcb7654…
11-05 01:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xfccb48…
11-05 01:24:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xb69ba6…
11-05 01:20:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	67	14¢	$9	0xc51d46…
11-04 17:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xeb5845…
11-04 17:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0xd53763…
11-04 17:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x8e7095…
11-04 17:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x1ac3bf…
11-04 17:36:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x0f177c…
11-04 17:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc7c31b…
11-04 17:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xab9d25…
11-04 17:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4f955e…
11-04 17:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x2db58f…
11-04 17:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x07f302…
11-04 10:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xe240fd…
11-04 10:57:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xc01c88…
11-04 10:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0xeda2b0…
11-04 10:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9e2f72…
11-04 10:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x627c6e…
11-04 03:05:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xbf4fb1…
11-04 03:05:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x29f8e7…
11-04 03:05:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf91140…
11-04 03:05:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xd5fe88…
11-04 03:05:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x6584e8…
11-04 03:05:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x3b0981…
11-04 00:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x9e4436…
11-04 00:20:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x41dc26…
11-04 00:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0xb96d51…
11-04 00:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8f9537…
11-04 00:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x4f061b…
11-04 00:20:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x3f40e2…
11-03 19:06:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x81420a…
11-03 19:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x43240b…
11-03 14:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x70a399…
11-03 14:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x11fd6f…
11-03 14:05:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0d0856…
11-03 14:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfc5795…
11-03 14:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5abccc…
11-03 14:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x48b029…
11-03 05:05:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xacc54d…
11-03 05:05:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xa91620…
11-03 05:05:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xa1acff…
11-03 05:05:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x7c03aa…
11-03 05:05:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x00905e…
11-03 03:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea8dee…
11-03 03:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1d2521…
11-03 03:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x0e075a…
11-03 03:05:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0xd26781…
11-02 15:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xc6aa2f…
11-02 15:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc33695…
11-02 15:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xbf6840…
11-02 15:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xa7d4f4…
11-02 15:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x81aa08…
11-02 15:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x2d7539…
11-02 15:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x0513e2…
11-02 10:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xff9786…
11-02 10:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xef1c29…
11-02 10:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xe7bfa5…
11-02 10:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xd8f0b1…
11-02 10:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xb53fcf…
11-02 10:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x0041e3…
11-02 09:39:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x05f7aa…