Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

86.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$300

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-26 18:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

87% 62% -$1

Other

5% 20% -$10

Crypto

3% 43% -$3

Sports

3% 0% -$8

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	-4	-$3	70¢	$-3	+$0	10-26 18:49
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	-2	-$1	82¢	$-1	$0	07-08 09:46
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	-1	-$1	95¢	$-1	$0	08-30 13:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$193	194	0	+194	Yes	+$1	03-02 16:07
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$19	13	13	+0	No	+$7	03-17 05:59
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$10	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	03-09 09:25
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$6	7	0	+7	Yes	-$6	03-08 12:32
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	03-26 06:53
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$5	39	0	+39	No	-$5	03-03 15:12
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	03-07 14:17
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-07 13:57
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	3	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	03-09 09:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$3	0	4	-4	open	—	10-26 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:05 UTC	2	$2	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	03-05 14:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-09 09:26
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	400	0	+400	No	-$2	03-07 15:19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	03-07 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 13:40 UTC	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	-$2	03-04 13:43
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	03-07 13:58
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	03-08 18:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$2	8	8	+0	No	$0	03-26 06:53
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	1	$2	0	3	-3	Yes	-$1	05-18 10:47
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	08-30 13:38
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$1	0	3	-3	No	+$1	08-30 13:38
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	03-07 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:00 UTC	1	$1	111	0	+111	Up	-$1	03-04 15:05
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$1	62	0	+62	No	-$1	03-17 07:09
will virginia win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$1	83	0	+83	No	-$1	03-17 07:09
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	-$1	03-11 06:09
will wisconsin win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$1	118	0	+118	No	-$1	03-17 07:09
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	-$1	03-07 14:13
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$1	26	0	+26	No	-$1	03-17 07:10
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-07 21:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:49:23	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x57f6ae…
08-30 13:38:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xf76d7a…
08-30 13:38:33	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x259bdd…
07-08 09:46:13	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x779fb1…
05-18 10:47:12	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xb543ea…
03-26 06:53:49	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x3fa3aa…
03-26 06:53:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x0fd36e…
03-24 09:33:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x18dca6…
03-24 09:33:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x128ad0…
03-18 13:03:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x18f79f…
03-17 07:20:41	highest temperature in atlanta on march 19 2026 64 65f	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x64c26a…
03-17 07:10:03	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe45472…
03-17 07:09:55	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x65183d…
03-17 07:09:49	will virginia win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x841dc5…
03-17 07:09:43	will wisconsin win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0xfe1023…
03-17 07:08:39	will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xfc9487…
03-17 05:59:13	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	13	95¢	$13	0x3ebb08…
03-11 06:09:03	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x97a64e…
03-11 06:08:41	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe4c2f4…
03-09 09:26:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xefcf75…
03-09 09:25:57	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	SELL	3	73¢	$3	0x6fd915…
03-09 09:25:37	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x0de895…
03-08 18:37:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4969b2…
03-08 18:37:53	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xbf238a…
03-08 15:44:07	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x276598…
03-08 15:43:39	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6b483e…
03-08 12:32:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 10 468	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6c3acb…
03-08 12:32:47	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2011c8…
03-08 09:10:07	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7f2b5c…
03-07 21:30:35	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x487efc…
03-07 21:28:31	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xaf0e03…
03-07 16:48:23	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe69f02…
03-07 16:48:13	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf14356…
03-07 15:19:27	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x24b568…
03-07 15:19:03	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x403199…
03-07 15:14:17	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x15c53d…
03-07 15:12:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfeda24…
03-07 14:17:23	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x866c94…
03-07 14:13:55	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7835af…
03-07 14:02:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x697d8e…
03-07 13:58:23	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x30c71e…
03-07 13:58:09	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x6439ff…
03-07 13:57:59	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5fbdb8…
03-05 14:21:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9353b6…
03-05 14:16:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1bea13…
03-05 14:12:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaf65dc…
03-05 14:07:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xb640bb…
03-05 14:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x474fdc…
03-04 15:05:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa7f3aa…
03-04 13:45:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf61f73…
03-04 13:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6d6758…
03-04 13:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf5256d…
03-04 11:33:55	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3627fc…
03-03 15:12:41	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0xaecccf…
03-03 14:48:45	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x661635…
03-02 16:07:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	194	99¢	$193	0xa99fa9…