Smug-Broadcast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$836

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

844

Trades

1,650

lifetime

Volume

$71.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$240

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-09 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 254 days

Categories

Other

67% 64% -$327

Politics

19% 58% -$421

Crypto

11% 47% -$20

Tech

3% 36% -$42

Sports

0% 38% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-120	-$110	98¢	$-118	-$8	08-23 17:42
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	-100	-$95	98¢	$-98	-$3	08-23 17:42
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	+30	$24	78¢	$24	$0	11-09 17:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	12	$4.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$0	04-25 07:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$3.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$0	04-01 16:02
cricipl kol luc 2026 04 09	11	$3.6K	3,406	3,406	+0	Lucknow Super Giants	+$0	04-09 14:01
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs	2	$2.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	BetBoom Team	+$1	04-25 13:49
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$2.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$0	04-18 13:52
bitcoin above 70k on march 25	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 16:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$1.6K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	-$105	03-16 19:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$1.5K	870	870	+0	No	+$1	03-16 16:24
cs2 vit g2 2026 04 14	4	$1.3K	1,400	0	+1,400	Vitality	+$117	04-14 08:57
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winner	3	$1.3K	1,253	0	+1,253	Team Spirit	+$1	05-17 11:48
dota2 pari aur1 2026 04 24	9	$1.1K	650	600	+50	Aurora	-$113	04-24 16:57
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	5	$1.1K	1,050	50	+1,000	Tundra Esports	$0	05-16 13:40
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	2	$1.0K	503	503	+0	No	+$3	03-13 16:01
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner	5	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	PARIVISION	+$1	05-15 15:30
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	7	$936	496	496	+0	Yes	-$1	02-28 11:23
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner	8	$806	568	568	+1	BetBoom Team	-$220	04-25 13:15
Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	2	$799	400	400	+0	Yes	$0	10-31 18:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	17	$676	818	818	+0	No	+$23	06-03 13:24
bitcoin above 68k on february 28	2	$621	312	312	+0	No	+$2	02-28 13:51
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$620	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	06-01 05:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$613	309	309	+0	No	+$3	03-31 18:04
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 90 114	2	$598	300	300	+0	No	+$1	02-23 16:55
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 140 164	2	$594	300	300	+0	No	+$0	02-27 16:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$573	311	311	+0	Yes	-$27	03-01 15:26
will fut esports win esl pro league season 23	3	$560	327	327	+0	No	-$71	03-14 04:52
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	1	$500	500	0	+500	Team Spirit	+$0	11-01 14:06
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	03-18 17:14
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	03-05 18:56
dota2 bb4 ts8 2026 04 23	1	$494	500	0	+500	BetBoom Team	+$6	04-23 17:56
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner	4	$490	500	0	+500	Team Liquid	+$10	04-25 10:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 17:46:58	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x761fc1…
11-08 05:03:24	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group B	Yellow Submarine	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x72baba…
11-07 07:26:30	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc05def…
11-07 05:31:16	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x57cff7…
11-07 05:28:51	Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Astra Invicta	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x8cf83c…
11-07 03:50:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x62ab79…
11-06 20:18:58	Dota 2: Froglings vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A	Astra Invicta	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x952792…
11-05 22:14:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xd3d148…
11-04 16:05:42	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x464cb7…
11-03 23:31:33	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xeb9402…
11-03 14:59:40	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	MOUZ	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xaeae75…
11-03 14:23:25	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	Liquid	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xf24063…
11-02 14:53:27	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	Liquid	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x52fcc5…
11-02 14:53:00	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	Aurora Gaming	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x98e20e…
11-02 14:52:15	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	Liquid	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x07db39…
11-02 14:42:10	Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	OG	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x31997f…
11-01 15:11:43	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x058391…
11-01 14:06:12	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x44e606…
11-01 13:50:16	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xcf6ecc…
11-01 05:40:25	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xbebd5c…
11-01 05:37:31	Counter-Strike: 9z vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	BetBoom Team	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0x23f307…
11-01 05:37:21	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xc2b575…
10-31 18:08:33	Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$399	0x035f52…
10-31 17:29:25	Will FURIA Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xeac550…
10-31 16:17:18	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0xf96c7e…
10-31 11:41:45	Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs	OG	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x09f998…
10-30 16:44:25	dota2 ts8 liquid 2026 10 30	Team Spirit	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x9637a4…
10-30 16:29:45	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xafb281…
10-30 14:51:43	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x0b5201…
10-30 12:19:18	Will Vitality Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xc5118e…
10-29 14:46:35	cs2 nemi1 vit 2026 10 30	Vitality	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xd1485a…
10-29 14:35:55	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	OG	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x6cc485…
10-29 14:32:02	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf0e226…
10-28 14:45:16	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x68c975…
10-28 14:45:04	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xbe9ae0…
10-28 14:45:01	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xdf777a…
10-27 21:01:06	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0xe8f109…
10-27 19:30:45	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x824867…
10-27 19:02:09	dota2 ts8 og 2026 10 28	Team Spirit	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd9af48…
10-27 18:42:42	Will Spirit Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x3e0378…
10-27 14:26:57	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xa53817…
10-26 15:21:03	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x9c01a1…
10-26 15:16:18	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	SELL	22	79¢	$18	0x4414a0…
10-25 18:15:27	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	45	79¢	$36	0xe018c6…
10-25 13:47:35	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	SELL	25	68¢	$17	0xc345ca…
10-25 03:21:41	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x7a1a3d…
10-25 03:20:39	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	MOUZ	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x62988f…
10-25 03:20:18	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xbc1143…
10-24 03:58:11	Will Spirit Win the PGL Masters Bucharest 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xdf1767…
10-23 13:17:57	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	35	78¢	$27	0xc44cf1…
10-22 15:56:41	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Yellow Submarine	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xc28bf2…
10-20 13:34:53	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Yellow Submarine	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xec0986…
10-17 16:44:12	dota2 yes spirit1 2026 10 17	Yellow Submarine	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xd86c2b…
10-17 15:11:39	cs2 furia aur1 2026 10 17	Aurora Gaming	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x3af25f…
10-17 13:27:56	dota2 tr7 xtreme 2026 10 17	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa9963f…
10-17 13:06:03	dota2 tr7 xtreme 2026 10 17	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0x5f2890…
10-17 13:02:09	dota2 tr7 xtreme 2026 10 17	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x577a71…
10-17 13:01:42	dota2 tr7 xtreme 2026 10 17	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd411d9…
10-17 12:31:38	cs2 furia aur1 2026 10 17	Aurora Gaming	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xc8b419…
10-17 05:00:13	cs2 fal2 bb3 2026 10 17	Team Falcons	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x61316d…
10-14 13:51:51	dota2 yes pr1 2026 10 14	Yellow Submarine	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0xd22ed8…
10-11 16:54:34	Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?	Yes	SELL	25	61¢	$15	0x65c32b…
10-11 14:16:06	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x039957…
10-11 12:04:12	Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x747264…
10-11 11:43:51	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x26fa77…
10-11 11:17:30	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x25a144…
10-11 03:35:27	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xd74fd7…
10-10 16:48:07	Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x49c4d0…
10-10 16:13:13	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	SELL	14	91¢	$12	0x3eecb1…
10-10 14:21:46	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x981e56…
10-10 14:04:45	Will FaZe Clan qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	No	SELL	21	32¢	$7	0xddc4bf…
10-10 12:44:34	Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x29b6e3…
10-10 09:30:34	Will FaZe Clan qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xb5ef82…
10-10 04:20:01	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0xce52ab…
10-10 04:19:13	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x35e861…
10-09 16:13:15	Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	55	71¢	$39	0xa83acd…
10-09 15:05:07	Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x81d366…
10-09 09:32:40	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xc3b44e…
10-09 09:30:58	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x4ffd81…
10-09 09:29:51	Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x7cf55d…
10-08 14:06:12	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x2a7ae3…
10-08 13:46:29	Will broky join a team before 2027?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$11	0x091d24…
10-07 13:46:11	Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x2ebbe7…
10-07 13:45:37	Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x9abdb9…
10-06 13:49:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0x1b13b7…
10-06 13:26:28	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x1febb5…
10-06 13:26:06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x8b31ea…
10-06 13:25:13	Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Yes	SELL	43	15¢	$6	0xb56095…
10-05 16:03:38	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xb03883…
10-05 16:02:55	Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Yes	SELL	41	23¢	$9	0xc892eb…
10-05 13:28:05	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x53c289…
10-05 13:20:23	Will Natus Vincere Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0x1ab3a2…
10-05 13:17:19	Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	No	SELL	60	81¢	$49	0x08f155…
10-04 19:18:34	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 10 04	BetBoom Team	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xf543df…
10-04 11:51:25	cs2 ts7 prv 2026 10 04	Spirit	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x2611dc…
10-04 05:44:59	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 10 04	BetBoom Team	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0xe949b0…
10-04 03:52:19	Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xad3b05…
10-04 03:40:16	Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x76be99…
10-04 03:39:40	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04	Vitality	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x7a1118…
10-04 03:39:14	cs2 ts7 prv 2026 10 04	Spirit	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xb1066f…