Misty-Campus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

61.9%

Resolved

552

Trades

2,382

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-30 03:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 58% -$56

Other

5% 49% -$32

Politics

1% 75% +$2

Sports

1% 44% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+10	$5	52¢	$5	+$0	10-30 01:59
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+16	$5	29¢	$4	-$1	10-30 01:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+12	$4	24¢	$3	$0	10-30 02:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 19 8pm et	30	$637	529	529	+0	Down	-$28	01-20 01:54
bitcoin up or down january 30 11am et	39	$424	302	302	+0	Up	-$4	01-30 16:53
bitcoin up or down january 19 9pm et	13	$331	240	240	+0	Down	+$14	01-20 02:49
bitcoin up or down january 30 2pm et	39	$291	205	205	+0	Up	+$1	01-30 20:22
bitcoin up or down january 20 6pm et	31	$274	189	189	+0	Down	+$16	01-20 23:58
bitcoin up or down january 30 10am et	37	$272	216	216	+0	Down	-$4	01-30 15:57
bitcoin up or down january 20 9pm et	14	$268	247	247	+0	Up	-$60	01-21 03:01
bitcoin up or down january 18 5pm et	15	$215	157	157	+0	Up	-$5	01-18 23:04
bitcoin up or down january 20 12pm et	10	$198	128	128	+0	Down	+$13	01-20 17:55
bitcoin up or down january 20 1pm et	11	$180	130	130	+0	Down	+$3	01-20 18:55
bitcoin up or down january 19 11am et	3	$159	80	160	-80	Up	+$17	01-19 16:55
ucl int ars1 2026 01 20 ars1	2	$158	93	93	+0	Yes	+$28	01-20 22:03
bitcoin up or down january 30 1pm et	26	$156	111	111	+0	Up	+$1	01-30 18:53
bitcoin up or down january 19 12pm et	5	$148	80	80	+0	Down	+$12	01-19 18:00
bitcoin up or down january 22 3pm et	16	$144	90	90	+0	Down	$0	01-22 20:46
bitcoin up or down january 21 6pm et	19	$144	90	90	+0	Down	+$10	01-21 23:55
bitcoin up or down january 19 5pm et	5	$140	90	90	+0	Down	+$38	01-19 22:52
bitcoin up or down january 18 4pm et	13	$128	110	110	+0	Up	-$2	01-18 21:46
bitcoin up or down january 19 2pm et	10	$123	80	80	+0	Up	+$0	01-19 21:35
bitcoin up or down january 30 12am et	42	$121	150	150	+0	Down	-$1	01-30 05:51
bitcoin up or down january 18 9pm et	6	$118	120	80	+40	Down	+$15	01-19 02:26
bitcoin up or down january 30 3pm et	13	$118	96	71	+25	Down	-$12	01-30 20:34
bitcoin up or down january 20 3pm et	14	$113	140	88	+52	Up	-$35	01-20 21:01
bitcoin up or down january 18 8pm et	7	$107	80	80	+0	Down	+$32	01-19 01:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 00:15 UTC	3	$105	66	48	+17	Down	-$9	04-06 00:30
bitcoin up or down january 19 6pm et	7	$102	80	80	+0	Up	+$5	01-20 00:52
bitcoin up or down january 18 6pm et	4	$101	60	60	+0	Down	+$7	01-18 23:29
bitcoin up or down january 18 1pm et	15	$93	80	80	+0	Up	$0	01-18 18:59
bitcoin up or down february 4 2pm et	20	$93	79	79	+0	Up	+$7	02-04 19:58
bitcoin up or down february 7 9pm et	20	$90	75	69	+6	Down	+$1	02-08 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:35:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x254e97…
10-30 03:26:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xa2ac2e…
10-30 02:17:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x18f704…
10-30 02:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x628195…
10-30 02:00:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	28¢	$4	0x5650ef…
10-30 01:59:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6ce7d9…
10-30 01:58:51	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbfae19…
10-30 01:13:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x907ed0…
10-30 01:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x12c153…
10-30 01:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf98d56…
10-30 00:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x08a43c…
10-30 00:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xd0fc61…
10-30 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbe1f07…
10-30 00:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x274706…
10-30 00:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x172a33…
10-29 23:26:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	51	42¢	$22	0x1879c0…
10-29 23:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xef98c0…
10-29 23:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb104b6…
10-29 23:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xd82a34…
10-29 23:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x854e02…
10-29 23:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2b054d…
10-29 23:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x6ba96b…
10-29 23:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x01549a…
10-29 23:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x577071…
10-29 23:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4bfaac…
10-27 23:19:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x42cbc0…
10-27 00:30:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x2d9993…
10-26 22:10:29	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x634c2d…
10-26 21:50:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x339c3d…
10-26 21:49:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xab4efa…
10-26 03:06:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x01e91a…
10-26 01:48:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x0f5257…
10-25 18:46:14	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0d26b4…
10-24 01:39:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x2317c1…
10-24 00:58:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe32e9d…
10-23 06:10:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd0b445…
10-22 02:11:02	SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: Team to Advance	Fluminense FC	SELL	36	36¢	$13	0x1bfce7…
10-22 01:24:42	SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: Team to Advance	Fluminense FC	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0x3eb15e…
10-21 20:18:33	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xb1bd4c…
10-21 19:38:42	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x817514…
10-21 19:37:57	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xc91f2f…
10-21 19:09:50	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x49bfb0…
10-21 19:07:12	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9ad1b4…
10-21 03:44:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xef0b4f…
10-20 20:53:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x5ed05d…
10-20 18:02:57	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0xf492dc…
10-20 18:01:59	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x8d4b6a…
10-20 03:52:00	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xdcba01…
10-19 21:54:54	Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x97a98e…
10-19 21:41:43	Will Mushuc Runa SC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x8bc959…
10-19 20:20:29	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x14f166…
10-19 17:46:05	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfa8beb…
10-19 17:39:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3513c4…
10-18 13:46:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xcd6fdd…
10-18 04:42:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xfd716d…
10-17 23:12:42	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x504f41…
10-17 05:48:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x032753…
10-17 05:46:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x32a1e6…
10-17 05:44:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0xda8599…
10-17 05:43:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0xaec023…
10-17 05:41:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x728edf…
10-16 19:44:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x88a89d…
10-16 19:43:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x0a51e1…
10-16 19:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x81b7dd…
10-16 19:40:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x875c77…
10-16 19:21:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4c34c1…
10-16 19:20:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x858691…
10-16 19:19:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd0f5f8…
10-16 19:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x999427…
10-16 19:14:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x35a782…
10-16 19:12:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb255ad…
10-16 19:11:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe8053d…
10-16 19:10:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x05bd36…
10-16 19:09:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x603ac4…
10-16 19:07:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x494a64…
10-16 19:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x81984f…
10-16 19:01:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x0d2287…
10-16 18:59:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb112f2…
10-16 06:05:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb4a049…
10-01 22:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0xf57759…
10-01 22:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbe0646…
10-01 22:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x14853f…
10-01 22:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8dc511…
10-01 22:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x1848bd…
10-01 22:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x26549a…
10-01 22:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbfffb7…
10-01 22:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbf5218…
10-01 22:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x5b1a4f…
10-01 22:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0xe36194…
10-01 22:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xaf8f67…
10-01 22:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x1fd6ab…
10-01 22:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x77fbac…
10-01 22:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x35f89f…
10-01 22:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4a8a8d…
10-01 22:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x357035…
10-01 22:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa0aace…
09-29 20:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x2803d3…
09-29 20:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xd868fb…
09-29 19:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb4c1db…
09-29 19:50:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x72e340…