Positive-Episode — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

116

Trades

57,325

lifetime

Volume

$191.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-09 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 59% $-80

Other

35% 75% +$1

Politics

9% 100% +$0

Sports

5% 67% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	470	$1.9K	1,840	1,800	+40	open	—	01-30 19:55
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 400 419	338	$1.4K	1,425	1,415	+10	open	—	01-30 13:16
bitcoin above 90k on january 20	274	$1.3K	1,158	1,160	-1	open	—	01-20 15:01
will the us strike iran next 433	308	$1.3K	1,231	1,247	-16	open	—	01-23 20:53
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	308	$1.3K	1,272	1,282	-10	open	—	01-30 15:55
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 500 519	279	$1.2K	1,174	1,174	+0	open	—	01-23 14:48
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	249	$1.2K	960	970	-10	open	—	01-28 22:23
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 500 519	365	$1.1K	1,319	1,331	-12	open	—	01-20 07:18
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	293	$1.1K	1,162	1,162	+0	open	—	01-24 16:41
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	319	$1.1K	1,318	1,338	-20	open	—	01-26 17:52
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 560 579	287	$1.0K	1,109	1,104	+5	open	—	01-20 22:38
us government funding lapse on january 31	196	$990	645	645	+0	open	—	01-30 19:55
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	158	$981	691	685	+6	open	—	01-30 19:55
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	150	$940	661	691	-30	open	—	01-22 16:43
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 40 64	252	$940	1,014	999	+15	open	—	01-28 05:32
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	249	$917	1,059	1,031	+28	open	—	01-27 15:24
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	225	$878	832	822	+10	open	—	01-26 02:51
gc hit 6000 high jan 2026	153	$863	670	665	+5	open	—	01-29 16:09
us strike on somalia by january 31 338	182	$855	642	629	+13	open	—	01-23 20:32
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	222	$844	912	907	+5	open	—	01-24 06:55
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	264	$843	1,056	1,046	+10	open	—	01-23 18:37
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	328	$840	1,143	1,130	+12	open	—	01-29 14:36
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 440 459	170	$839	739	709	+30	open	—	01-23 07:26
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	214	$826	723	733	-10	open	—	01-30 05:01
will the us next strike iran on january 24 2026 et 848	242	$818	1,022	1,041	-19	open	—	01-24 12:03
will alexander zverev win the 2026 australian open	145	$812	664	664	+0	open	—	01-30 09:14
bitcoin above 92k on january 19	154	$797	603	602	+0	open	—	01-19 15:52
bitcoin above 88k on january 21	236	$761	924	924	+0	open	—	01-21 17:00
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	221	$754	876	886	-10	open	—	01-23 15:40
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	132	$714	570	570	+0	open	—	01-31 12:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 17:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb76572…
05-09 17:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc3d98e…
05-09 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xbb41c3…
05-09 17:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb1b4ca…
05-09 17:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$5	0x8befdf…
05-09 17:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x3b7681…
05-09 17:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x9de686…
05-09 17:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe60683…
05-09 17:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0xc70268…
05-09 17:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x5d5ac5…
05-09 17:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x5cd727…
05-09 17:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb2dddd…
05-09 17:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9f319e…
05-09 16:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xe3d04c…
05-08 07:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x42cc7b…
05-08 07:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd53e68…
05-08 07:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xa43969…
05-08 07:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x70c974…
05-08 06:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x0a0a3a…
05-08 06:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x59b2e3…
05-08 06:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x86970a…
05-08 06:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x66b54a…
05-08 06:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe019c4…
05-08 06:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x5d57ad…
05-08 06:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x376942…
05-08 06:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x79ff27…
05-08 06:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x06f9a1…
05-08 05:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0x76e8cd…
05-08 05:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x20f957…
05-08 05:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xbe5aef…
05-08 04:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7a4780…
05-08 04:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x6da7e1…
05-08 03:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x407a0e…
05-08 03:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd56da1…
05-08 02:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x362873…
05-08 01:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	19¢	$7	0xd21760…
05-08 00:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1e419f…
05-08 00:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x72445f…
05-07 23:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2cf56d…
05-07 23:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe56a3b…
05-07 21:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe06006…
05-07 21:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x1d169b…
05-07 20:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x012409…
05-07 19:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	41	17¢	$7	0xab4027…
05-07 19:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x664c8f…
05-07 19:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8ec38b…
05-07 19:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x42c9ff…
05-07 18:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x219e73…
05-07 18:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x9a0608…
05-07 18:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5e6a9b…
05-07 18:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xe0b7ac…
05-07 17:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x19538e…
05-07 16:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa4e3cd…
05-07 15:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4f4bfb…
05-07 15:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$2	0x8ea7d7…
05-07 15:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x4a2095…
05-07 15:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6379da…
05-07 15:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x8225bb…
05-07 14:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xbe92d8…
05-07 14:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xc3bf68…
05-07 12:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdfd6bc…
05-07 11:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0xca17eb…
05-07 09:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x44ae4c…
05-07 09:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0xaf8d30…
05-07 09:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4708a5…
05-07 09:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x853167…
05-07 08:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$3	0x3615ee…
05-07 07:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe27792…
05-07 06:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x62e797…
05-07 06:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcf0d4b…
05-07 06:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xe600d1…
05-07 06:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xba1024…
05-07 06:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$2	0xe780c2…
05-07 06:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xf5c39c…
05-07 05:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd759df…
05-07 05:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x9115e8…
05-07 05:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x340261…
05-07 04:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xdff43e…
05-07 04:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x833469…
05-07 04:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xb430d8…
05-07 03:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5132b1…
05-07 03:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x78f24b…
05-07 03:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x712301…
05-07 01:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0d1d18…
05-07 01:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xb75fb3…
05-07 01:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x12595f…
05-07 01:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xcb7c42…
05-07 01:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x3fbb56…
05-07 00:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa94b1e…
05-06 23:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x600d82…
05-06 23:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5ac96e…
05-06 22:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf444d8…
05-06 21:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x059072…
05-06 21:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5cb950…
05-06 20:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb0a944…
05-06 20:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc2fc9c…
05-06 20:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x61ed6b…
05-06 20:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x5795e9…
05-06 19:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x5d1939…
05-06 19:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x54d1d7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	521	$681	846	04-18 11:45
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	452	$140.7K	29,155	03-16 12:19
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	450	$82.5K	24,162	03-16 12:19
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	446	$133.4K	35,287	04-28 08:56
(anonymous) 0x5487…a014	446	$96.7K	20,806	03-16 12:19
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	442	$901	1,240	04-18 11:45
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	438	$47.7K	34,524	02-13 11:18
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	435	$1.99K	2,394	04-18 11:45