Flimsy-Marathon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

2,747

Trades

3,938

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-05 14:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 43% -$154

Other

49% 46% +$76

Politics

1% 73% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 12?	3	$416	210	210	+0	No	+$3	07-12 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 25?	12	$298	198	198	+0	Yes	+$4	06-25 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 24?	3	$277	140	140	+0	No	+$3	06-24 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 23?	6	$266	139	139	+0	Yes	+$4	06-23 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 9?	8	$127	94	94	+0	No	+$18	07-09 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?	6	$125	110	110	+0	No	+$42	06-24 13:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 14?	5	$114	150	150	+0	Yes	+$49	09-14 14:37
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 23?	12	$113	128	128	+0	No	+$3	06-23 11:58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 15?	19	$111	120	120	+0	Yes	+$11	09-15 19:47
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 12?	4	$103	90	90	+0	Yes	-$3	09-12 14:37
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 26?	6	$99	74	74	+0	Yes	-$3	06-26 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 2?	14	$96	162	112	+50	No	+$3	09-02 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on September 4?	8	$93	103	103	+0	No	+$5	09-04 14:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 6?	6	$89	47	47	+0	No	+$3	07-06 13:56
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 21:45 UTC	2	$85	87	0	+87	Up	-$3	01-12 21:59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1?	7	$80	65	55	+10	Yes	+$15	10-01 14:05
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on September 18?	10	$79	100	79	+22	No	-$6	09-18 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 26?	9	$79	67	67	+0	No	+$21	06-26 14:41
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 21?	10	$77	53	53	+0	Yes	+$11	06-21 17:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:30 UTC	12	$73	55	55	+0	Up	+$5	02-09 14:32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 30?	6	$67	57	57	+0	No	+$19	09-30 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 18?	4	$67	92	53	+39	Yes	+$32	07-18 11:48
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16?	7	$66	50	50	+0	Yes	+$13	06-16 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 25?	10	$63	77	77	+0	No	+$7	08-25 17:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 22?	7	$63	40	40	+0	Yes	+$3	06-22 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on September 8?	5	$62	40	40	+0	Yes	-$2	09-08 14:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 14?	9	$58	143	93	+50	No	-$14	10-14 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 15?	4	$56	68	68	+0	No	+$10	07-15 14:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 20?	4	$56	40	20	+20	Yes	+$4	06-20 18:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 28?	4	$56	38	32	+6	No	+$10	06-28 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 14:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe17b15…
11-05 14:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xb09560…
11-05 13:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa2441b…
11-05 13:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xa2b9cc…
11-05 13:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdc8919…
11-05 13:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 5?	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x992a06…
11-05 13:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x49df17…
11-05 13:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x46f943…
11-05 12:52:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9ea0d7…
11-05 12:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x3c8e78…
11-05 12:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x6ff9e2…
11-05 12:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3dfff1…
11-05 12:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6dd339…
11-05 12:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4eca47…
11-05 12:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xaece09…
11-05 11:52:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xf53699…
11-05 11:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xda4d78…
11-05 11:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x808075…
11-05 11:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xe221e1…
11-05 11:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x606ffd…
11-05 11:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x1d116a…
11-05 10:52:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 5?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x3c6642…
11-04 16:22:04	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 4°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x74ba5b…
11-04 14:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xc76c33…
11-04 14:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0x7beeb9…
11-04 14:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xefac4b…
11-04 13:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xb9732e…
11-04 13:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x9422cf…
11-04 13:35:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	19	88¢	$17	0xb61a35…
11-04 13:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x0c13e2…
11-04 13:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x9bb013…
11-04 13:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd93983…
11-04 12:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x807ac8…
11-04 12:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x422cad…
11-04 12:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xd209a8…
11-04 12:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x94a01a…
11-04 12:22:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x81e4a8…
11-04 12:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4be503…
11-04 12:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xb2cf32…
11-04 12:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xae8bd8…
11-04 11:52:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x614735…
11-04 11:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xee19f9…
11-04 11:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x698681…
11-04 11:43:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	SELL	28	34¢	$10	0x151590…
11-04 11:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xa3ff91…
11-04 11:22:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xb58d65…
11-04 11:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9d48ee…
11-04 11:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x416b4d…
11-04 10:52:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x3fba14…
11-04 10:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x471b08…
11-04 10:22:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd629f4…
11-03 17:48:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	26	2¢	$1	0x0d05a1…
11-03 16:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x67e117…
11-03 15:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x10a1e6…
11-03 15:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x972be3…
11-03 15:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xcdc31f…
11-03 14:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x599429…
11-03 13:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe3501e…
11-03 12:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x2d74a0…
11-03 11:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x8292f7…
11-03 11:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xead235…
11-03 11:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x2d670f…
11-03 11:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x3c55f6…
11-03 11:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xcfe7d2…
11-03 11:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x5404b2…
11-03 10:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x24bde7…
11-03 09:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x51a869…
11-03 09:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x489420…
11-02 15:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xeec584…
11-02 15:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc5294b…
11-02 14:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc74661…
11-02 13:22:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xe1ca0e…
11-02 12:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xd5705e…
11-02 12:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x5e6882…
11-02 12:22:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0790ca…
11-02 12:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x991d87…
11-02 11:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x0312ab…
11-02 11:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x7a4b0d…
11-02 11:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x8e3e9c…
11-02 11:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd390c7…
11-02 10:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x7f6262…
11-02 10:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x48dd08…
11-02 09:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x329e72…
11-02 09:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xd9635c…
11-01 13:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x8e0979…
11-01 13:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1fb237…
11-01 13:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x70bcfa…
11-01 13:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x2f8cef…
11-01 13:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf1f3f8…
11-01 12:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x2d6a7b…
11-01 12:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x65ed7d…
11-01 12:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xb17603…
11-01 12:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xd07528…
11-01 12:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xc31398…
11-01 11:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3e4ee7…
11-01 11:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xcf5f67…
11-01 11:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xb440f7…
11-01 11:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x0d5fa7…
11-01 11:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf3edb6…
11-01 10:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3480d9…