Short-Term-Reasoning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.9%

Resolved

1,267

Trades

1,497

lifetime

Volume

$4.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 07-09 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 78% -$51

Other

8% 33% -$18

Sports

2% 24% -$11

Politics

1% 25% -$27

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$41	245	245	+0	No	-$19	03-29 02:51
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$34	40	16	+24	Down	-$2	05-18 19:18
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	4	$33	54	54	+0	Yes	+$25	07-06 21:10
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$25	32	19	+13	Up	-$2	05-18 20:07
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$24	30	30	+0	Down	-$16	05-18 19:29
highest temperature in moscow on april 2 2026 12corhigher	3	$23	16	16	+0	No	-$5	04-02 07:06
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$23	30	19	+11	Down	-$6	05-19 19:23
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$22	28	15	+12	Up	-$6	05-19 20:19
highest temperature in chengdu on march 30 2026 16c	2	$20	20	20	+0	Yes	+$18	03-30 09:15
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$20	26	0	+26	Up	-$7	05-18 20:54
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$20	27	0	+27	Up	+$7	05-18 18:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-26 16:19
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$19	18	18	+0	Up	-$1	05-18 15:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$18	33	0	+33	Down	-$6	05-30 12:24
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$15	17	0	+17	Down	+$2	05-19 18:27
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	05-21 00:34
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	3	$15	20	12	+8	Up	+$3	05-20 23:33
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$15	20	20	+0	Down	-$5	05-18 18:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$14	15	0	+15	Up	+$1	05-22 15:33
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$14	17	0	+17	Sean Strickland	-$14	05-06 13:51
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$13	14	14	+0	Down	-$7	05-18 18:48
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$13	41	41	+0	No	-$7	03-31 01:09
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$13	13	7	+6	Down	-$7	05-20 23:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$12	7	7	+0	No	+$2	04-26 01:44
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$12	14	8	+6	Down	-$2	05-19 00:33
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	3	$11	14	8	+6	Down	-$3	05-19 00:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$11	8	8	+0	No	-$1	05-06 12:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 21:05 UTC	1	$11	13	0	+13	Down	+$2	03-28 21:07
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$11	18	0	+18	Down	-$11	05-18 18:52
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$11	17	0	+17	Up	+$6	05-18 18:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 16:51:52	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x96f093…
07-07 22:40:13	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x13fc53…
07-07 22:39:32	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xef5615…
07-07 22:39:14	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x018e9d…
07-07 22:11:14	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5518fc…
07-07 22:07:58	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc2bd36…
07-07 07:53:28	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x709900…
07-06 21:10:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x96ad14…
07-06 21:08:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x85688f…
07-06 21:05:38	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb475a5…
07-04 17:35:37	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xed38a5…
07-03 00:13:34	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd0f04f…
07-03 00:13:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd4a692…
07-02 23:12:28	world cup ronaldo to score a free kick 20260605004640793	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5e9ae9…
07-02 23:11:11	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbee007…
07-02 23:10:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x424700…
06-03 16:02:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb22987…
06-03 16:02:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb5055c…
06-02 22:57:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x84e56e…
06-02 22:57:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x25ddd4…
06-02 22:47:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x21bf3a…
06-02 22:47:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x986a4e…
06-02 22:42:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf667d8…
06-02 22:37:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1691ab…
06-02 22:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xafbf80…
06-02 22:27:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x38ba48…
06-02 22:27:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x63f752…
06-02 22:17:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x333d3a…
06-02 22:17:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x14c809…
06-02 22:12:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6e2197…
06-02 22:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x37ecec…
06-02 22:07:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x56f726…
06-02 22:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xafa088…
06-02 22:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x31229d…
06-02 13:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd5e013…
06-02 13:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb5b296…
06-02 13:52:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe5a047…
06-02 13:52:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8d9045…
06-02 13:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1c9a0a…
06-02 13:42:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb10803…
06-02 13:37:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0a18ce…
06-02 13:32:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5dcf71…
06-02 13:27:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf72367…
06-02 13:22:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x61a8ae…
06-02 13:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x69b4f2…
06-02 13:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x28a7f1…
06-02 13:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xafa592…
06-02 13:12:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x95fc5a…
06-02 13:07:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xdb39b2…
06-02 13:02:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x247ad6…
06-02 10:57:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x811d8a…
06-02 10:57:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x17fab8…
06-02 10:37:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc34591…
06-02 10:27:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x643583…
06-02 10:22:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3986be…
06-02 10:17:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x578878…
06-02 10:12:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4861d2…
06-02 10:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0ea5d8…
06-01 22:12:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf3570d…
06-01 20:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc99424…
06-01 20:33:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbf77d7…
06-01 20:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5686be…
06-01 19:17:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xab1a92…
06-01 18:27:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x85a841…
06-01 16:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5e5777…
06-01 16:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x376c32…
06-01 15:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0136f6…
05-30 22:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x92a5ed…
05-30 22:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x04901e…
05-30 22:32:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3792cb…
05-30 22:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x061b30…
05-30 20:04:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3ba382…
05-30 20:03:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x38fdd5…
05-30 19:58:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe34c77…
05-30 19:03:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3c6103…
05-30 18:51:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xff86dc…
05-30 18:46:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xadbfd1…
05-30 18:43:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5bbec2…
05-30 18:38:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb84323…
05-30 18:32:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1e0258…
05-30 18:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x70ac1f…
05-30 18:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfec1b5…
05-30 18:18:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x765bfe…
05-30 18:14:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x04aba6…
05-30 18:08:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe1ea03…
05-30 18:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9b606c…
05-30 17:59:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x03c93e…
05-30 17:54:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xfc6bce…
05-30 17:51:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	42¢	$1	0x4c6757…
05-30 17:50:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x12700d…
05-30 17:33:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd20bf2…
05-30 13:10:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x89d21c…
05-30 13:05:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb69154…
05-30 13:02:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x5dea02…
05-30 13:01:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xaf6a70…
05-30 12:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe39bf9…
05-30 12:46:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x897650…
05-30 12:43:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe74c72…
05-30 12:37:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe7d0bc…
05-30 12:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2d0c58…