Grave-Castle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$229

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

2,061

Trades

3,315

lifetime

Volume

$1.74M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$526

Open exposure

$1.73K

8 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-28 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 164 days

Categories

Other

75% 55% +$31,818

Sports

22% 50% -$15,679

Politics

3% 38% -$2,152

Crypto

0% 50% -$2,202

Tech

0% 0% -$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

81 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	+577	$300	98¢	$568	+$268	10-28 14:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+2,205	$300	18¢	$386	+$86	09-12 09:31
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+2,253	$300	12¢	$282	-$18	09-12 09:31
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+2,991	$300	8¢	$224	-$76	09-12 09:31
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+1,292	$200	14¢	$174	-$26	09-12 09:31
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+10,000	$100	1¢	$95	-$5	09-12 09:32
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	+2	$1	76¢	$1	+$0	10-28 14:31
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	+2	$1	16¢	$0	-$1	10-28 14:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	6	$16.0K	10,260	10,260	+0	Yes	+$2,592	08-31 20:50
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	4	$15.8K	9,865	9,865	+0	Yes	+$3,840	07-09 22:06
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	3	$14.9K	9,634	9,634	+0	Over	+$4,326	09-06 16:47
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	3	$11.9K	7,088	7,088	+0	Spain	+$1,533	07-10 20:55
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	3	$11.8K	6,833	6,833	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$1,826	07-12 19:01
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	4	$11.1K	13,766	0	+13,766	Alexander Zverev	+$2,642	06-07 12:38
atp rublev safiull 2026 06 29	11	$10.8K	7,789	7,789	+0	Roman Safiullin	+$1,392	06-29 14:00
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	2	$9.9K	19,610	0	+19,610	Cabo Verde	-$9,934	06-15 17:03
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	7	$9.2K	11,829	0	+11,829	Alexander Zverev	+$2,674	06-05 12:51
fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	2	$8.6K	4,866	4,866	+0	Over	+$1,114	06-16 00:32
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-31?	4	$8.4K	5,595	5,595	+0	Yes	+$2,790	08-31 19:32
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	5	$7.9K	5,234	5,234	+0	Yes	+$1,497	07-10 20:55
Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 1.5	2	$7.6K	4,806	4,806	+0	Over	+$2,001	09-13 15:13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	8	$7.5K	13,726	13,726	+0	Yes	-$28	04-06 23:22
Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5	2	$7.4K	4,508	4,508	+0	Over	+$1,418	09-29 19:17
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	2	$7.3K	4,808	4,808	+0	Yes	+$2,303	08-30 16:49
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	5	$6.8K	4,524	4,524	+0	Yes	+$2,193	07-04 19:00
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	5	$6.7K	4,191	4,191	+0	FC Barcelona	+$1,687	08-27 21:09
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	6	$6.2K	13,236	13,236	+0	Yes	+$2,818	09-13 17:44
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	8	$6.1K	9,091	5,096	+3,995	No	-$1,305	09-07 02:32
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	6	$6.0K	4,041	4,041	+0	Yes	+$2,037	06-28 21:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$5.7K	10,600	10,600	+0	Yes	+$5,389	04-08 04:27
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	7	$5.7K	6,924	88	+6,836	Justin Gaethje	-$5,483	06-15 05:24
FK Zenit vs. PFK CSKA Moskva: O/U 2.5	3	$5.5K	3,546	3,546	+0	Over	+$1,532	09-05 16:04
ufc mar12 ale15 2026 08 01	2	$5.5K	3,247	3,247	+0	Aleksandar Rakic	+$473	08-01 18:37
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	2	$5.3K	11,695	0	+11,695	Over	+$6,381	07-15 19:55
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02?	3	$5.1K	3,066	3,066	+0	Yes	+$1,063	10-02 20:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$5.0K	11,251	0	+11,251	No	-$5,001	04-20 13:42
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 first half total 0pt5	1	$5.0K	5,788	0	+5,788	Under	-$5,000	06-15 16:00
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?	2	$5.0K	3,488	3,488	+0	Yes	+$1,985	08-30 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 18:07:32	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	476	63¢	$300	0x71e5bd…
10-28 18:05:58	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	665	45¢	$300	0x827ebf…
10-28 14:32:34	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	483	62¢	$300	0x29f129…
10-28 14:31:35	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa0d499…
10-28 14:31:28	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb33c26…
10-28 14:31:20	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3c08bf…
10-28 14:31:08	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x90295b…
10-28 14:31:04	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x03c1d9…
10-28 14:30:17	Erste Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0xff5202…
10-28 14:29:14	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0x41b690…
10-28 04:48:31	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	735	68¢	$500	0x3799ff…
10-28 03:10:35	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0x6ad988…
10-28 03:10:26	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x829c0e…
10-27 19:54:00	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	1,849	54¢	$1,000	0x175a6b…
10-27 11:11:03	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0xc9f520…
10-27 11:10:44	Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	FURIA	BUY	440	68¢	$300	0xe255f0…
10-27 11:10:30	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0xe72bf2…
10-27 11:10:20	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Legacy	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0x3aee21…
10-27 11:09:50	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	469	64¢	$300	0x45adaf…
10-26 18:58:05	Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	588	51¢	$300	0x44f674…
10-26 18:57:39	Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x096243…
10-26 18:54:32	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	G2	SELL	882	100¢	$881	0x2d8286…
10-26 18:52:38	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	539	56¢	$300	0xc425cb…
10-26 18:52:21	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	566	53¢	$300	0x50568d…
10-26 17:27:42	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	851	47¢	$400	0xc06516…
10-26 17:27:35	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS - Map 2 Winner	G2	BUY	882	68¢	$600	0xa81942…
10-26 17:25:30	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0xb84aba…
10-26 14:02:29	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)	Legacy	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x249435…
10-26 14:02:11	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	588	51¢	$300	0xb9d09a…
10-26 14:02:03	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	760	66¢	$500	0x9459c5…
10-25 19:12:11	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	806	62¢	$500	0xb60c1c…
10-25 19:12:02	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0x722e07…
10-25 19:11:45	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	1,539	6¢	$100	0x2e089a…
10-25 19:11:32	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0xf796b0…
10-25 19:11:21	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	2,222	9¢	$200	0xb42bde…
10-25 19:10:24	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x0e91c2…
10-25 19:10:12	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	806	62¢	$500	0xdbb090…
10-25 17:50:23	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	370	100¢	$370	0x3bceea…
10-25 16:32:27	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x6d5414…
10-25 16:31:06	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0xfb2d9a…
10-25 16:30:57	SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	893	56¢	$500	0x56f792…
10-25 16:17:26	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	833	36¢	$300	0xcd2d97…
10-25 16:17:17	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	1,515	66¢	$1,000	0x1e03ad…
10-25 15:52:56	Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	49ers	BUY	566	53¢	$300	0xc2e2c6…
10-25 15:41:03	Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0xc0db0d…
10-25 15:40:50	Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	741	100¢	$740	0x1c91c2…
10-25 13:32:32	Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	741	54¢	$400	0x968f82…
10-25 13:32:11	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	1,064	47¢	$500	0x30c48c…
10-25 13:31:00	PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0x702943…
10-25 13:22:14	Will PFK CSKA Moskva win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0xbc2c50…
10-25 12:38:18	PFK CSKA Moskva vs. FK Spartak Moskva: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0xb61efd…
10-25 12:37:57	PFK CSKA Moskva vs. FK Spartak Moskva: PFK CSKA Moskva O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	174	58¢	$100	0x0d5415…
10-25 12:33:21	Spread: Jets (-4.5)	Jets	BUY	612	49¢	$300	0xb42cd6…
10-24 20:37:35	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0x726f15…
10-24 19:43:12	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Movsar Evloev	BUY	3,922	51¢	$2,000	0x217e3a…
10-24 19:42:36	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x3aa566…
10-24 19:41:33	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x0db14e…
10-24 19:41:27	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x7db51f…
10-24 19:41:21	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x075ad7…
10-24 19:18:27	UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)	Ramazan Temirov	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0x16d7d0…
10-24 18:40:36	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	1,203	42¢	$500	0x27465c…
10-24 17:43:39	UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)	Losene Keita	BUY	1,163	43¢	$500	0x27ab7a…
10-24 17:33:15	UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Azamat Murzakanov	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0x38f697…
10-24 17:26:09	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0xa2e02b…
10-24 17:06:35	Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0x04fcef…
10-24 16:42:05	UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)	Cam Rowston	BUY	1,042	48¢	$500	0x4c1c29…
10-24 16:15:06	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	SELL	833	100¢	$832	0x71952f…
10-24 16:13:47	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	1,923	52¢	$1,000	0xd88cbf…
10-24 16:12:38	UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)	Nurullo Aliev	BUY	588	51¢	$300	0x9a703e…
10-24 15:40:08	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x26735c…
10-24 15:12:20	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0xd4cfd6…
10-24 14:42:38	UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Daniel Santos	BUY	784	51¢	$400	0xa254c6…
10-24 14:26:47	UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)	Noah Gugnon	BUY	944	42¢	$400	0x5334fb…
10-24 08:14:11	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0xfaf29a…
10-24 07:57:35	Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0x66cf98…
10-24 07:54:47	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	441	68¢	$300	0x492163…
10-23 19:06:17	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	BUY	1,471	68¢	$1,000	0x287b4e…
10-22 19:51:09	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	426	100¢	$425	0x164dc6…
10-22 18:53:48	AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x6d3583…
10-22 18:53:35	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0xaccbb3…
10-22 18:32:39	Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	508	59¢	$300	0xe803bb…
10-22 18:32:21	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	909	22¢	$200	0xc2ceb6…
10-22 18:31:38	Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	690	58¢	$400	0x9414e2…
10-22 18:31:14	Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)	Olympiakós SFP	BUY	732	41¢	$300	0x6716fa…
10-22 18:30:39	Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0xeb6628…
10-22 18:30:14	AFC Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	893	56¢	$500	0xc6938a…
10-22 18:29:57	Beşiktaş JK vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	794	63¢	$500	0x57c286…
10-22 18:28:12	Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	BUY	566	53¢	$300	0x950009…
10-22 17:24:24	OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	600	99¢	$594	0x69cc07…
10-22 17:24:08	Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	732	100¢	$731	0xb1d2dd…
10-22 16:42:47	OFI vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0xf396ac…
10-22 16:41:51	Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	Juventus FC	BUY	698	43¢	$300	0x5973fa…
10-22 16:41:27	Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	781	64¢	$500	0x285a13…
10-22 16:31:59	Juventus FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	732	41¢	$300	0xf04400…
10-21 19:16:18	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	551	54¢	$300	0x083819…
10-21 19:14:48	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x2c703e…
10-21 19:14:33	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0x32a767…
10-21 19:13:56	FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x006be9…
10-21 19:13:35	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	849	59¢	$500	0xab7e50…
10-21 18:56:51	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	678	59¢	$400	0x649ec8…