Raw-Cross — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$59.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.4%

Resolved

Trades

18,362

lifetime

Volume

$3.21M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$175

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-13 00:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

69% 50% +$59,391

Other

23% 88% +$367

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-24

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 674 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	577	$276.7K	595,611	545,048	+50,563	open	—	06-17 12:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	366	$171.4K	194,103	185,072	+9,031	open	—	06-14 21:40
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	674	$149.1K	126,082	87,330	+38,752	open	—	01-17 20:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	500	$102.1K	1,023,887	547,387	+476,500	open	—	06-02 22:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	234	$93.0K	188,999	125,920	+63,079	open	—	05-29 16:33
netanyahu out by march 31 854	58	$88.1K	42,117	48,200	-6,083	open	—	03-30 21:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	146	$72.0K	65,846	60,750	+5,096	open	—	04-21 09:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	692	$68.0K	273,215	92,569	+180,646	open	—	04-21 18:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	62	$63.5K	57,333	48,983	+8,350	open	—	06-14 22:08
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	215	$61.4K	51,537	40,162	+11,376	open	—	05-19 05:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	317	$61.2K	97,540	59,407	+38,133	open	—	04-24 18:55
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	301	$56.4K	147,315	63,686	+83,629	open	—	04-03 20:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	107	$52.8K	171,594	160,627	+10,968	open	—	05-10 20:13
israel strikes iran by january 9 2026	132	$44.7K	47,709	15,852	+31,857	open	—	01-08 05:34
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	34	$44.3K	78,250	30,647	+47,603	open	—	02-16 06:18
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	385	$43.2K	90,239	45,004	+45,235	open	—	04-04 20:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	74	$40.8K	23,866	25,665	-1,799	open	—	03-01 08:26
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	201	$40.0K	82,700	8,404	+74,296	open	—	08-12 21:36
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	100	$37.4K	28,221	19,946	+8,275	open	—	06-11 00:21
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	92	$35.0K	28,320	19,000	+9,320	open	—	02-03 00:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	194	$34.5K	38,639	35,150	+3,489	open	—	04-07 22:57
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	406	$33.8K	102,371	60,855	+41,516	open	—	02-03 21:09
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	307	$33.1K	59,193	54,583	+4,610	open	—	03-04 14:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	144	$30.6K	69,888	52,843	+17,044	open	—	04-19 19:35
Trump out as President by April 30?	220	$29.7K	24,163	23,838	+324	open	—	04-16 19:27
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	83	$29.2K	57,777	33,000	+24,777	open	—	07-18 12:17
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	30	$29.1K	27,879	22,638	+5,241	open	—	06-14 21:29
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	56	$28.8K	30,695	26,773	+3,922	open	—	06-14 21:23
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	175	$28.2K	68,488	13,909	+54,579	open	—	04-22 05:17
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	104	$27.7K	48,524	37,363	+11,160	open	—	03-10 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 00:15:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	2,000	37¢	$740	0xebb368…
08-13 00:14:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	2,000	37¢	$740	0x5badc0…
08-12 23:18:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	113	36¢	$41	0xd00b24…
08-12 22:59:10	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	2,248	37¢	$832	0xd14c0d…
08-12 22:42:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	500	0¢	$1	0x66e9e3…
08-12 22:41:43	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x105f17…
08-12 22:41:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9343de…
08-12 22:41:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	19,272	0¢	$19	0x3d0076…
08-12 22:23:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	8,544	0¢	$17	0x612154…
08-12 22:23:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x720613…
08-12 22:23:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	1,390	0¢	$3	0xcbdc14…
08-12 22:22:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x67678b…
08-12 22:22:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0xab7916…
08-12 22:22:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	595	0¢	$2	0xe2dcdb…
08-12 22:22:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x2f4b0c…
08-12 22:22:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6d37af…
08-12 22:22:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa4b89a…
08-12 22:22:22	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0x225788…
08-12 22:22:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0xb7d297…
08-12 22:22:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0b0528…
08-12 22:22:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb43c67…
08-12 22:22:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	3,892	0¢	$8	0xb6f009…
08-12 22:22:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xa08555…
08-12 22:22:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x255a30…
08-12 22:21:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x298b85…
08-12 22:21:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x47b03b…
08-12 22:21:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa74c12…
08-12 22:21:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x25424b…
08-12 22:21:52	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x081ebf…
08-12 22:21:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc9381e…
08-12 22:21:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x0d5973…
08-12 22:21:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xb0b358…
08-12 22:21:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x27c206…
08-12 22:21:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x6d90e4…
08-12 22:21:45	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xad5950…
08-12 22:21:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x60fcb3…
08-12 22:20:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x82d9f3…
08-12 22:19:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	1,520	0¢	$5	0xf4fd7d…
08-12 22:19:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	194	0¢	$0	0x93846f…
08-12 22:19:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	950	0¢	$3	0xd10692…
08-12 22:18:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xfb3871…
08-12 22:18:48	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x0e5c74…
08-12 22:18:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xc6d234…
08-12 22:18:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x280451…
08-12 22:18:36	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	2,880	0¢	$9	0x1e4d3f…
08-12 22:18:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe92e39…
08-12 22:18:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xb8d64b…
08-12 22:18:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x7029d9…
08-12 22:18:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	3,492	0¢	$10	0xc6e866…
08-12 22:18:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x6d8f58…
08-12 22:18:15	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	570	0¢	$2	0x22d524…
08-12 22:17:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	108	0¢	$0	0x73ff6d…
08-12 22:17:27	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xe6748f…
08-12 22:17:10	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xade00b…
08-12 22:16:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	274	0¢	$1	0xb47a05…
08-12 22:16:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	3,000	0¢	$6	0xf84435…
08-12 22:16:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x6d1b1d…
08-12 22:16:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x573ba3…
08-12 22:15:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0x7c5fd2…
08-12 22:15:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe7a65a…
08-12 22:15:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xdc8d77…
08-12 22:15:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0xcfb157…
08-12 22:15:03	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x240751…
08-12 22:13:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	831	0¢	$2	0xe31aa9…
08-12 22:13:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$6	0xdcad8b…
08-12 22:13:09	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	18,539	0¢	$37	0x8f0503…
08-12 22:12:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x72545d…
08-12 22:12:54	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	4,732	0¢	$9	0xbfa2fe…
08-12 22:12:12	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	2,714	0¢	$5	0x5d2dcc…
08-12 22:10:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	11,022	0¢	$22	0xdf7d45…
08-12 22:10:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2ddb56…
08-12 22:09:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xcd3d67…
08-12 22:09:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x79a9fb…
08-12 22:09:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0x3da476…
08-12 22:09:46	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$30	0x2ac8a0…
08-12 22:09:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xdf65b1…
08-12 22:09:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x22ca4e…
08-12 22:08:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xd54c4b…
08-12 22:08:51	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	27,455	0¢	$55	0xa5ee4b…
08-12 22:07:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	No	BUY	12,222	0¢	$37	0xae7871…
08-12 21:36:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	6,304	5¢	$315	0x212d6c…
08-12 21:31:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	44	19¢	$8	0xe15279…
08-12 21:31:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	44	19¢	$8	0xac9b99…
08-12 21:31:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x3e4019…
08-12 21:31:30	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	375	19¢	$70	0x2d3729…
08-12 21:31:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	45	19¢	$8	0x5acc13…
08-12 21:31:28	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x37a542…
08-12 21:31:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xf3c64b…
08-12 21:31:16	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	No	BUY	5,378	5¢	$269	0xb140b2…
08-12 21:27:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	61	5¢	$3	0x778142…
08-12 21:27:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x667674…
08-12 21:27:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	3,891	5¢	$195	0x329a09…
08-12 21:27:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1ee3a9…
08-12 21:27:49	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x0c6fd3…
08-12 21:25:55	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x53e180…
08-12 21:19:04	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	4,003	20¢	$789	0x203884…
08-12 21:19:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	9,937	20¢	$1,957	0x947ba3…
08-12 20:37:31	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	4,063	48¢	$1,941	0x6a5588…
08-12 20:37:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	4,338	48¢	$2,068	0xd3d62e…
08-12 20:36:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x534ef8…