Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$150

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-04

last 10-28 00:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

76% 63% +$11

Politics

19% 53% +$3

Tech

4% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+10	$2	18¢	$2	$0	08-10 00:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-18 08:18
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-19 04:52
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-01 23:59
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	09-09 14:18
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 07:20
spy up or down on august 7 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Up	-$2	08-07 03:45
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	09-16 08:20
spx up or down on september 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	+$1	09-17 00:22
Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-09 22:32
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-13 22:12
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 06:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-09 05:56
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-23 12:31
will meta dip to 570 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-17 00:34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	09-08 13:52
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-21 15:28
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-17 11:37
will trump say no no no during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421454	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-05 00:12
will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-16 16:22
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	09-20 22:03
wti closes above 76 on august 7 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-07 11:47
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	+$6	09-02 12:10
spx up or down on august 10 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	-$2	08-10 17:42
hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-08 00:13
dg quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 27 2026 2	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-15 00:40
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	08-22 15:26
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	-$2	08-04 16:04
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-01 11:12
spy up or down on august 6 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	08-06 01:16
will mu reach 990 by september 14 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-13 21:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:08:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x74380d…
10-28 00:04:32	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3109a3…
10-27 23:30:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x412599…
10-25 14:47:53	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x41458b…
10-25 02:20:38	Will Visa (V) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x12dc84…
10-23 12:55:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9c46e8…
10-23 04:51:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc9da2a…
10-22 20:31:51	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x384d99…
10-22 12:23:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3dfecc…
10-21 12:19:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x657c0b…
10-21 04:05:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe2600a…
10-18 18:52:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbc2e15…
10-18 10:51:29	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6461fb…
10-18 01:08:15	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x92d5e9…
10-17 15:55:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xec7615…
10-17 15:05:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb4149a…
10-16 08:19:01	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xccd016…
10-15 12:04:58	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x01b7c7…
10-15 00:01:13	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf1a8c1…
10-14 15:17:03	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbe9ae2…
10-14 15:16:39	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xecd789…
10-14 07:14:52	googl close above 360 on october 14 2026	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd49879…
10-13 22:50:01	will mu reach 990 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x988497…
10-11 14:33:30	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x14cf10…
10-11 03:00:32	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa951cb…
10-10 16:57:18	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa9f07a…
10-09 09:47:21	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf0d9cf…
10-08 22:35:54	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc9c166…
10-06 12:34:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xaeea6c…
10-06 04:33:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4c1b4d…
10-05 17:56:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf96b3f…
10-05 08:07:08	spx up or down on october 5 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x092314…
10-05 00:06:01	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $172.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x39d8c4…
10-02 09:29:48	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa5e8d5…
10-01 11:56:59	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9dd5db…
10-01 03:56:15	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc18f2c…
09-30 10:55:11	wti closes above 92 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7caa4f…
09-30 10:51:50	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x96c4d7…
09-30 02:50:32	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2fdfd9…
09-27 06:21:06	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbf49d2…
09-26 07:53:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6f459d…
09-24 21:39:02	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x263ab1…
09-24 09:22:23	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2dc264…
09-23 12:31:29	Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xb726cc…
09-21 15:28:47	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x447856…
09-21 07:20:18	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x03c75e…
09-20 22:03:58	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x35b052…
09-19 04:52:57	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xda3ac8…
09-18 08:18:52	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xb6f99b…
09-17 11:37:57	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x9fbcd4…
09-17 00:22:48	spx up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x77d87a…
09-16 16:22:02	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb90a53…
09-16 08:20:42	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa64829…
09-13 22:12:43	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x15c653…
09-13 21:10:40	will mu reach 990 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe5b58b…
09-09 22:32:00	Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1e48e9…
09-09 14:18:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdc3c97…
09-09 05:56:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x704b01…
09-08 13:52:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x269461…
09-02 21:41:27	will apple release a foldable iphone by september 15 877 292	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1df150…
09-02 12:10:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xbaa16f…
09-02 00:04:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x113f7c…
09-01 23:59:21	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x5e690f…
09-01 11:12:37	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x16f0a9…
08-24 01:37:42	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe3a382…
08-23 04:07:21	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb12cc0…
08-22 15:26:15	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3fdd8b…
08-18 06:54:13	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x42690a…
08-17 22:40:46	will nvda reach 232 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xd54c3d…
08-17 00:34:24	will meta dip to 570 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa00410…
08-15 00:40:09	dg quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 27 2026 2	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xd10d5a…
08-13 03:15:10	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x0724b1…
08-12 18:37:25	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x20be96…
08-11 10:34:12	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x1d1a2e…
08-11 01:43:40	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x830274…
08-10 17:42:09	spx up or down on august 10 2026	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2f6cc2…
08-10 08:04:57	will amzn reach 288 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x3dfe33…
08-10 00:04:40	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7d00a1…
08-09 04:09:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x362adb…
08-08 16:14:37	plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xbf3268…
08-08 08:14:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x72456a…
08-08 00:13:19	hims quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 neg0pt05	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x13f106…
08-07 23:04:13	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb7eeb1…
08-07 11:47:54	wti closes above 76 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x110ca6…
08-07 03:45:33	spy up or down on august 7 2026	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x81b5f4…
08-06 18:53:44	uaa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt02	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xc96fec…
08-06 10:49:33	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xe597da…
08-06 01:16:44	spy up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb4bb4d…
08-05 17:12:26	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1bf39f…
08-05 09:11:26	will trump say beautiful 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421448	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4a1a77…
08-05 00:12:14	will trump say no no no during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421454	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x77361c…
08-04 16:04:48	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x6a3cf6…