Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

13.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-25

last 10-28 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

70% 22% -$548

Politics

30% 0% -$463

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes		+2,680	$3	0¢	$4	+$1	10-28 21:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	9	$469	636	635	+1	No	-$175	10-25 23:14
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	9	$402	1,293	0	+1,293	No	-$402	08-25 10:16
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	8	$319	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$319	10-26 00:14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	14	$288	4,274	0	+4,274	No	-$288	10-25 23:03
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	2	$285	768	0	+768	No	-$285	10-02 11:12
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?	3	$187	655	0	+655	Yes	+$468	09-22 00:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$119	292	290	+2	No	-$44	10-16 14:43
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	2	$90	352	0	+352	Yes	+$262	10-04 15:47
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	1	$80	232	0	+232	No	-$80	09-01 01:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$42	51	0	+51	Yes	+$9	09-11 18:00
Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	1	$40	91	0	+91	No	-$40	10-02 10:46
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?	1	$35	75	0	+75	No	-$35	10-01 00:19
Will PPI YoY be 5.5% in September?	3	$30	272	0	+272	No	-$30	10-14 20:27
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August?	1	$26	126	0	+126	No	-$26	09-29 13:52
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in August?	1	$18	163	0	+163	No	-$18	09-01 01:58
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	1	$18	42	0	+42	Yes	+$24	08-26 15:05
Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	3	$17	153	0	+153	No	-$17	10-15 09:12
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	2	$14	61	61	+0	No	-$8	10-05 18:54
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September?	2	$6	57	0	+57	No	-$6	09-30 17:41
2026 Balance of Power: Other	1	$3	2,680	0	+2,680	open	—	10-28 21:55
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% in September?	1	$1	125	0	+125	No	-$1	10-15 09:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:55:38	2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	BUY	2,680	0¢	$3	0x326d75…
10-26 00:14:09	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	191	26¢	$50	0x2ca711…
10-25 23:14:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xf87cd5…
10-25 23:03:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	253	4¢	$10	0xe5e0e4…
10-25 23:03:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	147	4¢	$6	0xb60c2a…
10-25 23:03:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x928884…
10-25 23:03:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	64	4¢	$3	0x8e884a…
10-25 23:03:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x3bc6d5…
10-25 23:03:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x272102…
10-25 23:03:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0xfb13eb…
10-25 23:03:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0x63a973…
10-25 23:03:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x409c7e…
10-25 23:03:03	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x3aa77e…
10-25 23:02:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x3e8be4…
10-25 23:02:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	1,448	4¢	$58	0x9f5182…
10-25 22:52:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	400	23¢	$94	0x23fc0b…
10-25 22:51:15	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	175	27¢	$47	0x7ad17e…
10-25 22:49:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	1,125	8¢	$90	0xfd0dab…
10-25 22:45:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	599	16¢	$96	0x66de53…
10-25 19:55:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	230	50¢	$115	0x6951f2…
10-25 19:53:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x6f19f7…
10-25 19:52:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xf37f3b…
10-25 19:36:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0xab6418…
10-25 19:36:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	294	51¢	$150	0x254652…
10-25 19:35:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xa20ba9…
10-23 20:34:14	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	180	22¢	$40	0xf45bc1…
10-23 10:24:53	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x423717…
10-22 20:05:14	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	94	31¢	$29	0xcd1708…
10-22 20:04:56	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x44b962…
10-21 10:17:17	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	76	34¢	$26	0x1bf6f7…
10-20 11:28:18	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	270	33¢	$89	0x49234c…
10-17 14:49:14	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	106	33¢	$35	0x3d3414…
10-16 14:43:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	90	13¢	$12	0x3bfd1a…
10-16 14:42:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x9be781…
10-16 14:42:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x03d6a0…
10-15 16:00:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	292	28¢	$82	0x07915a…
10-15 09:19:32	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% in September?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xdf7ba8…
10-15 09:12:46	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	Yes	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0x517cdd…
10-14 20:28:52	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	Yes	BUY	54	11¢	$6	0x4be8c2…
10-14 20:27:40	Will PPI YoY be 5.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x487f0c…
10-14 10:50:10	Will PPI YoY be 5.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	166	9¢	$15	0xebef72…
10-14 01:56:56	Will PPI YoY be 5.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x51b559…
10-08 16:07:38	Will PPI YoY be 5.8% in September?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xfebd09…
10-05 18:54:01	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	Yes	SELL	61	5¢	$3	0xc5a934…
10-04 15:47:58	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0xc479f1…
10-03 11:35:06	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	219	23¢	$50	0x4fccbf…
10-02 11:12:42	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	Yes	BUY	612	38¢	$232	0x1b2f38…
10-02 10:51:00	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September?	Yes	BUY	156	34¢	$53	0xfefd53…
10-02 10:46:06	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	Yes	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x83e984…
10-01 00:19:33	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	75	47¢	$35	0x8bd199…
09-30 17:41:24	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x5c1401…
09-30 14:33:59	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in September?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x1156dc…
09-29 13:52:08	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in August?	Yes	BUY	126	21¢	$26	0x3d5a8a…
09-22 00:23:46	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	BUY	341	29¢	$99	0xdd77a2…
09-21 11:18:41	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0x3f9808…
09-20 16:14:03	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	BUY	135	28¢	$38	0x5c1b33…
09-17 09:55:45	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	61	18¢	$11	0xa4e09f…
09-11 18:00:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	82¢	$42	0x72e35f…
09-01 01:58:40	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	163	11¢	$18	0xd28e2c…
09-01 01:18:15	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?	Yes	BUY	232	34¢	$80	0x0af07d…
08-26 15:05:16	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x54d204…
08-25 10:16:25	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xacdf3b…
08-25 01:36:54	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	485	33¢	$160	0xf0f4a1…
08-25 01:33:18	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0x4c0a59…
08-25 01:24:25	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	310	31¢	$96	0x7db048…
08-25 01:04:52	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	38	29¢	$11	0x93e525…
08-25 00:52:36	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x6503db…
08-25 00:43:45	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x46ac39…
08-25 00:26:45	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	61	30¢	$18	0x8a4f98…
08-25 00:13:18	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	282	29¢	$81	0x842f70…