Glass-Toll-Paranoia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$199

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 08-22 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 67% +$199

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$289	290	290	+0	open	—	05-14 12:14
btc updown 15m 1787412600	2	$253	156	156	+0	open	—	08-22 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$224	177	177	+0	open	—	05-15 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$214	141	141	+0	Up	+$64	05-12 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$207	138	138	+0	open	—	05-14 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$191	123	123	+0	Up	+$41	05-08 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$183	114	114	+0	Up	+$33	05-12 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	10	$181	112	112	+0	open	—	05-14 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$181	115	115	+0	Up	+$31	05-08 10:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$180	112	112	+0	open	—	05-14 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$176	107	107	+0	open	—	05-15 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$161	123	123	+0	open	—	05-14 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$161	196	196	+0	open	—	05-15 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$159	125	125	+0	Up	+$9	05-08 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$141	134	134	+0	Up	$-9	05-12 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$133	94	94	+0	Up	+$33	05-08 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$130	96	96	+0	Up	+$30	05-08 08:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	2	$122	196	196	+0	open	—	05-15 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$115	86	86	+0	Up	+$15	05-08 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$114	102	102	+0	Down	+$14	05-08 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$113	67	67	+0	Down	+$13	05-08 06:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$100	79	79	+0	Down	$-0	05-08 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$75	136	0	+136	Down	$-75	05-12 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$75	167	0	+167	open	—	05-14 14:09
btc updown 15m 1787400000	2	$72	48	48	+0	open	—	08-22 12:12
btc updown 15m 1787400900	2	$60	35	35	+0	open	—	08-22 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$54	62	62	+0	open	—	06-02 06:22
btc updown 15m 1787382000	1	$25	37	0	+37	open	—	08-22 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 06:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 15:44:01	btc updown 15m 1787412600	Up	SELL	156	98¢	$153	0xd0be30…
08-22 15:36:31	btc updown 15m 1787412600	Up	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x4f8d83…
08-22 12:28:30	btc updown 15m 1787400900	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x19a95b…
08-22 12:26:12	btc updown 15m 1787400900	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xbb215d…
08-22 12:12:36	btc updown 15m 1787400000	Up	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0xa81910…
08-22 12:03:57	btc updown 15m 1787400000	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x5ff8fa…
08-22 07:08:51	btc updown 15m 1787382000	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xbf77f2…
06-02 06:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	62	39¢	$24	0xacaf47…
06-02 06:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x21025f…
05-15 11:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	196	31¢	$61	0x693d2f…
05-15 11:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xa226c9…
05-15 11:25:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	196	11¢	$22	0x41f463…
05-15 11:21:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x399533…
05-15 07:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	177	70¢	$124	0xf8b856…
05-15 07:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	177	57¢	$100	0x6fcee0…
05-15 05:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	107	94¢	$101	0x322510…
05-15 05:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0x7ff314…
05-14 15:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	123	70¢	$86	0x1e5a6e…
05-14 15:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	123	61¢	$75	0x79e5ab…
05-14 14:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xd82daa…
05-14 14:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0xfcb854…
05-14 14:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x53d6c5…
05-14 14:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x16a44c…
05-14 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xc8de63…
05-14 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x53ff19…
05-14 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x3bd691…
05-14 14:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x054094…
05-14 14:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x6bc85c…
05-14 14:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	112	67¢	$75	0xe56ff8…
05-14 14:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	167	45¢	$75	0x9ff044…
05-14 13:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	112	94¢	$105	0xd310dd…
05-14 13:06:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	112	67¢	$75	0x5f6944…
05-14 12:14:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	117	90¢	$105	0x68078f…
05-14 12:13:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	117	64¢	$75	0x5ef38c…
05-14 12:11:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	173	20¢	$34	0x860b95…
05-14 12:10:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	173	43¢	$75	0xd4d3e1…
05-14 11:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	138	96¢	$132	0x703289…
05-14 11:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	138	54¢	$75	0x41e18e…
05-12 18:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	112	95¢	$107	0xb3cd85…
05-12 18:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7d6158…
05-12 18:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	114	66¢	$75	0x0c3cf3…
05-12 18:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	136	55¢	$75	0xd1b84e…
05-12 18:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	141	99¢	$139	0xccfdb3…
05-12 18:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	141	53¢	$75	0x27dfa0…
05-12 17:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	134	50¢	$66	0x6f709a…
05-12 17:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	134	56¢	$75	0xc43084…
05-08 11:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	123	94¢	$116	0x30e073…
05-08 11:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	123	61¢	$75	0x8d5555…
05-08 11:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	125	67¢	$84	0x35db68…
05-08 11:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	125	60¢	$75	0x6a4723…
05-08 10:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	115	92¢	$106	0x6d293b…
05-08 10:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	115	65¢	$75	0xaa455f…
05-08 09:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	79	63¢	$50	0x1ab408…
05-08 09:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x359c07…
05-08 08:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	96	83¢	$80	0x353c0c…
05-08 08:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xd35146…
05-08 08:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	86	75¢	$65	0xc215eb…
05-08 08:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xf9ed86…
05-08 08:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	94	88¢	$83	0xc9b376…
05-08 08:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x44d22b…
05-08 08:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	102	63¢	$64	0x591244…
05-08 08:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x1136aa…
05-08 06:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	67	95¢	$63	0x659499…
05-08 06:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x1630bb…
05-07 11:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x670087…
05-07 11:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x91cf17…
05-07 06:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x2cd3a8…
05-07 06:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x34700d…