Oval-Disadvantage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 06-30 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 100% +$0

Politics

24% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	9	$162	2,102	2,102	+0	open	—	02-25 19:26
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$84	2,902	2,902	+0	open	—	02-23 10:59
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-10 09:54
ethereum above 2300 on april 9	2	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-09 15:11
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-08 10:30
bitcoin above 74k on april 7	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-07 08:33
bitcoin above 76k on april 6	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-05 18:23
will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-04 14:59
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-03 15:00
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-01 04:04
bitcoin above 72k on march 31	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-31 07:48
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-30 11:12
bitcoin above 70k on march 29	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-29 07:51
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	2	$24	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-25 18:30
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-28 12:09
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-27 13:23
bitcoin above 74k on march 26	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-26 09:29
will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-25 16:31
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-23 08:08
bitcoin above 64k on march 22	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-22 11:49
ethereum above 2300 on march 21	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-21 12:17
bitcoin above 66k on march 20	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-20 10:11
bitcoin above 76k on march 19	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-19 10:15
will bitcoin reach 81k on march 18	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	03-18 15:41
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-12 09:55
will iran strike israel on march 4	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-07 16:29
will iran strike israel on march 10	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	03-13 17:33
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	03-24 10:45
bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-21 11:24
bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-26 05:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 12:14:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 30 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xabe6b7…
06-28 08:56:16	ethereum above 1700 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5702b6…
06-26 05:58:16	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa1cd86…
06-25 12:59:55	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9fc906…
06-23 10:06:41	ethereum above 1800 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3390fd…
06-21 11:24:16	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d48e4…
06-19 10:16:32	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa6b584…
06-14 11:27:21	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x61cff7…
06-12 13:27:39	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xec135a…
06-11 01:27:33	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb4e279…
06-07 09:18:37	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x87ec20…
06-06 11:39:06	ethereum above 1800 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x07c3d5…
06-04 10:36:51	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x195041…
05-28 01:53:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x961a99…
05-23 11:32:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6f0468…
05-21 12:10:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8a553f…
05-18 14:34:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3b1e97…
05-14 09:04:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e2ea2…
05-13 12:33:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbe70d2…
05-10 10:11:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc6488b…
05-09 14:00:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf90d10…
05-07 13:47:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1953d6…
05-07 10:01:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x63ad29…
05-03 08:44:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9603ef…
04-27 09:52:32	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4eba03…
04-26 12:41:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x786855…
04-24 12:37:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x31b1a2…
04-24 12:28:32	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9bd460…
04-24 10:31:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb812ac…
04-23 14:26:54	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8aff6d…
04-22 14:36:34	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x86563f…
04-21 09:46:04	bitcoin above 80k on april 21	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xce7565…
04-20 13:29:08	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x88d03b…
04-19 14:01:26	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8545fa…
04-18 13:48:26	bitcoin above 78k on april 18	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8ee366…
04-15 10:06:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x022149…
04-14 12:49:39	bitcoin above 78k on april 14	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6a6a39…
04-13 10:04:57	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2c9bae…
04-13 00:56:27	will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x59e5d7…
04-10 09:54:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0da14c…
04-09 15:11:45	ethereum above 2300 on april 9	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3dabdb…
04-09 14:56:51	ethereum above 2300 on april 9	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x129eb2…
04-08 10:30:27	bitcoin above 78k on april 8	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x189a5f…
04-07 08:33:41	bitcoin above 74k on april 7	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd5c5ff…
04-05 18:23:45	bitcoin above 76k on april 6	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xaeffb2…
04-04 14:59:39	will bitcoin reach 73k on april 4	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xaf6d28…
04-03 15:00:31	bitcoin above 64k on april 3	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x63f497…
04-01 04:04:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd627c4…
03-31 07:48:37	bitcoin above 72k on march 31	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x325767…
03-30 11:12:24	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x517db9…
03-29 07:51:02	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1b640b…
03-28 12:09:19	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x05ed1c…
03-27 13:23:05	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9e0fef…
03-26 09:29:47	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xff5bb6…
03-25 16:31:25	will bitcoin reach 77k on march 25	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x36446c…
03-24 10:45:07	bitcoin above 76k on march 24	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xaac941…
03-23 08:08:39	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x12dce3…
03-22 11:49:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 22	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0d8da3…
03-21 12:17:01	ethereum above 2300 on march 21	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe2756f…
03-20 10:11:01	bitcoin above 66k on march 20	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf78f02…
03-19 10:15:21	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2d641c…
03-18 15:41:33	will bitcoin reach 81k on march 18	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5cbba5…
03-13 17:33:07	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x42b06b…
03-12 09:55:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xeee723…
03-07 16:29:53	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa6bad1…
03-03 00:40:31	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd75b05…
02-25 19:26:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,306	4¢	$51	0x23dd44…
02-25 18:30:34	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	1¢	$12	0xea13bb…
02-25 18:18:58	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$12	0x754fe3…
02-25 17:48:50	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$12	0x51412c…
02-25 17:46:52	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xc880d8…
02-25 17:36:06	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x7e59da…
02-25 17:31:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xa2abd1…
02-25 17:30:44	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x3cc800…
02-25 17:30:36	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xdbed0c…
02-25 17:27:04	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	424	4¢	$17	0x913991…
02-25 17:23:52	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,102	4¢	$80	0x238e1e…
02-23 10:59:28	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	SELL	2,902	1¢	$35	0x3a0f52…
02-23 07:17:02	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	2,902	2¢	$49	0x2643f1…