Ragged-Thaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

275

Trades

336

lifetime

Volume

$383

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-03

last 06-07 05:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 85% +$1

Other

5% 86% +$1

Politics

3% 67% +$0

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 m80 b8 2026 06 03	2	$5	3	3	+0	B8	+$1	06-03 19:45
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	06-04 13:20
Will voter turnout be less than 50% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?	3	$4	2	2	+0	No	$0	06-04 13:19
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 12:45 UTC	2	$4	5	0	+5	Up	-$2	06-05 12:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 12:45 UTC	2	$4	5	0	+5	Up	-$2	06-05 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 19:00 UTC	2	$4	5	0	+5	Up	-$2	06-05 19:14
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	Down	-$2	06-05 12:14
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	Up	-$2	06-05 10:44
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$4	4	0	+4	Up	-$2	06-05 14:44
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	2	$4	8	8	+0	BIG	$0	06-03 13:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 17:00 UTC	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$0	06-04 17:11
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 2pt5	2	$3	5	5	+0	Knicks	-$1	06-04 01:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 18:45 UTC	4	$3	4	4	+0	Down	-$1	06-04 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 19:00 UTC	4	$3	4	4	+0	Up	-$1	06-04 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 18:30 UTC	4	$3	4	4	+0	Up	-$1	06-04 18:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 17:45 UTC	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	+$1	06-04 17:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 17:30 UTC	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	+$1	06-04 17:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 18:00 UTC	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	+$1	06-04 18:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 19:15 UTC	3	$3	4	2	+2	Up	+$1	06-04 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C or higher on June 3?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-03 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on June 3?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-03 06:55
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 3?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-03 04:23
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 3?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-03 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 3?	2	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-03 06:22
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	06-04 13:20
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	06-05 11:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 16:00 UTC	1	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	06-05 16:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 15:45 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	06-05 16:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 17:45 UTC	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	06-05 17:59
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	06-05 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 05:29:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x60a84b…
06-07 05:29:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xed04b6…
06-07 05:14:07	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbd3999…
06-07 05:14:04	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf330ac…
06-07 04:59:31	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x8c0ae1…
06-07 04:29:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x9b04f4…
06-07 04:29:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd2132d…
06-07 03:59:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xb5a3f7…
06-07 03:59:30	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x371bce…
06-07 03:59:12	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa02184…
06-07 03:59:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xda7732…
06-07 03:59:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa1369c…
06-07 03:45:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x2cddaa…
06-07 03:44:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xdd8fa1…
06-07 03:29:46	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0f9803…
06-07 03:14:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xfbd343…
06-07 03:14:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x65c607…
06-07 03:14:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x394155…
06-07 03:14:06	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4f87d5…
06-07 03:14:03	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xad7f35…
06-07 02:44:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd65b5d…
06-07 02:44:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb29b56…
06-07 02:44:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x21be69…
06-07 02:15:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe9de84…
06-07 02:14:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb16c21…
06-07 02:14:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x5c8105…
06-07 02:14:03	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc69f63…
06-07 01:59:19	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2edaac…
06-07 01:59:03	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8aa80f…
06-07 01:59:03	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x6ec672…
06-07 01:59:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x05f9d4…
06-07 00:59:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x953498…
06-07 00:59:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3c05f4…
06-07 00:44:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x4de1ab…
06-07 00:44:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf12ef2…
06-07 00:44:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7478b3…
06-07 00:43:22	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x78d024…
06-07 00:43:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0e3530…
06-07 00:29:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x372ccb…
06-07 00:28:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x684f94…
06-07 00:28:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x649628…
06-07 00:28:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x5ead31…
06-07 00:28:22	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf16f5c…
06-07 00:13:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-07 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x653f61…
06-06 23:59:12	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1bcadd…
06-06 23:58:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x90a96e…
06-06 23:58:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xff17c3…
06-06 23:58:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf69414…
06-06 23:28:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x015102…
06-06 23:28:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6221a2…
06-06 22:59:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb0ecd4…
06-06 22:58:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1daefc…
06-06 22:28:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcd8fb7…
06-06 22:28:22	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x217c8b…
06-06 22:13:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc3cb4c…
06-06 21:58:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x677199…
06-06 21:58:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x0aa6f2…
06-06 21:44:42	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x023402…
06-06 21:43:52	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x09b99c…
06-06 21:43:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2f1354…
06-06 21:29:01	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6e4d35…
06-06 21:28:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x704aac…
06-06 21:28:22	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x788650…
06-06 20:58:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe56bdf…
06-06 20:58:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0x86dc52…
06-06 20:58:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xb54f36…
06-06 20:58:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb3c4d0…
06-06 20:29:01	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4cdd34…
06-06 20:28:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xf79292…
06-06 20:28:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa93e09…
06-06 20:28:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2b37dc…
06-06 20:14:58	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe4f061…
06-06 20:14:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x91db3c…
06-06 20:14:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8c18d1…
06-06 20:13:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x3df40a…
06-06 20:13:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x9d5324…
06-06 20:13:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xec8319…
06-06 19:58:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 19:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x8293cf…
06-06 19:58:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc991c3…
06-06 19:58:39	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6448ea…
06-06 19:58:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe00e1b…
06-06 19:58:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa1eb4d…
06-06 19:44:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2ec223…
06-06 19:44:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xce12ed…
06-06 19:43:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3e28c0…
06-06 19:43:22	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1c7945…
06-06 18:59:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9815a9…
06-06 18:58:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5f64d8…
06-06 18:58:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x35ba31…
06-06 18:43:22	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x787f19…
06-06 18:28:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5d95cc…
06-06 18:13:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6ab703…
06-06 18:13:45	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xce272e…
06-06 18:13:30	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x720e1d…
06-06 18:13:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x769c26…
06-06 17:44:52	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x24d613…
06-06 17:44:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x7c9b07…
06-06 17:44:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x137a76…
06-06 17:43:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x055a55…
06-06 17:43:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbc2357…