Instructive-Info — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

332

Trades

333

lifetime

Volume

$3.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-13 03:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 235 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$6

Politics

5% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	+$0	11-13 03:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	25	+25	No	-$24	05-15 05:09
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:10
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:57
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-29 13:47
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 10:18
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 04:42
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:39
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:13
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:49
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:40
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 02:47
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:53
highest temperature in san francisco on april 20 2026 64 65f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:36
highest temperature in ankara on april 20 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 17:02
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 06:25
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 19 2026 24c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:26
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:50
highest temperature in shanghai on april 18 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:54
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:54
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:11
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:24
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 09:14
highest temperature in dallas on april 14 2026 82forhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 03:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 14 2026 31corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 16:31
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-14 06:06
highest temperature in seoul on april 13 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:59
highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-12 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 03:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2aa0e4…
11-12 08:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8e9fa5…
11-11 08:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x62d381…
11-08 11:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf6cb21…
11-07 10:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xda27fa…
11-06 09:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa6be85…
11-05 00:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2d4d3f…
11-04 04:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfac928…
11-03 17:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xefb780…
11-03 07:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf122e3…
11-02 08:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcfe49c…
10-31 19:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd6fd9c…
10-31 04:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcfbed0…
10-30 08:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x766bf2…
10-29 04:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf1d9f9…
10-28 04:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9813fb…
10-27 04:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdc2df7…
10-26 04:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9c5701…
10-25 12:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5b5a8d…
10-24 06:41:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf36acb…
10-22 09:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf158c6…
10-20 03:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x248be9…
10-19 06:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x19a138…
10-19 02:02:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5fe761…
10-18 09:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x41d33a…
10-18 02:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaf15dc…
10-17 05:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb0d094…
10-16 01:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4c5223…
10-15 04:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x76fb22…
10-14 00:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x22b0b4…
10-13 13:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe90ecc…
10-13 01:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xf3b3d0…
10-12 13:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x503793…
10-12 00:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x964a05…
10-11 00:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 10?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa3ad6c…
10-08 04:40:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x30fa87…
10-07 08:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb5a22b…
10-06 14:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbfd40d…
10-06 05:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdf0dac…
10-04 02:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1e42ff…
10-03 00:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2ae7f3…
10-02 07:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1664e6…
10-02 03:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x204130…
10-01 05:43:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf9c6e5…
09-30 08:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2a7e96…
09-29 03:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on September 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb35534…
09-28 01:11:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6dcff4…
09-27 09:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcc1ff9…
09-26 07:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1cc4b8…
09-25 01:37:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4a5488…
09-24 01:46:20	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xacb162…
09-23 05:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x233a44…
09-22 10:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1cd684…
09-22 01:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3e4646…
09-21 06:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe0b26a…
09-20 02:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0x956cff…
09-19 05:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6857be…
09-18 09:45:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88a0f6…
09-18 01:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14d1cb…
09-17 00:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4aab2c…
09-16 07:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b6c8e…
09-15 23:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4da704…
09-15 01:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf388c3…
09-14 00:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ffaeb…
09-13 12:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0ad71…
09-12 01:03:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e6ec5…
09-11 10:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83c87b…
09-11 01:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef3f2c…
09-10 01:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x459c84…
09-09 00:47:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83c4f2…
09-08 00:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff8684…
09-07 16:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5789b…
09-07 09:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ce5e5…
09-07 01:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x753164…
09-06 17:27:42	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x504bc6…
09-06 01:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf926ae…
09-05 07:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x218903…
09-04 07:49:19	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf2915…
09-03 01:01:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc4fd2…
09-02 09:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cd5d9…
09-01 01:12:39	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcec4dd…
08-30 16:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x562dc8…
08-30 00:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa51e6b…
08-29 05:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0bb0d0…
08-28 01:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce2490…
08-27 00:59:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f07c7…
08-26 01:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f20e0…
08-25 00:59:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4f808…
08-24 07:06:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc308f6…
08-23 00:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64578a…
08-22 01:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4519d3…
08-21 01:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x657bcc…
08-20 00:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e5d35…
08-19 00:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfad964…
08-18 00:06:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbeac73…
08-17 05:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa353d5…
08-16 01:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9921e5…
08-15 01:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3c663…
08-14 01:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x207bd8…
08-13 00:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54a839…