Difficult-Staff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

2,338

Trades

2,411

lifetime

Volume

$23.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-29 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 241 days

Categories

Other

81% 98% -$10

Sports

15% 99% -$6

Crypto

3% 98% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	10-30 16:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-18 06:41
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:31
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:10
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 22:00
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:36
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	03-20 01:08
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-01 01:25
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:25
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	04-01 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 16:19:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd68a1…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90739e…
10-27 13:12:06	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0af86a…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6e376…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf7079b…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a368d…
10-23 07:20:57	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87cdd5…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc124c2…
10-22 20:41:06	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46fdb9…
10-21 17:12:36	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39814b…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c247e…
10-20 18:39:11	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25a3e6…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7a6c8…
10-15 20:32:47	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa34d5d…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98632b…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x659a56…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc494a7…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3785b0…
10-13 21:12:09	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e2c2a…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a9650…
10-13 15:53:27	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13999c…
10-13 14:15:19	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5fb09a…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9113b5…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3d2065…
10-12 09:08:25	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d47f8…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabfaf0…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x80b94e…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf4d2e…
10-10 12:54:19	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x917bf4…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44c59f…
10-09 02:09:50	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49d765…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d3637…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x461c8e…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35d634…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f0b59…
10-04 23:23:11	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa854f9…
10-04 20:17:40	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33cbad…
10-04 07:45:13	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x72d284…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x332b09…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcdab31…
10-03 02:53:02	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e1317…
10-02 14:15:33	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd7976e…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x07f9aa…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9582ff…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xebf391…
10-01 14:13:02	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40bf98…
10-01 12:05:47	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2f2c3…
10-01 11:43:51	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6a488f…
10-01 04:48:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe44bd0…
09-30 23:54:54	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x720103…
09-30 12:28:00	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3ea974…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f19a5…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7569fa…
09-29 13:58:53	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x058fb6…
09-29 13:15:57	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x062887…
09-29 06:34:48	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2e8d5…
09-29 00:54:09	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x06d603…
09-28 17:00:09	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec9d03…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeaf0ca…
09-27 20:41:57	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd70708…
09-27 14:05:50	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf203cd…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcfd755…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41849b…
09-27 01:58:20	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe70aad…
09-27 00:20:33	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a4493…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe53786…
09-26 20:12:54	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x95d52a…
09-26 20:01:33	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x628dbd…
09-26 19:48:45	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee50f9…
09-26 16:16:12	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4142d8…
09-26 12:18:23	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdca344…
09-25 23:23:48	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4574ff…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcf1752…
09-25 10:17:18	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6e662…
09-24 20:45:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71ecf7…
09-24 09:38:47	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5667c3…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84e988…
09-23 16:22:07	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12c665…
09-23 04:45:10	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x12e623…
09-21 19:09:01	will msft dip to 495 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca6d8d…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87f315…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe39fc8…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d14c6…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3970d…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf13aa4…
09-20 12:44:48	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e6173…
09-20 02:59:40	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87a218…
09-20 01:32:42	East Carolina vs. Old Dominion	East Carolina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b3e3d…
09-20 00:02:51	Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Southeastern Louisiana	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ef71f…
09-19 01:33:07	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e5268…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6d5c0…
09-18 19:32:19	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7dcf24…
09-17 20:00:10	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x421d8a…
09-17 17:27:07	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe734f3…
09-17 17:00:24	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5593e…
09-17 14:00:51	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x34eb65…
09-17 00:30:51	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63cc89…
09-16 12:08:58	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95eef5…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3089f6…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb4788…