Difficult-Staff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,692

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 06-30 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

79% 96% +$0

Sports

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 10:12:49	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe563a0…
06-30 04:26:02	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac8159…
06-30 04:16:13	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29ad6b…
06-29 22:43:37	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 goals jamal musiala gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1f690…
06-29 19:15:11	Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xceadc6…
06-29 19:04:13	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39b966…
06-29 14:13:53	cs2 ast sinqur 2026 06 29 game1	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cb2fd…
06-29 13:52:44	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe47f39…
06-28 17:22:11	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28	Yawara Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e2ee5…
06-28 17:02:08	cs2 6666 ast 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x551812…
06-28 04:05:46	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 5pt5	Jordan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a6460…
06-28 04:00:23	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9b0be…
06-28 03:59:13	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17f1b5…
06-28 03:40:58	will harry kane score 3 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611170337379	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x493fd9…
06-28 02:03:17	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ad531…
06-27 20:38:17	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cfb2c…
06-27 20:00:17	Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08318e…
06-26 18:36:11	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f2c51…
06-26 18:36:05	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x306eb9…
06-26 11:53:58	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x272e0a…
06-26 00:56:19	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x043899…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1834b9…
06-25 02:00:23	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb3311c…
06-25 01:49:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed24ed…
06-25 00:07:19	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa61075…
06-25 00:00:59	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94c62a…
06-24 16:52:08	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x199e00…
06-24 01:01:16	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabaf47…
06-23 20:00:59	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd72222…
06-23 18:25:10	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe232b8…
06-23 17:01:55	crint nam3 nga2 2026 06 23	Namibia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a0174…
06-23 15:05:28	itf naw oetzbac 2026 06 23 first set total 10pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x500f36…
06-23 04:13:40	mlb bal laa 2026 06 22 total 12pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2dc7ca…
06-23 04:13:38	mlb bal laa 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d9f9e…
06-23 04:13:37	mlb bal laa 2026 06 22 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe12561…
06-22 19:15:31	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfda6aa…
06-22 18:15:37	atp choinsk popyrin 2026 06 22 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3eb3d5…
06-21 18:13:10	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ad403…
06-21 13:51:44	cs2 fokus pha 2026 06 21 game1	FOKUS	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a916e…
06-21 05:58:31	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8db00…
06-21 01:22:44	ufc chr15 hyd 2026 06 20 go the distance	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb81919…
06-20 22:02:11	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 goals kai havertz gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8526b5…
06-20 20:06:46	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbabedc…
06-20 19:15:34	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2c0fe…
06-20 05:14:17	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13e34b…
06-20 02:55:22	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x199ff7…
06-20 02:43:43	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 corners team home 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3709b0…
06-20 01:48:59	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2460c6…
06-20 00:27:26	mlb cws det 2026 06 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa55bff…
06-19 19:35:50	cs2 ff navij1 2026 06 19	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x35b177…
06-19 15:45:28	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c8b09…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ca6d6…
06-18 20:07:34	mlb cle mil 2026 06 18 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5436b…
06-18 20:00:37	will spy reach 775 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffb3cb…
06-18 18:01:41	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7630b…
06-18 04:03:25	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d87eb…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad6bf2…
06-17 19:05:32	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1d0712…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf16c77…
06-17 16:10:17	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadc978…
06-17 16:08:10	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad48e0…
06-17 16:06:19	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xef6aaf…
06-17 03:03:51	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95650d…
06-16 14:06:22	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfd382…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeba215…
06-15 12:41:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36dda0…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf61c11…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f29c4…
06-14 17:30:27	cs2 bb3 vit 2026 06 14 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd78baf…
06-14 03:34:55	will josh hart score 50 points in any game of the 2026 nba finals 20260603023421893	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6c229…
06-13 20:48:01	will breel embolo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x780e2d…
06-13 11:58:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d1bba…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4a2f4…
06-12 21:09:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2fce4…
06-12 21:03:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08c9b0…
06-12 20:26:49	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66a369…
06-12 20:18:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x259a95…
06-12 20:17:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfce2ad…
06-12 13:30:06	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88e4b8…
06-11 22:13:39	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93576d…
06-11 21:15:18	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x049657…
06-11 16:53:31	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06c96c…
06-11 08:31:22	itf yamaguc zhan 2026 06 11	Mei Yamaguchi	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x985eef…
06-10 20:16:57	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe82b8…
06-10 20:05:13	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa99ccf…
06-10 17:57:54	lol es1 anb 2026 06 10 game1	Eintracht Spandau	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40d45e…
06-10 09:05:04	mlbb dewa geek 2026 06 10	Geek Fam ID	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25e748…
06-09 17:38:24	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84ed52…
06-09 14:29:52	kbo ssg lg 2026 06 09	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40cf16…
06-09 00:21:13	col1 atn cjf 2026 06 08 spread home 2pt5	CDPJuniorFC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc95b25…
06-08 23:26:33	cs2 xi clutch 2026 06 08	XI Esport	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfffd4…
06-08 21:37:07	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcae314…
06-08 12:03:40	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbd1c7…
06-07 22:05:31	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x640fa6…
06-07 22:02:00	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07 spread home 1pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf31bfe…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc1f373…
06-07 21:21:40	mlb cle tex 2026 06 07 spread home 1pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2b48e…
06-07 19:26:45	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ba362…
06-07 18:51:37	Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea03bb…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41cae4…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:36
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 22:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:10
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-20 01:08
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:25
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:47
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
f1 chinese grand prix sprint winner russell 2026 03 13	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-14 05:27
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:14
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:25
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 17:05
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 00:00
cs2 ra1 lvg 2026 02 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-26 15:58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
atp shimabu riedi 2026 04 17 set totals 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 07:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
highest temperature in paris on march 23 2026 14c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 14:37
cs2 leo2 brute 2026 04 07 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 18:04
nba bkn bos 2026 02 27 rebounds nicolas claxton 6pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-28 09:43