Chilly-Discrepancy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,395

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 05-17 06:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 37% $-68

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1772467200	2	$125	106	106	+1	open	—	03-02 16:05
btc updown 5m 1772374500	2	$92	143	142	+1	open	—	03-01 14:18
btc updown 5m 1771725000	4	$86	70	61	+9	open	—	02-22 01:55
btc updown 5m 1772528400	2	$85	67	66	+1	open	—	03-03 09:05
btc updown 5m 1772386800	2	$82	64	63	+1	open	—	03-01 17:45
btc updown 5m 1772466600	2	$81	67	66	+1	open	—	03-02 15:54
btc updown 5m 1772527800	2	$78	59	58	+1	open	—	03-03 08:55
btc updown 5m 1772378100	2	$77	99	99	+1	open	—	03-01 15:19
btc updown 5m 1772375400	2	$77	58	57	+1	open	—	03-01 14:35
btc updown 5m 1772373600	2	$75	69	68	+1	open	—	03-01 14:03
btc updown 5m 1771764600	2	$75	56	56	+1	open	—	02-22 12:55
btc updown 5m 1772466000	2	$74	55	55	+1	open	—	03-02 15:45
btc updown 5m 1772387700	2	$73	60	60	+0	open	—	03-01 18:00
btc updown 5m 1772387400	2	$72	54	54	+1	open	—	03-01 17:55
btc updown 5m 1772463000	2	$69	56	55	+0	open	—	03-02 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$68	154	154	+0	open	—	05-15 10:22
btc updown 5m 1772381100	2	$66	69	68	+1	open	—	03-01 16:09
btc updown 5m 1772462100	2	$65	50	49	+1	open	—	03-02 14:40
btc updown 5m 1772385300	2	$64	47	46	+1	open	—	03-01 17:18
btc updown 5m 1772119800	2	$64	56	55	+0	open	—	02-26 15:34
btc updown 5m 1772117400	4	$62	66	65	+1	open	—	02-26 14:53
btc updown 5m 1772526900	3	$61	47	47	+0	open	—	03-03 08:40
btc updown 5m 1771774800	4	$61	63	62	+1	open	—	02-22 15:45
btc updown 5m 1772386200	2	$60	50	49	+1	open	—	03-01 17:33
btc updown 5m 1772380200	2	$59	47	47	+1	open	—	03-01 15:54
btc updown 5m 1772381700	2	$58	43	43	+1	open	—	03-01 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	6	$58	134	134	+0	Down	+$11	05-12 07:55
btc updown 5m 1772464500	2	$57	69	68	+1	open	—	03-02 15:18
btc updown 5m 1772483700	3	$56	78	60	+17	open	—	03-02 20:38
btc updown 5m 1772458500	2	$55	59	59	+1	open	—	03-02 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 06:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3379d3…
05-17 06:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcc7983…
05-17 05:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x7906d9…
05-17 05:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb9c922…
05-17 05:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa7d82c…
05-17 05:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x011273…
05-17 05:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa374bd…
05-17 05:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x2e35f1…
05-17 05:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x4f00aa…
05-17 05:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x5dde47…
05-17 05:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	69	11¢	$7	0xb23a53…
05-17 04:58:48	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x9d4ac4…
05-15 21:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x9ed70c…
05-15 20:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x27c543…
05-15 20:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xe94961…
05-15 20:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x3a4fb4…
05-15 20:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x615a3c…
05-15 20:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x5807fc…
05-15 20:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2fa1d4…
05-15 20:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xdd973b…
05-15 20:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x04f773…
05-15 20:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0x40c28e…
05-15 20:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x9d4b86…
05-15 19:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0xa66631…
05-15 19:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x8bc4a2…
05-15 19:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x69e12c…
05-15 19:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x244d37…
05-15 19:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4bd5cf…
05-15 19:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x225dea…
05-15 19:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x2b5ed2…
05-15 19:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x73769a…
05-15 19:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xede529…
05-15 18:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xca5617…
05-15 18:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb25779…
05-15 18:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf8d0b9…
05-15 18:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x7e950d…
05-15 18:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0x780129…
05-15 18:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	125	9¢	$11	0x5d7100…
05-15 18:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xe924cb…
05-15 18:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	150	7¢	$10	0xdb9e30…
05-15 18:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8a77ba…
05-15 18:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe52a12…
05-15 18:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x2df4a6…
05-15 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x0228fe…
05-15 18:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf53951…
05-15 18:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xe8f5dc…
05-15 17:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xb76ec8…
05-15 17:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x695cb0…
05-15 17:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9e2562…
05-15 17:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x32d8b1…
05-15 17:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x5dce1d…
05-15 17:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x4fac22…
05-15 17:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x12dec5…
05-15 17:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0xe6d430…
05-15 17:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x0afc08…
05-15 17:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf66f1a…
05-15 17:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xca9db0…
05-15 17:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xef53d9…
05-15 17:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x33411e…
05-15 17:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc31b34…
05-15 12:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9b998c…
05-15 12:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6a2acc…
05-15 12:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x354c2d…
05-15 11:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xbabe82…
05-15 11:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xed24b4…
05-15 11:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaa8e45…
05-15 11:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfddc68…
05-15 11:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9c1409…
05-15 11:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x18a5e2…
05-15 11:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	29	22¢	$6	0xb136e3…
05-15 11:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xb3868b…
05-15 11:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x576dc4…
05-15 11:27:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x551b3e…
05-15 11:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	28	59¢	$16	0xbd463e…
05-15 11:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x40f47a…
05-15 11:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x4847c4…
05-15 11:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0xd6a53d…
05-15 11:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa53c86…
05-15 10:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	289	7¢	$20	0x1763be…
05-15 10:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	314	6¢	$20	0xde2ecc…
05-15 10:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	167	18¢	$31	0x1dcdf2…
05-15 10:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0xddf7bb…
05-15 10:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	366	4¢	$15	0x89c510…
05-15 10:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x179124…
05-15 10:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	170	12¢	$20	0x59b6da…
05-15 10:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	154	31¢	$48	0xf35837…
05-15 10:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x0a2ab7…
05-15 10:16:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xed4116…
05-15 10:16:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x183d3c…
05-15 10:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x048e32…
05-15 10:11:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x979022…
05-15 10:07:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xab434e…
05-15 10:07:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xd3ed43…
05-15 09:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x621ff7…
05-15 09:17:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xd00890…
05-15 09:16:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x220307…
05-15 09:08:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x522d13…
05-15 09:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x3bfc62…
05-15 09:03:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x297b6e…
05-15 08:57:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xa4405c…