Vast-Sail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 09-17 04:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 100% +$4

Other

32% 42% +$22

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET	1	$112	113	+113	Down	+$1	04-28 01:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$99	99	+99	Down	+$0	05-12 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$90	91	+91	Down	+$0	04-27 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$73	73	+73	Down	+$0	05-22 07:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$68	68	+68	Down	+$0	05-17 03:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	1	$68	68	+68	Up	+$0	05-17 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$60	60	+60	Down	+$0	04-28 03:47
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$46	100	+100	No	-$46	06-25 00:30
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	1	$41	41	+41	No	+$0	04-29 03:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$41	41	+41	No	+$0	04-29 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET	1	$39	39	+39	Up	+$0	04-30 03:54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$38	100	+100	Yes	+$62	06-25 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	1	$37	38	+38	Up	+$0	05-07 04:58
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$35	101	+101	No	-$35	05-13 02:27
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$34	101	+101	No	-$34	05-13 02:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$31	31	+31	Yes	+$0	04-27 06:53
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$28	100	+100	No	-$28	05-24 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	1	$28	28	+28	Down	+$0	05-18 01:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$28	28	+28	Down	+$0	05-21 07:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET	1	$28	28	+28	Up	+$0	05-19 05:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	1	$24	24	+24	Down	+$0	05-05 08:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 08:01
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$22	101	+101	Yes	+$79	05-24 03:16
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	1	$21	21	+21	No	+$0	04-29 03:19
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C or below on May 5?	1	$21	21	+21	No	+$0	05-04 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-04 01:51
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$20	100	+100	No	-$20	05-24 03:09
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?	1	$19	19	+19	No	+$0	05-04 01:07
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$19	101	+101	Yes	+$82	05-13 02:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	1	$19	20	+20	Up	+$1	05-05 02:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 04:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	7¢	$3	0x9e7c18…
09-17 04:50:57	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	42¢	$15	0x80213f…
09-17 04:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x6821fe…
06-25 00:30:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xad066e…
06-25 00:30:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x4d07b5…
06-25 00:30:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x3220e0…
05-24 03:16:43	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x85bbe1…
05-24 03:13:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xdef25b…
05-24 03:11:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x3a36f6…
05-24 03:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x34d345…
05-24 03:09:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xafebae…
05-24 03:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	22¢	$21	0x087e0d…
05-24 03:08:54	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	12¢	$7	0xd827bd…
05-22 07:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xa339db…
05-21 07:36:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x9e6e97…
05-19 05:59:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xd4a405…
05-18 01:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x5a136b…
05-17 03:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xb6ac9f…
05-17 02:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x989b00…
05-13 02:27:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	19¢	$19	0x9330e6…
05-13 02:27:04	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	35¢	$20	0x85ee39…
05-13 02:27:02	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x095266…
05-13 02:26:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x27302f…
05-13 02:26:32	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	34¢	$34	0x39f5ea…
05-13 02:26:18	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	8¢	$8	0x3574e7…
05-12 03:43:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x61c443…
05-10 08:01:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on May 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xce09b1…
05-07 04:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0x2ca1da…
05-05 08:57:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x36dab5…
05-05 02:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0e7290…
05-05 02:06:54	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0dfc4f…
05-04 06:51:36	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6aa4e0…
05-04 03:43:56	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0308b5…
05-04 01:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1a58c9…
05-04 01:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C or below on May 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x76bc6c…
05-04 01:07:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1de637…
04-30 03:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x4b91c5…
04-29 03:21:06	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x254641…
04-29 03:19:08	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in April?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x8c7c19…
04-29 03:05:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x3d4f8f…
04-28 03:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x130245…
04-28 01:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xe183a6…
04-27 07:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0x0dee10…
04-27 06:53:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb01946…