Pale-Comb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

315

Trades

316

lifetime

Volume

$3.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-12 08:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 90% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	11-12 08:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:04
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:52
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:08
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:22
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:44
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:28
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:21
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:09
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:46
highest temperature in busan on april 18 2026 25corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-18 08:13
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 15c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 15:22
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 05:40
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 07:42
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-15 06:57
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:45
highest temperature in jeddah on april 14 2026 35corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-14 15:27
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-14 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 08:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xebfdb0…
11-11 08:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9f41a8…
11-08 11:41:12	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x152418…
11-07 10:56:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd9b74a…
11-06 10:00:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb2a832…
11-05 00:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 7°C or below on November 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcb31fe…
11-03 17:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x270321…
11-03 09:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1b3f8f…
11-02 10:05:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8d9793…
11-01 07:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5f3533…
10-31 07:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x209094…
10-30 08:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd21df3…
10-29 17:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x37e3e9…
10-29 07:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5e7745…
10-28 04:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x11b878…
10-27 15:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5ab223…
10-27 07:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa1c128…
10-26 04:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x71260f…
10-24 06:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9130c6…
10-22 09:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0469a5…
10-20 04:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb492f7…
10-19 06:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4d8f05…
10-18 06:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x52ebd4…
10-17 07:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0a3626…
10-16 04:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9c5235…
10-15 05:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8bc682…
10-14 06:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x844c6b…
10-13 13:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc8f10a…
10-13 01:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xfea6c1…
10-12 01:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfaa358…
10-11 01:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9d8025…
10-08 05:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x75b304…
10-07 08:47:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0286b1…
10-06 15:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x46e340…
10-06 05:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8f937…
10-04 07:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23d779…
10-03 00:48:35	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51139d…
10-02 07:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6056e2…
10-02 03:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d9179…
10-01 05:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf649b6…
09-30 07:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b9e43…
09-29 06:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa15042…
09-28 07:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9f415…
09-27 10:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf31305…
09-26 08:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3af4e8…
09-25 07:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa261b0…
09-24 06:36:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2ea92…
09-23 05:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2597f4…
09-22 01:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee1294…
09-21 08:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd81346…
09-20 02:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea711d…
09-19 06:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d3e3b…
09-18 01:07:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25f4e1…
09-17 00:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf7290…
09-16 07:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdcf9d3…
09-15 23:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81603d…
09-15 01:04:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd517a2…
09-14 00:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x108ece…
09-13 12:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae3e9e…
09-12 03:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x854c73…
09-11 01:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb7849…
09-10 01:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2cb9e…
09-09 00:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01fd92…
09-08 01:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b27aa…
09-07 01:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe380de…
09-06 07:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe66f14…
09-06 01:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26adf5…
09-05 09:15:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa97ae4…
09-04 08:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x508b83…
09-03 01:08:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f992a…
09-02 11:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51c263…
09-01 01:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf2e90…
08-30 00:10:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb644bb…
08-29 05:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7032d4…
08-28 01:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9edc93…
08-27 01:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5b122e…
08-26 01:58:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84560c…
08-25 01:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45da4a…
08-24 07:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf4994…
08-23 01:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fbcea…
08-22 01:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27822d…
08-21 01:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeadd2c…
08-20 05:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x861a63…
08-19 00:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20fbfd…
08-18 00:11:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x307f01…
08-17 05:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe37614…
08-16 01:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3c16b…
08-15 02:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40782b…
08-14 01:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfeddb0…
08-13 00:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99ae22…
08-12 00:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48852c…
08-11 00:13:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8705a7…
08-10 00:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76520b…
08-09 00:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9854b…
08-08 00:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38bbce…
08-07 00:14:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f99ba…
08-06 00:19:29	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab50c4…
08-05 00:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d0dd9…
08-04 00:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5cab1…
08-03 00:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa743a…