Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$239

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 11-08 13:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

63% 94% +$6

Politics

28% 100% +$3

Crypto

6% 25% -$2

Tech

2% 50% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	+$0	07-07 16:19
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	+2	$2	99¢	$2	+$0	11-08 13:42
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	+2	$2	98¢	$2	$0	11-08 13:41
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	+2	$2	97¢	$2	$0	11-08 13:47
Nothing Ever Happens: November	Nothing	+1	$1	95¢	$1	$0	11-08 13:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	5	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-03 17:16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-21 03:53
cs2 g2 ts7 2026 02 03	4	$8	6	6	+0	Spirit	+$0	02-03 18:47
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 360 379	5	$8	6	6	+0	No	+$1	02-03 17:17
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	10-30 01:31
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	02-18 11:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	4	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	02-18 11:04
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 380 399	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	02-05 10:59
spx up or down on february 3 2026	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	02-03 22:52
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	07-08 12:29
ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	4	$5	3	3	+0	Up	-$1	08-22 08:57
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	07-06 00:35
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	11-04 22:00
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	07-07 16:19
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 140 164	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-18 11:08
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 190 214	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	02-11 22:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	07-13 15:15
will the us next strike iran on february 6 2026 et	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	02-07 12:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$4	3	1	+2	Yes	+$0	02-28 23:53
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-14 20:42
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	08-24 23:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:50 UTC	3	$3	3	2	+1	Down	-$1	08-27 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:00 UTC	4	$3	3	3	+0	Down	-$1	08-27 15:02
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	02-16 22:14
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	02-07 12:50
will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	07-13 15:21
cs2 bcg faze 2026 02 02	2	$3	2	2	+0	FaZe	+$1	02-02 18:00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	07-19 21:59
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	02-03 16:51
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-21 03:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 13:56:24	Nothing Ever Happens: November	Nothing	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc725c7…
11-08 13:47:36	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5eaa48…
11-08 13:42:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa3f184…
11-08 13:41:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xafa32c…
11-04 22:00:34	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x859244…
10-30 01:31:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x471a3d…
09-29 16:54:00	Will Trump say "Oracle" in September?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb949f9…
09-03 05:24:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x90ced5…
08-27 15:04:07	spx up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8caf9b…
08-27 15:03:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x504042…
08-27 15:02:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xa872a2…
08-27 15:01:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x33f045…
08-27 15:01:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0xae5f54…
08-27 15:00:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x1ae1a5…
08-27 14:54:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x5636a0…
08-27 14:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbbcb7f…
08-27 14:52:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf7b788…
08-24 23:58:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x560fe6…
08-24 23:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x66dc1a…
08-22 08:57:40	ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x4e5736…
08-21 22:15:12	ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8abab7…
08-21 22:14:30	ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x38e3e8…
08-21 22:12:30	ethereum up or down on august 22 2026	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xab759e…
08-21 22:10:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9030cc…
08-19 16:14:31	spx up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1f8e35…
08-19 14:10:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 19?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7125a3…
08-11 13:20:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xda85f8…
08-10 18:10:27	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4d9ed7…
07-23 15:37:07	will trump say fake news during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255815	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x356670…
07-19 21:59:33	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$2	0xf57749…
07-14 20:24:41	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xadef03…
07-14 20:23:40	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1277f8…
07-13 15:21:55	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x56bd7f…
07-13 15:15:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x913055…
07-13 15:13:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x563ddd…
07-08 12:29:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdb77bc…
07-07 16:19:11	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x584dd3…
07-07 16:18:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x24e403…
07-07 16:17:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xfb4c10…
07-06 00:35:41	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x677b96…
05-21 03:56:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa77a87…
05-21 03:55:03	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x926388…
05-21 03:53:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8c00ab…
04-11 07:56:43	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0973cb…
04-11 07:56:33	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2ede4e…
04-11 07:52:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x40000b…
04-09 16:06:19	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa85ac5…
04-09 16:05:17	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdb271b…
04-09 16:02:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xea6fc0…
04-09 15:59:39	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4e42ab…
04-09 15:59:27	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x33a48b…
03-26 02:56:53	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd06619…
03-14 20:42:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x53b559…
03-14 20:41:05	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf19b7c…
03-14 20:39:45	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4480d5…
03-08 13:25:07	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x611863…
03-08 13:23:09	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 280 299	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x20dcca…
03-08 13:22:21	will iran strike israel on march 9	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe9a2b9…
02-28 23:53:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x540a8e…
02-28 23:53:17	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4cc8b4…
02-26 16:32:16	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x259b88…
02-24 17:23:36	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc978d2…
02-24 17:23:14	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x49464c…
02-18 11:08:12	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 140 164	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe05f22…
02-18 11:06:34	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9abbcc…
02-18 11:06:12	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xca145e…
02-18 11:05:22	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 140 164	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa206ae…
02-18 11:04:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8a115d…
02-18 11:03:36	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb46d0c…
02-17 21:25:59	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x503a30…
02-16 22:14:31	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x8e682c…
02-16 00:43:19	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 115 139	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xbfe4f0…
02-13 15:14:33	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x812906…
02-11 23:10:49	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 480 499	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x37e701…
02-11 22:48:35	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 190 214	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfbee94…
02-11 11:36:17	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 190 214	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa82d33…
02-07 12:51:49	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9ab0cf…
02-07 12:50:33	will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xaa9001…
02-07 12:42:37	will the us next strike iran on february 6 2026 et	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd256bb…
02-07 12:42:25	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc7e6a1…
02-06 17:57:23	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x05bd0a…
02-05 17:47:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa0a811…
02-05 17:42:57	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xac4b1a…
02-05 16:32:35	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4409d4…
02-05 14:29:13	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	Yes	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x9ac33e…
02-05 11:11:51	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc30afa…
02-05 11:01:33	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x6d1e20…
02-05 10:59:21	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 380 399	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x01b8b2…
02-05 10:51:21	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf02eb9…
02-05 00:49:03	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x78ebbc…
02-05 00:44:25	will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x77d0b5…
02-05 00:43:03	will the us next strike iran on february 6 2026 et	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbd995a…
02-05 00:41:55	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 380 399	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x75c216…
02-04 20:34:17	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1ec9f0…
02-04 10:46:14	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x9c5c52…
02-03 22:52:42	spx up or down on february 3 2026	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe31d77…
02-03 18:59:46	spx up or down on february 3 2026	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x48aeb3…
02-03 18:47:34	cs2 g2 ts7 2026 02 03	Spirit	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xb0ddbe…
02-03 18:44:02	cs2 g2 ts7 2026 02 03	Spirit	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x940df8…
02-03 18:42:24	cs2 g2 ts7 2026 02 03	Spirit	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x0daea8…