Reckless-Vitamin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.46K

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

73.2%

Resolved

457

Trades

882

lifetime

Volume

$327.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$371

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-27 00:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 91 days

Categories

Other

66% 59% +$9,158

Politics

31% 53% -$12,959

Crypto

2% 42% -$1,151

Sports

1% 45% -$511

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+50	$10	44¢	$22	+$12	08-24 04:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	16	$24.2K	14,323	14,323	+0	No	+$4,292	04-15 05:46
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	52	$21.4K	17,820	17,820	+0	Yes	+$6,673	04-01 11:38
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	13	$18.6K	13,677	13,677	+0	No	+$168	04-08 07:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$11.3K	12,857	0	+12,857	Yes	+$1,543	09-16 15:54
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	15	$9.2K	8,510	7,387	+1,124	Yes	-$2,913	10-04 21:04
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	14	$8.8K	5,639	3,912	+1,727	Yes	+$277	05-13 15:17
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$8.1K	4,642	4,642	+0	No	+$271	04-12 08:53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	2	$6.5K	3,590	3,590	+0	Yes	+$714	05-14 01:02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	5	$5.9K	6,175	6,175	+0	No	-$494	09-04 12:36
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	4	$5.2K	3,090	3,090	+0	Yes	+$139	04-24 12:17
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	5	$5.2K	4,951	4,951	+0	No	-$2,364	10-04 20:41
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	11	$4.9K	2,963	2,963	+0	No	+$871	05-15 13:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	6	$4.8K	2,883	2,883	+0	Yes	+$417	10-23 20:06
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	1	$4.8K	5,066	0	+5,066	Yes	+$253	04-03 07:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$4.5K	3,908	3,908	+0	No	-$1,398	04-29 01:32
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$4.0K	2,472	2,472	+0	Yes	+$34	04-10 01:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$4.0K	3,563	3,563	+0	No	+$58	04-15 23:36
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	3	$3.9K	2,047	2,047	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$223	07-23 15:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$3.5K	2,237	2,237	+0	No	+$38	04-23 09:32
Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	5	$3.0K	5,002	0	+5,002	Over	-$3,002	10-21 16:45
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner	2	$2.8K	1,756	1,756	+0	Gen.G	+$754	09-05 10:56
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	2	$2.7K	1,834	1,834	+0	Over	+$971	10-24 20:05
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$2.7K	1,506	1,506	+0	Yes	+$344	07-29 18:04
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$2.5K	3,782	0	+3,782	Karmine Corp	-$2,534	10-23 20:08
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$2.4K	1,449	1,449	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$448	10-24 22:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.4K	2,355	2,355	+0	No	-$799	04-24 12:20
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$2.3K	1,348	1,348	+0	Yes	+$346	10-27 00:43
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	4	$2.2K	1,504	1,504	+0	open	—	10-26 05:51
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs	2	$2.1K	1,139	1,139	+0	KT Rolster Challengers	+$204	09-11 12:33
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	3	$2.1K	1,180	1,180	+0	No	+$300	07-19 21:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:43:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,348	100¢	$1,346	0xa3f87c…
10-26 23:53:41	Spread: Celtics (-14.5)	Bulls	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0xe481c8…
10-26 18:48:02	Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)	LOS	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x35b2f6…
10-26 18:42:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,348	74¢	$1,000	0x85469e…
10-26 18:27:26	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	750	40¢	$300	0x8c7048…
10-26 05:52:00	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	152	62¢	$94	0xb55f4f…
10-26 05:51:54	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	722	78¢	$560	0x4ca8f3…
10-26 00:24:59	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	775	99¢	$768	0x8f8552…
10-25 16:11:36	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	1,296	54¢	$700	0x94b4d1…
10-25 16:07:38	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1,050	48¢	$500	0xe89b58…
10-25 15:54:18	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	138	36¢	$50	0x86ba9b…
10-25 15:53:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	775	65¢	$500	0x4bce11…
10-25 07:10:09	Cerezo Ōsaka vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	380	79¢	$300	0x049c77…
10-25 06:51:08	Nagoya Grampus vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	649	77¢	$500	0xd681fe…
10-25 05:10:50	Nagoya Grampus vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1,176	85¢	$1,000	0xe88075…
10-24 22:18:05	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0x569cd4…
10-24 22:12:06	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	SELL	1,449	100¢	$1,448	0x5cedf2…
10-24 20:25:27	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xaa0e9f…
10-24 20:14:30	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x85d1d3…
10-24 20:06:26	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	1,449	69¢	$1,000	0xf46196…
10-24 20:05:41	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	1,834	100¢	$1,833	0x3e1ae2…
10-24 18:49:54	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	1,834	47¢	$862	0x2184c4…
10-24 18:43:02	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	SELL	890	100¢	$889	0xac46d4…
10-24 18:33:54	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	890	94¢	$836	0x4be43b…
10-24 18:25:23	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	838	100¢	$837	0x1ae9b7…
10-24 18:16:26	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	838	72¢	$603	0x61d260…
10-24 18:15:59	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	752	81¢	$610	0xdfff1a…
10-24 18:05:45	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	871	53¢	$462	0x6bbb6f…
10-24 18:02:00	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1,040	48¢	$500	0x6ad9be…
10-24 15:52:51	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	1,562	64¢	$1,000	0xd1d230…
10-23 20:08:59	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	3,782	67¢	$2,534	0x83f647…
10-23 20:06:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,825	91¢	$2,571	0xf12c7f…
10-21 16:46:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x6793c0…
10-21 16:45:47	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xa6e937…
10-21 16:44:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	58	86¢	$50	0x4c22f6…
10-21 16:35:54	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6134c0…
10-21 16:35:30	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x68737c…
10-21 16:35:08	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb085cb…
10-21 16:34:41	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xbcaa37…
10-21 16:33:18	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	4,885	60¢	$2,931	0x1605c0…
10-19 06:35:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	254	79¢	$200	0x1b7888…
10-17 15:02:44	Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC: Brentford FC O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	409	64¢	$262	0x13fba6…
10-17 15:01:14	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	721	100¢	$721	0x573e20…
10-17 14:40:12	Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Ipswich Town FC O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	517	58¢	$300	0x46ff07…
10-17 13:24:29	Shandong Taishan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	721	69¢	$500	0x68e1f4…
10-15 02:46:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,597	77¢	$2,000	0x83e608…
10-14 23:44:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x18d9d6…
10-14 23:44:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x04518f…
10-10 10:52:10	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x0c626b…
10-09 16:59:30	Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x955319…
10-09 12:23:22	Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	1,504	66¢	$1,000	0x7fcee7…
10-04 21:04:58	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,124	90¢	$1,008	0xb2aedd…
10-04 20:41:28	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,951	28¢	$1,399	0x8e5766…
10-04 20:40:14	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	SELL	7,387	35¢	$2,585	0x699666…
09-29 21:28:51	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	307	76¢	$233	0xf997e3…
09-29 21:11:17	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	912	76¢	$693	0xeb9173…
09-29 21:11:15	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	271	76¢	$206	0x72308a…
09-29 20:18:15	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	411	76¢	$313	0x9c53e6…
09-29 20:09:53	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x6c86d0…
09-29 20:07:47	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	88	76¢	$67	0x64607d…
09-29 18:06:02	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf83f5c…
09-29 15:03:41	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x3dd995…
09-29 15:03:08	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,935	76¢	$2,991	0x9461ee…
09-29 14:59:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xab6557…
09-29 14:45:24	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0x537e28…
09-29 14:45:12	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xf6c804…
09-29 14:45:11	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x3ee1d9…
09-29 14:45:09	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	40	76¢	$30	0x2ced65…
09-29 14:45:05	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	1,556	76¢	$1,183	0xa7e08b…
09-29 14:45:05	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	175	76¢	$133	0x0c2c0b…
09-29 14:09:38	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	4,482	76¢	$3,406	0xee07de…
09-29 11:59:35	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1,640	61¢	$1,000	0xce92cf…
09-29 01:45:09	Jamaica vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xa8bd44…
09-27 11:35:41	lol dkc dnsc 2026 09 27	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	588	34¢	$200	0x4ddeda…
09-23 07:46:23	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x2db1e1…
09-23 07:44:34	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x1ade3b…
09-23 07:35:16	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xb4879d…
09-23 07:35:11	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xd74ee7…
09-23 07:35:05	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x9bc49a…
09-23 07:35:01	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xe77c77…
09-23 07:34:53	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x7da53e…
09-23 07:34:47	Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x0e5045…
09-19 15:18:23	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	1,064	94¢	$1,000	0xdfd75f…
09-16 15:54:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,006	88¢	$3,525	0x455ab3…
09-16 11:55:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8,850	88¢	$7,788	0xb659e2…
09-14 11:37:12	LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner	KT Rolster Challengers	SELL	370	100¢	$370	0x48505c…
09-14 10:12:21	LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winner	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	341	59¢	$200	0x6a4b74…
09-14 08:48:10	LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner	KT Rolster Challengers	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x5fa808…
09-14 08:23:43	LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner	KT Rolster Challengers	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x6bd1e1…
09-13 06:11:18	lol gen hle1 2026 09 13 game2	Gen.G	BUY	259	58¢	$150	0x2fe740…
09-11 12:33:04	LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs	KT Rolster Challengers	SELL	1,139	100¢	$1,138	0x5c62bc…
09-11 08:45:51	LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs	KT Rolster Challengers	BUY	1,139	82¢	$934	0xc80259…
09-09 13:32:24	Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)	Rybakina	BUY	1,009	50¢	$500	0x9e0d93…
09-09 12:08:52	LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	928	54¢	$500	0x9fb92a…
09-09 10:32:58	LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winner	Nongshim Esports Academy	BUY	526	57¢	$300	0x6206a6…
09-09 09:20:45	LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winner	DN SOOPers Challengers	BUY	698	43¢	$300	0x083d83…
09-08 17:04:15	US Open WTA (Doubles): Jiang/Zhang vs Dabrowski/Stefani	Dabrowski/Stefani	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xf54338…
09-08 16:57:03	US Open WTA (Doubles): Jiang/Zhang vs Dabrowski/Stefani	Dabrowski/Stefani	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x7475fb…
09-08 15:56:22	bkfibaw hun jap 2026 09 08	Japan	SELL	858	34¢	$293	0xa71bf2…
09-08 15:42:13	bkfibaw hun jap 2026 09 08	Japan	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xf9ecca…