Reckless-Vitamin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$232

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$146.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$498

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 05-20 04:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$32

Other

48% 57% $-250

Crypto

1% 60% $-13

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	16	$24.2K	14,323	14,323	+0	open	—	04-15 05:46
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	52	$21.4K	17,820	17,820	+0	open	—	04-01 11:38
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	13	$18.6K	13,677	13,677	+0	open	—	04-08 07:43
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	14	$8.8K	5,639	3,912	+1,727	open	—	05-13 15:17
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	5	$8.1K	4,642	4,642	+0	open	—	04-12 08:53
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	4	$5.2K	3,090	3,090	+0	open	—	04-24 12:17
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	1	$4.8K	5,066	0	+5,066	open	—	04-03 07:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$4.5K	3,908	3,908	+0	open	—	04-29 01:32
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$4.0K	2,472	2,472	+0	open	—	04-10 01:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$4.0K	3,563	3,563	+0	open	—	04-15 23:36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	2	$3.5K	2,237	2,237	+0	open	—	04-23 09:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.4K	2,355	2,355	+0	open	—	04-24 12:20
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$2.0K	2,963	0	+2,963	open	—	04-16 10:38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	5	$2.0K	1,775	1,775	+0	open	—	04-25 13:18
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5	1	$1.9K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	05-15 18:19
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$1.8K	10,463	10,463	+0	open	—	05-18 04:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	11	$1.4K	2,526	2,526	+0	open	—	04-22 00:09
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$1.4K	1,085	966	+119	open	—	04-25 11:43
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	8	$1.3K	8,944	8,944	+0	open	—	05-18 04:16
epl bur mac 2026 04 22 spread away 1pt5	2	$1.3K	1,855	0	+1,855	open	—	04-22 17:07
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	3	$1.1K	1,397	363	+1,034	open	—	05-16 20:24
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$1.0K	10,050	0	+10,050	open	—	05-15 17:46
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$1.0K	590	590	+0	open	—	04-15 05:46
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	8	$1.0K	1,552	0	+1,552	open	—	04-23 12:31
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	1	$1000	1,096	0	+1,096	open	—	05-14 01:20
chi qin hen 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$912	623	613	+10	open	—	04-22 16:58
chi tie ygb 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$860	1,755	0	+1,755	open	—	04-22 12:32
val gx fnc1 2026 04 23	2	$819	526	520	+7	open	—	04-23 17:53
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	1	$711	799	0	+799	open	—	04-19 17:17
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 total 4pt5	1	$700	875	0	+875	open	—	04-19 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 04:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	138	59¢	$81	0xef908c…
05-20 04:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xb34f74…
05-20 04:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x4299bd…
05-20 04:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0xe91955…
05-18 04:16:35	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5,924	0¢	$30	0x074834…
05-18 04:16:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5,668	1¢	$40	0xc5d2c7…
05-16 20:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	235	32¢	$75	0xc75e50…
05-16 20:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	296	49¢	$145	0x7f70d0…
05-16 20:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	150	64¢	$96	0x081195…
05-16 20:24:42	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	363	22¢	$80	0x0a4c97…
05-16 16:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	142	68¢	$97	0x8fa87e…
05-16 15:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	263	35¢	$93	0x24cab7…
05-16 15:31:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3,052	3¢	$101	0x316baa…
05-16 15:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$99	0x9c39c9…
05-16 15:19:16	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3,631	3¢	$106	0xa2a865…
05-15 18:19:58	Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2,200	86¢	$1,892	0x42f964…
05-15 17:46:52	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x976f75…
05-15 17:46:45	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x3b9262…
05-15 17:46:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xd5415a…
05-15 17:42:14	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x57715e…
05-15 17:42:10	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,333	0¢	$10	0x0266d0…
05-15 17:42:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xbfbefd…
05-15 17:29:59	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,995	0¢	$10	0x6b68d4…
05-15 17:29:46	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x19e8b3…
05-15 17:29:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0xea6d7c…
05-15 11:28:03	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,222	82¢	$1,000	0x8a5976…
05-15 11:27:56	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,222	82¢	$1,000	0xbc02f5…
05-15 11:27:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0x0e0ceb…
05-15 11:14:59	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	908	18¢	$163	0x067195…
05-15 10:12:55	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	224	20¢	$45	0x66b5e6…
05-15 00:19:14	Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	93	81¢	$75	0x7b0954…
05-15 00:19:01	Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5ec0d8…
05-15 00:18:44	Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	32	81¢	$26	0x69af3d…
05-15 00:18:25	Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	G2 Esports	BUY	125	81¢	$101	0x219231…
05-14 07:55:30	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	908	55¢	$500	0x378e4f…
05-14 05:58:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	224	45¢	$100	0x6dacd8…
05-14 05:57:54	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xca066e…
05-14 05:57:48	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x4e2d54…
05-14 01:51:33	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x64c581…
05-14 01:36:06	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x7eb1b7…
05-14 01:32:27	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	281	36¢	$100	0x4ac187…
05-14 01:30:30	Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x2a720a…
05-14 01:27:54	Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x0a7a02…
05-14 01:26:16	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,373	73¢	$1,000	0x53ec9b…
05-14 01:20:10	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	1,096	91¢	$1,000	0x35cd25…
05-13 15:17:09	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	516	100¢	$515	0xb52a0e…
05-13 15:16:25	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	830	100¢	$829	0x2c7db6…
05-13 13:20:15	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,024	100¢	$1,023	0xb06817…
05-12 14:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x319662…
05-12 14:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x86b820…
05-12 14:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xf9fdea…
05-12 14:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc941e7…
05-12 14:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x84279c…
05-12 14:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xceb1cb…
05-12 12:46:26	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Invictus Gaming	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xd6fa92…
05-11 17:07:11	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0xfa7fd0…
05-09 16:02:44	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Brentford FC	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xff81ff…
05-09 13:46:31	Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x257b11…
05-09 13:43:27	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0xddfc94…
05-09 13:10:39	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x465b23…
05-08 14:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x76abff…
05-08 13:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x3795e3…
05-03 02:53:28	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,700	93¢	$1,581	0x42e20c…
05-03 01:41:42	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,972	94¢	$1,854	0xf5e39b…
05-03 01:41:30	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	94¢	$26	0xfdeb82…
05-03 01:40:06	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc0d6ac…
05-03 01:38:08	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x3d132c…
05-03 01:10:24	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	286	93¢	$266	0x48e116…
05-03 00:33:50	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x52e836…
04-29 01:32:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,954	36¢	$703	0xaae5d3…
04-28 15:36:54	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	272	74¢	$200	0xc6ac00…
04-27 13:38:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,954	43¢	$847	0x937c65…
04-26 23:40:48	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	Celtics	BUY	298	67¢	$200	0x526695…
04-26 16:27:02	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	346	58¢	$200	0x377440…
04-26 16:04:10	Torino FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0xd10462…
04-26 15:30:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	690	34¢	$232	0x35f8f9…
04-26 14:13:06	VfB Stuttgart vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	310	66¢	$204	0x2494d6…
04-26 13:29:18	Henan FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	299	67¢	$200	0x70177c…
04-26 11:55:50	Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x43bc58…
04-26 03:27:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	690	29¢	$200	0x705752…
04-25 18:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x80486e…
04-25 18:03:20	Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x6981b3…
04-25 16:17:16	Arsenal FC leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	394	51¢	$201	0xcb93d9…
04-25 16:02:32	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	335	100¢	$334	0x365a35…
04-25 16:01:54	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	294	100¢	$294	0xb3acb9…
04-25 16:01:50	Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	359	100¢	$359	0x3ed9a9…
04-25 15:40:18	West Ham United FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	193	63¢	$122	0x37f1a4…
04-25 14:09:42	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	339	59¢	$200	0x986a28…
04-25 14:04:02	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	297	67¢	$200	0x1e293b…
04-25 13:34:48	Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xc67266…
04-25 13:18:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,435	50¢	$722	0xf34876…
04-25 11:51:16	Beijing Guoan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	198	76¢	$151	0x718c4d…
04-25 11:43:32	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	160	94¢	$151	0x99ada2…
04-24 12:28:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,435	55¢	$786	0xa647dc…
04-24 12:20:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,355	33¢	$786	0x06dddb…
04-24 12:17:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,908	75¢	$2,949	0x2535a2…
04-24 12:17:12	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,946	85¢	$1,654	0x80feac…
04-24 12:04:22	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,143	88¢	$1,001	0xe87245…
04-24 04:24:34	deepseek v4 released by april 24	Yes	BUY	294	95¢	$279	0x8dbad8…
04-24 04:23:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	SELL	340	82¢	$279	0x99c62a…