Infamous-Leek — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$377

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

242

Trades

444

lifetime

Volume

$6.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 09-14 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 49% -$341

Other

1% 0% -$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	5	$205	274	94	+180	Down	-$20	04-26 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$163	274	266	+8	Up	-$157	04-26 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$146	140	134	+6	Up	+$31	04-25 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$101	177	177	+0	Down	+$26	05-14 20:38
bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 4am et	3	$98	287	287	+0	Down	-$91	08-03 08:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$93	138	82	+56	Up	-$4	04-25 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$86	160	0	+160	Down	-$86	04-25 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$85	189	89	+100	Up	+$13	05-14 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	4	$84	292	292	+0	Up	-$11	07-21 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	6	$82	131	131	+0	Up	+$12	04-30 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$80	140	0	+140	Down	+$22	04-25 17:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 06:45 UTC	2	$78	52	51	+1	Up	+$5	04-20 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$77	136	136	+0	Up	+$1	05-15 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$75	49	49	+0	Down	+$15	04-30 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$74	112	112	+0	Up	-$2	05-15 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$70	99	0	+99	Up	-$70	04-25 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$69	212	0	+212	Down	+$10	04-25 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$66	101	101	+0	Down	+$17	05-14 20:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 06:15 UTC	1	$62	129	0	+129	Down	+$67	04-09 06:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 11:40 UTC	1	$61	81	0	+81	Up	+$20	04-12 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$61	53	53	+0	Down	+$25	05-02 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	4	$58	163	163	+0	Down	+$10	05-15 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$58	89	0	+89	Up	+$31	04-25 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$57	90	90	+0	Down	+$19	05-14 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$54	34	34	+0	Down	+$14	04-30 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$54	85	80	+4	Down	$0	04-26 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$53	54	54	+0	Up	+$13	05-15 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$51	45	45	+0	Up	+$23	05-30 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$50	127	0	+127	Down	-$50	04-25 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 08:45 UTC	1	$50	143	0	+143	Down	+$93	04-07 08:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 14:24:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc8864b…
09-14 14:23:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,571	1¢	$11	0xc1d7c9…
09-14 14:03:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	134	17¢	$23	0x1b0a71…
08-03 12:58:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	82	13¢	$11	0x0ac362…
08-03 10:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xd7dfff…
08-03 10:07:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:05 UTC	Up	SELL	37	18¢	$7	0xa3511e…
08-03 10:07:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	37	16¢	$6	0x04e2b6…
08-03 10:05:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x7a18e3…
08-03 10:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6fa7ff…
08-03 10:04:02	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6e6c71…
08-03 09:06:14	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xcecf70…
08-03 08:36:18	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 4am et	Up	SELL	287	1¢	$3	0x31c4a3…
08-03 08:16:57	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	159	29¢	$46	0xa2f5e0…
08-03 08:15:20	bitcoin up or down august 3 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	128	38¢	$49	0x59ec93…
07-21 14:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	49	27¢	$13	0x25cf8d…
07-21 14:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	144	10¢	$15	0x0c9d44…
07-21 14:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	144	14¢	$20	0xeca8ff…
07-21 14:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	147	15¢	$22	0x23e300…
07-21 13:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	147	19¢	$28	0x936807…
06-02 13:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x74c8d9…
06-02 13:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x17bb83…
06-02 13:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xa872cf…
06-02 13:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0xc12c32…
06-02 13:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xd49be7…
06-02 12:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x19d9db…
06-01 15:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	47	29¢	$14	0x0e469f…
06-01 15:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	65¢	$15	0xaf81a2…
06-01 14:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x7be827…
06-01 14:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x124771…
06-01 14:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xa04a83…
06-01 14:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	78	15¢	$12	0xea6f3f…
06-01 14:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x54baf5…
06-01 14:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x822707…
06-01 14:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x5ae7f6…
06-01 14:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc35deb…
06-01 14:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$1	0xe26fe1…
06-01 14:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x48cbc3…
05-30 04:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x058589…
05-30 04:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x9a25fc…
05-30 04:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x6c1017…
05-30 04:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfe4646…
05-30 04:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	45	83¢	$37	0x6bbabd…
05-30 04:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0xcbf26d…
05-30 04:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x65d752…
05-29 15:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x52ac58…
05-29 15:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	41	45¢	$18	0x4f7b55…
05-29 15:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x44262a…
05-29 14:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x62a750…
05-29 13:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x970175…
05-29 13:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0xb2b85e…
05-29 13:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	26	34¢	$9	0xb510da…
05-29 12:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x97a201…
05-15 13:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xdaf122…
05-15 13:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x8152cb…
05-15 13:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd3b36e…
05-15 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xaa97e9…
05-15 12:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	94¢	$13	0xa07b52…
05-15 12:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0xcc24fa…
05-15 12:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x3010d0…
05-15 12:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x2a504f…
05-15 12:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	114	1¢	$1	0xa0479e…
05-15 12:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc17201…
05-15 12:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0x2552db…
05-15 11:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x473203…
05-15 11:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	54	61¢	$33	0x4c290a…
05-15 11:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x6b83f0…
05-15 11:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0be093…
05-15 11:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0x8543ef…
05-15 11:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x03a18b…
05-15 11:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xfd7670…
05-15 11:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x178061…
05-15 11:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x01aebe…
05-15 11:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xf12e61…
05-15 10:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	37	66¢	$25	0x04641c…
05-15 10:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xe81c97…
05-15 10:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x6350df…
05-15 10:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x375c28…
05-15 10:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x476b32…
05-15 10:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	155	21¢	$33	0x87dae6…
05-15 10:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	155	15¢	$23	0x73ab25…
05-15 10:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf1b65b…
05-15 10:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xcd141a…
05-15 10:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x41700e…
05-15 10:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x1479fd…
05-15 10:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0xadb032…
05-15 10:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x859d13…
05-15 10:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xfd4089…
05-15 09:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	112	32¢	$36	0x760f39…
05-15 09:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	112	34¢	$38	0xd8dd5e…
05-15 09:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x609226…
05-15 09:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	35¢	$8	0xbf803c…
05-15 09:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x3381b0…
05-15 09:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	34	48¢	$16	0x151189…
05-15 09:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	34	21¢	$7	0x8555de…
05-15 09:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	136	29¢	$39	0xe893a6…
05-15 09:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	136	28¢	$38	0x0effbb…
05-15 09:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xc6bd49…
05-15 09:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x09e2ec…
05-15 09:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x5574bb…
05-15 09:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	33	37¢	$12	0xa0f6a3…