Intelligent-Tulip — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

14,459 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$347

$332.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-28 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

55% 94% -$487

Crypto

43% 81% -$1,143

Sports

2% 88% -$202

Politics

0% 88% -$32

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 361 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on march 3	8	$3.3K	2,176	2,030	+146	Down	+$517	03-03 16:11
bitcoin up or down on august 18 2026	6	$2.0K	2,082	2,082	+0	Up	+$20	08-18 01:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-21 12:00 UTC	7	$1.8K	1,108	1,108	+0	Up	+$90	08-21 15:34
bitcoin up or down march 4 7am et	3	$1.8K	1,873	0	+1,873	Up	-$19	03-04 12:57
bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 4pm et	7	$1.7K	1,162	1,162	+0	Up	+$228	08-10 20:43
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 16:00 UTC	5	$1.4K	1,012	1,012	+0	Down	+$287	08-19 19:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 00:45 UTC	6	$1.2K	752	752	+0	Up	+$17	08-12 00:58
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	5	$1.2K	613	613	+0	Yes	+$3	03-30 20:09
bitcoin up or down on march 12	6	$1.2K	1,063	1,047	+16	Up	+$87	03-12 14:44
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 12?	39	$1.2K	1,203	0	+1,203	No	+$13	08-12 21:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 01:30 UTC	4	$1.1K	729	729	+0	Up	-$55	08-12 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:10 UTC	2	$1.1K	785	785	+0	Down	+$90	07-29 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:00 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,017	1,017	+0	Up	-$22	08-19 15:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 01:15 UTC	2	$1.0K	715	715	+0	Down	+$35	08-12 01:18
bitcoin up or down on april 23 2026	3	$1.0K	626	610	+16	Down	+$224	04-23 14:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 01:30 UTC	2	$1.0K	618	618	+0	Down	+$5	08-12 01:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 16:35 UTC	1	$1000	1,785	0	+1,785	Up	+$785	08-18 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-12 02:00 UTC	1	$1000	1,988	0	+1,988	Up	+$988	08-12 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 19?	23	$965	980	0	+980	No	+$15	07-19 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	3	$961	577	539	+38	Down	-$79	04-29 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 1?	21	$950	969	0	+969	No	+$19	08-01 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 27?	22	$950	960	0	+960	No	+$10	07-27 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 26?	36	$950	960	0	+960	No	+$10	07-26 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 7?	22	$950	960	0	+960	No	+$10	08-07 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4?	21	$950	960	0	+960	No	+$10	08-04 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	24	$939	950	0	+950	No	+$11	07-26 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 24?	22	$929	951	0	+951	No	+$22	07-24 20:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-18 15:00 UTC	3	$904	858	858	+0	Up	+$304	08-18 15:09
bitcoin up or down on july 29 2026	4	$901	853	853	+0	Up	+$21	07-28 21:39
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	3	$847	491	491	+0	No	+$7	03-10 19:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:18:40	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbdf8ec…
10-28 17:18:13	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	39	89¢	$35	0xfc806f…
10-28 13:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x713d2c…
10-27 23:34:23	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xb2d448…
10-27 22:04:36	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x12b3a1…
10-27 19:40:17	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0xd6234b…
10-27 19:39:39	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x29df8c…
10-27 14:36:51	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe495ff…
10-27 14:36:24	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x7691ae…
10-27 14:35:54	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xbccfcc…
10-27 13:42:29	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x106a3d…
10-27 13:42:11	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xecbbb3…
10-27 13:41:54	Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x49c64b…
10-27 01:59:26	Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xe95d56…
10-27 00:45:18	Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0f27d8…
10-26 20:47:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x8b7432…
10-26 19:52:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x5b6e20…
10-26 18:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x727d59…
10-26 17:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xbd18a2…
10-26 17:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x281300…
10-26 17:39:30	Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x705c32…
10-26 16:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x487de1…
10-26 16:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6965c7…
10-26 15:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Down	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x0a1014…
10-26 14:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x4b2b54…
10-25 12:59:48	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x8796c1…
10-22 17:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xeac163…
10-22 13:23:09	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0de4d7…
10-22 13:22:53	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf24d6d…
10-21 20:49:57	CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Team to Advance	CR Flamengo	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2c0af2…
10-21 20:49:50	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb2f729…
10-21 20:49:24	SE Palmeiras vs. Fluminense FC: Team to Advance	SE Palmeiras	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xcfd1fb…
10-21 20:41:17	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	13	82¢	$10	0xdc1835…
10-21 20:01:15	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x267fd4…
10-21 19:28:35	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb7fa1d…
10-21 18:23:00	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xac52bc…
10-21 18:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xf04b7d…
10-21 16:52:20	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0xca7a6b…
10-21 15:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd69606…
10-20 14:45:45	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xdd39ac…
09-07 20:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	103	52¢	$54	0x202415…
09-07 17:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x84563c…
09-07 15:03:24	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x755e1b…
09-07 14:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x99956a…
09-03 22:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?	Down	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0x6aa409…
09-03 10:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xa91460…
09-02 22:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?	Down	SELL	61	56¢	$34	0xcb8f4e…
09-02 10:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?	Down	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xd18091…
09-02 10:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?	Down	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x3e1e3b…
08-30 22:31:25	Will CD Godoy Cruz win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0x7ebe0f…
08-30 21:30:27	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	SELL	67	90¢	$61	0x62a336…
08-30 16:10:00	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	46	71¢	$33	0x1e9a19…
08-30 16:03:33	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x834d38…
08-30 16:03:01	Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x5a0edc…
08-30 16:02:25	Will Deportivo Moron win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xb6ece4…
08-30 16:02:06	Will CD Godoy Cruz win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa73b8e…
08-30 16:01:34	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x7413cf…
08-29 15:36:42	Will CA Huracán win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x61e80d…
08-29 15:36:06	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xf3df9c…
08-29 15:35:49	Will Club Puebla win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xf4a366…
08-29 15:35:34	Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xebc799…
08-29 15:35:16	Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xd2d07d…
08-29 15:34:49	Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x7bb803…
08-29 10:43:01	bitcoin up or down on august 30 2026	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x958de8…
08-28 16:59:12	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xdaa2c3…
08-28 16:58:34	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x75f24b…
08-28 16:58:19	Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xd7bd8c…
08-28 16:58:00	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-28?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xa76d6e…
08-28 16:57:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	14	83¢	$11	0x5e24b6…
08-28 16:57:06	Will Chacarita Juniors win on 2026-08-28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb20b59…
08-28 16:56:48	Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xbfced0…
08-28 16:49:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-28 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xc267ac…
08-28 14:50:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdc9b11…
08-28 14:47:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x523557…
08-28 14:47:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb4fd26…
08-28 14:45:25	bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	Down	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0xbf28cc…
08-28 14:40:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xb19b56…
08-28 00:12:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:10 UTC	Up	SELL	43	92¢	$40	0xb322f4…
08-28 00:12:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xff6b7d…
08-28 00:09:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:05 UTC	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x5f2aba…
08-28 00:09:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x04d64e…
08-28 00:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xea1ad1…
08-28 00:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x93b9db…
08-27 23:20:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc614b2…
08-27 23:19:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 27?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0f0f01…
08-27 23:13:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xe858fb…
08-27 22:20:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x5f1230…
08-27 21:15:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xa699c5…
08-27 21:15:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x16ddc2…
08-27 20:06:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1e1ed9…
08-27 19:53:37	bitcoin up or down on august 28 2026	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xc72cf9…
08-27 19:35:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0x217a1e…
08-27 19:30:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x4a3aa2…
08-27 19:28:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-27 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xa13f38…
08-27 19:13:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9e0592…
08-27 19:11:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5ea5eb…
08-27 19:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 19:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x8d59c6…
08-27 19:01:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbd318f…
08-27 18:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:20 UTC	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x6650bc…
08-27 18:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x74ecba…