Cylindrical-Crunch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$97

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 08-02 04:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

82% 67% $-41

Politics

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$849	430	430	+0	open	—	05-10 04:53
Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	5	$668	715	715	+0	open	—	04-15 06:14
Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)	2	$656	338	337	+1	open	—	04-27 06:04
Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)	1	$488	508	0	+508	open	—	04-27 07:15
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	1	$437	450	0	+450	RB Leipzig	+$13	05-09 08:15
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	1	$430	440	0	+440	Como 1907	+$10	05-10 05:05
lal rso ala 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	1	$304	306	0	+306	open	—	04-11 07:36
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 spread away 1pt5	1	$299	329	0	+329	open	—	04-08 07:22
will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	3	$155	910	910	+0	open	—	08-02 04:39
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	3	$147	920	920	+0	open	—	08-01 04:33
will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	3	$147	920	920	+0	open	—	08-01 02:43
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	3	$119	898	898	+0	open	—	08-02 02:46
israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	4	$110	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-06 08:52
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$102	880	880	+0	open	—	07-16 08:00
US military draft authorized in 2026?	3	$92	870	870	+0	open	—	07-16 06:58
Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	2	$64	915	0	+915	FC UTA Arad	$-64	05-08 05:35
will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	4	$64	800	800	+0	open	—	06-28 05:13
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	4	$50	880	880	+0	open	—	05-08 05:24
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5	2	$50	990	0	+990	open	—	06-06 09:05
tur ant kon 2026 04 17 spread away 2pt5	2	$46	770	0	+770	open	—	04-17 10:14
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	5	$44	726	726	+0	open	—	06-28 06:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 04:39:59	will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	Yes	SELL	910	9¢	$82	0xf41092…
08-02 03:06:59	will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	Yes	BUY	470	8¢	$38	0x27a172…
08-02 03:06:50	will russia enter mykhailivka by august 31	Yes	BUY	440	8¢	$35	0x5b1aa3…
08-02 02:46:17	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	No	SELL	898	6¢	$58	0x012e8f…
08-02 01:52:38	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	No	BUY	464	7¢	$31	0xb58e87…
08-02 01:52:26	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260720155040249	No	BUY	434	7¢	$29	0xf2fa65…
08-01 04:33:18	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	920	8¢	$74	0x6ce7a2…
08-01 02:53:33	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	455	8¢	$36	0xe19ee8…
08-01 02:53:17	US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	465	8¢	$37	0x7a411f…
08-01 02:43:30	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	Yes	SELL	920	8¢	$74	0xa68487…
08-01 02:06:05	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	Yes	BUY	455	8¢	$36	0x8cacc0…
08-01 02:05:44	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	Yes	BUY	465	8¢	$37	0x7abbbb…
07-16 08:00:14	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	880	6¢	$51	0x803438…
07-16 07:14:55	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	6¢	$26	0xbd207e…
07-16 07:14:44	US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	425	6¢	$25	0x96557a…
07-16 06:58:31	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	SELL	870	5¢	$46	0xb61f85…
07-16 05:52:56	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	5¢	$24	0x944b97…
07-16 05:52:49	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	5¢	$22	0xf35996…
06-28 06:22:47	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	SELL	350	3¢	$10	0xa1b934…
06-28 06:22:29	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x0af2a6…
06-28 06:21:07	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	SELL	370	3¢	$11	0x2c0038…
06-28 05:26:08	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	380	3¢	$11	0x724a53…
06-28 05:25:35	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	Yes	BUY	346	3¢	$10	0x85709c…
06-28 05:13:37	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	415	4¢	$17	0x6f43de…
06-28 05:13:22	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	385	4¢	$15	0x358e41…
06-28 02:25:04	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	395	4¢	$16	0x37fa70…
06-28 02:24:49	will greece send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	405	4¢	$16	0x3e64ac…
06-06 09:05:27	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	515	5¢	$26	0xa92397…
06-06 09:04:55	Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	475	5¢	$24	0x8858b0…
06-06 08:52:19	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xe556bb…
06-06 08:51:52	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0x96c59b…
06-06 07:35:51	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	BUY	520	5¢	$26	0xb658a0…
06-06 07:35:16	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	Yes	BUY	480	5¢	$24	0x073e22…
05-10 05:05:56	Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	440	98¢	$430	0x74e8d3…
05-10 04:53:22	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	430	99¢	$425	0x1abb92…
05-10 03:13:21	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	430	99¢	$424	0x2278ef…
05-09 08:15:39	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	450	97¢	$437	0xb1500c…
05-08 05:35:35	Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	BUY	455	7¢	$32	0x434d8a…
05-08 05:35:21	Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	BUY	460	7¢	$32	0x394a22…
05-08 05:24:37	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	440	3¢	$12	0xa7bf86…
05-08 05:23:27	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	440	3¢	$13	0x9f0715…
05-08 03:05:52	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	440	3¢	$12	0x7c8987…
05-08 03:05:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	440	3¢	$12	0x6a99fd…
04-27 07:15:36	Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)	Zamalek SC	BUY	508	96¢	$488	0xa0920d…
04-27 06:04:26	Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)	Caracas FC	SELL	337	99¢	$334	0xdb3cba…
04-17 10:14:14	tur ant kon 2026 04 17 spread away 2pt5	Konyaspor	BUY	366	6¢	$22	0x3c5b53…
04-17 10:14:02	tur ant kon 2026 04 17 spread away 2pt5	Konyaspor	BUY	404	6¢	$24	0x3d46de…
04-15 09:35:52	Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)	Caracas FC	BUY	338	95¢	$321	0xa30d65…
04-15 06:14:34	Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	2¢	$9	0x6c1d2c…
04-15 06:13:20	Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	3¢	$7	0xcc2db4…
04-15 06:12:02	Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	3¢	$4	0x4ea1ce…
04-15 06:09:22	Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	330	98¢	$322	0x067739…
04-15 03:03:40	Will Iran strike France by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	330	98¢	$325	0x6c2d2e…
04-11 07:36:37	lal rso ala 2026 04 11 spread away 2pt5	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	306	99¢	$304	0xa4479e…
04-08 07:22:19	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 spread away 1pt5	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	329	91¢	$299	0x522b32…