Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

21.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$142

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-02

last 10-29 10:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 40% -$19

Other

21% 0% -$26

Politics

4% 50% +$23

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+70	$2	2¢	$1	-$1	10-26 09:41
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+2	$1	40¢	$1	$0	10-26 10:21
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+3	$1	15¢	$1	$0	10-06 10:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	9	$37	51	40	+11	Down	-$21	10-02 10:55
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$6	667	0	+667	No	-$6	10-26 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$5	11	2	+9	Up	-$1	10-26 11:30
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$5	22	0	+22	No	-$5	10-26 09:29
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$5	29	0	+29	Yes	+$24	10-06 10:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$5	100	0	+100	Yes	-$5	10-26 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$4	10	0	+10	Down	-$1	10-26 11:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Down	-$3	10-06 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$3	9	0	+9	Down	-$1	10-26 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	10-02 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	10-26 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	10-02 11:02
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	10-02 11:03
Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	-$2	10-06 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$2	9	0	+9	Up	-$2	10-06 12:36
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	1	$2	70	0	+70	open	—	10-26 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$2	11	0	+11	Up	-$2	10-06 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$2	13	0	+13	Up	+$11	10-06 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$2	156	0	+156	Down	-$2	10-06 12:26
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$2	119	0	+119	Yes	-$2	10-26 09:39
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$2	28	0	+28	No	-$2	10-26 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 09:10 UTC	2	$2	2	0	+2	Down	-$2	10-03 09:11
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$2	15	0	+15	Up	-$2	10-06 12:36
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	10-26 10:21
Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	10-06 12:27
BNB Up or Down - October 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$1	19	0	+19	Up	-$1	10-06 12:37
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	-$1	10-26 10:05
XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	-$1	10-26 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	10-06 12:10
Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	10-06 12:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:04:32	Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xe844e8…
10-26 19:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xcfd54d…
10-26 19:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x506ac7…
10-26 18:58:59	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xef381c…
10-26 18:55:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x320915…
10-26 11:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6010eb…
10-26 11:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2e228e…
10-26 11:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7dab14…
10-26 11:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x31a5ea…
10-26 11:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xad99bb…
10-26 11:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3e1610…
10-26 11:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0d14ac…
10-26 11:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdf59cd…
10-26 11:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xebcaf4…
10-26 11:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbe5bcc…
10-26 11:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x20253d…
10-26 11:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xea3f2d…
10-26 11:03:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8a7397…
10-26 10:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7e9837…
10-26 10:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9380e4…
10-26 10:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x60693d…
10-26 10:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x32e2b6…
10-26 10:21:03	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x79da90…
10-26 10:19:51	Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	OG	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7558ca…
10-26 10:19:33	Counter-Strike: 9z vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	9z	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc517df…
10-26 10:05:47	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xae8e7c…
10-26 10:04:59	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc32778…
10-26 10:04:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3bfed3…
10-26 09:41:23	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x20794f…
10-26 09:39:41	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	119	2¢	$2	0x97e1c9…
10-26 09:29:21	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0xcb37ce…
10-26 09:29:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xa519d3…
10-26 09:27:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x45f737…
10-06 12:41:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x272905…
10-06 12:38:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8c89e0…
10-06 12:37:18	BNB Up or Down - October 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xdabc29…
10-06 12:36:54	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4053af…
10-06 12:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6b4557…
10-06 12:36:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x06d602…
10-06 12:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xca99de…
10-06 12:34:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbe0074…
10-06 12:34:01	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x116d95…
10-06 12:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5f019c…
10-06 12:32:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3f7b0b…
10-06 12:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0ecf34…
10-06 12:27:33	BNB Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x306958…
10-06 12:27:03	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfce1b4…
10-06 12:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x3b8ebd…
10-06 12:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x4689d2…
10-06 12:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6fe02e…
10-06 12:23:57	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	206	0¢	$1	0x903c6d…
10-06 12:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3b16ed…
10-06 12:12:33	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x312481…
10-06 12:12:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6340d4…
10-06 12:11:58	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x10ce51…
10-06 12:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x246b22…
10-06 12:11:21	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0e96a6…
10-06 12:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9a7300…
10-06 10:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x1749fb…
10-06 10:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xd29261…
10-06 10:36:12	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xea97a6…
10-06 10:24:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xad0375…
10-06 10:18:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x80de02…
10-03 14:31:30	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd62a10…
10-03 13:20:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-03 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb8f1fc…
10-03 09:11:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xeffd8a…
10-03 09:11:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x6237f3…
10-03 00:46:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa3f4e7…
10-03 00:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x31f03b…
10-02 23:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x94bc27…
10-02 23:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0f5666…
10-02 12:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4ebb41…
10-02 12:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4d56f1…
10-02 11:03:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x5683b8…
10-02 11:02:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x17f46a…
10-02 11:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x4561d8…
10-02 11:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb30c77…
10-02 10:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x601fd1…
10-02 10:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x9745f2…
10-02 10:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xc76021…
10-02 10:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x99184b…
10-02 10:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	35	15¢	$5	0x8e166c…
10-02 10:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x7e532c…
10-02 10:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7806d2…
10-02 10:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdb4b77…
10-02 10:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9cb58d…
10-02 10:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x55643f…