Twin-Apprehension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.10K

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

17,272

Trades

37,468

lifetime

Volume

$300.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 10-30 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 49% -$5,683

Other

1% 40% -$415

Sports

0% 57% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 1010 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	—	-20	-$10	2¢	$-0	+$10	10-30 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	—	-20	-$10	2¢	$-0	+$10	10-30 03:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	13	$550	320	320	+0	Down	+$83	06-03 15:11
lol dcg gam 2026 06 06	4	$379	288	288	+0	Deep Cross Gaming	+$95	06-06 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	17	$148	150	150	+0	Down	+$1	06-03 14:16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	2	$135	100	100	+0	Team WE	+$65	06-01 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	8	$134	130	130	+0	Down	+$9	06-03 09:12
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5	2	$132	490	0	+490	Under	-$132	06-09 23:43
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	4	$118	1,075	75	+1,000	JiJieHao	+$0	05-11 06:58
cs2 kol leo2 2026 06 10	3	$110	130	130	+0	Leo Team	-$3	06-10 11:56
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)	3	$94	195	0	+195	Belgium	-$94	06-06 13:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 17:50 UTC	4	$88	121	57	+64	Down	+$33	08-27 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 05:20 UTC	18	$84	117	55	+62	Down	-$32	08-28 05:19
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	2	$84	49	49	+0	Ducks	+$14	05-11 04:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:30 UTC	3	$84	56	56	+0	Up	+$28	08-17 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 13:20 UTC	2	$83	56	56	+0	Down	+$29	08-17 13:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 00:20 UTC	2	$81	56	56	+0	Up	+$31	08-18 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 07:00 UTC	4	$79	97	67	+30	Down	+$12	08-28 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	12	$78	160	0	+160	Up	-$78	06-03 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$78	170	0	+170	Down	+$92	06-03 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 12:45 UTC	2	$77	52	52	+0	Up	+$26	08-17 12:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 10:00 UTC	4	$77	100	100	+0	Up	-$23	06-09 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	6	$75	50	50	+0	Up	+$25	09-09 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:00 UTC	6	$75	103	48	+55	Down	-$29	08-28 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	1	$74	150	0	+150	Up	+$76	06-03 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$74	101	48	+53	Down	-$26	09-10 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	4	$73	130	130	+0	Down	-$49	06-03 06:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:20 UTC	12	$73	103	48	+55	Down	+$27	08-28 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	7	$72	99	47	+52	Down	-$26	09-10 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	19	$72	150	0	+150	Up	-$72	06-03 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 20:45 UTC	4	$71	100	49	+51	Down	+$23	08-27 20:45
Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs Entropy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group B	3	$70	50	50	+0	Entropy	+$30	06-01 13:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x255cec…
10-30 03:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x52b188…
10-30 03:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x74c69f…
10-30 03:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x47ce8a…
10-30 03:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x47dda1…
10-30 03:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x7ef028…
10-30 03:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x0a599e…
10-30 03:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xe51605…
10-30 03:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x37e7df…
10-30 03:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xb7426f…
10-30 02:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xeeda77…
10-30 02:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xcb1212…
10-30 02:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xc77d5b…
10-30 02:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x872f03…
10-30 02:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xc74222…
10-30 02:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x541690…
10-30 02:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x220e3e…
10-30 02:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x09caa1…
10-30 02:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	51¢	$8	0xea4f23…
10-30 02:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xce03b0…
10-30 02:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x29072d…
10-30 02:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xa38adf…
10-30 02:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$0	0xe60370…
10-30 02:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0xaa9695…
10-30 01:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x9b7977…
10-30 01:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x375db2…
10-30 01:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x05eb4e…
10-30 01:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xe93283…
10-30 01:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x7c41c1…
10-30 01:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x19ea97…
10-30 01:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x104b1e…
10-30 01:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x9a8300…
10-30 01:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x8b2464…
10-30 01:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xfbcad4…
10-30 01:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x1e7463…
10-30 01:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xec135b…
10-30 01:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xd6f612…
10-30 00:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xd01a8c…
10-30 00:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xdb8cc3…
10-30 00:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x09ad60…
10-30 00:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x0cf417…
10-30 00:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xf17559…
10-30 00:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0xa3d7b1…
10-30 00:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x55b622…
10-30 00:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xa820d4…
10-30 00:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x7aafea…
10-30 00:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x976b4f…
10-30 00:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x8f5595…
10-30 00:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xbd8d61…
10-30 00:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x2fd301…
10-30 00:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xe1065a…
10-30 00:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x2f9b45…
10-30 00:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x0f1a68…
10-30 00:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xdcef7d…
10-29 23:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x1c93ea…
10-29 23:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x495f07…
10-29 23:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x3ca0af…
10-29 23:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x7778a7…
10-29 23:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xef1b9e…
10-29 23:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x37063f…
10-29 23:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x569779…
10-29 23:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xb9b37e…
10-29 23:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x76aefa…
10-29 23:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x9dfc11…
10-29 23:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x0bcad6…
10-29 23:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xda39a5…
10-29 23:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x30f047…
10-29 23:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xeac4e1…
10-29 22:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x5cae2c…
10-29 22:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xa542f8…
10-29 22:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x811a3c…
10-29 22:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0xf0f5a2…
10-29 22:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0x4a1d87…
10-29 22:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xc97c4e…
10-29 22:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xa8496c…
10-29 22:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x87dfe9…
10-29 22:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xb4ea72…
10-29 22:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0xff838b…
10-29 22:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xdcc31b…
10-29 22:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xa6c425…
10-29 22:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x456010…
10-29 22:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xaebd87…
10-29 22:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x83f216…
10-29 22:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	51¢	$5	0x7e96a0…
10-29 22:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x694153…
10-29 22:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x2cf3e0…
10-29 22:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x271421…
10-29 22:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x4006c9…
10-29 22:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xda4caa…
10-29 22:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x7e05bd…
10-29 22:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x3dcfe6…
10-29 21:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0xf7ce63…
10-29 21:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x536d23…
10-29 21:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x01cf5c…
10-29 21:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x05d0e4…
10-29 21:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xbec73b…
10-29 21:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	49¢	$8	0xca7445…
10-29 21:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xb8498f…
10-29 21:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xd5822f…
10-29 21:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xd883f9…